NBA DFS Risers Playbook for DraftKings and FanDuel 1/5/21
Welcome to the Team Rise or Fall NBA DFS Risers Playbook for DraftKings and FanDuel. This morning we will highlight some standout Vegas totals, pace ups spots, notable injury news, and my preferred way to attack the slate. At the conclusion of the article, we’ll discuss how I plan on handling the slate with the information we have this early in the day. Be mindful that this preview is subject to change as news breaks throughout the day.
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Notable Vegas Totals
Chicago Bulls @ Portland Trail Blazers O/U 232.5
As we move through the season you’ll see a common theme – the West Coast games usually have some of the highest totals on the slate. The Bulls play at one of the fastest paces in the league. They are led by scorer Zach Lavine who averages 24.6 points per game. The remainder of the Bulls are really value plays my favorite being Patrick Williams and Thaddeus Young both of whom are priced down on both sites. For an MME dart don’t be afraid to add Daniel Gafford to your player pool. While the rookie isn’t playing big minutes he fills the stat sheet. The Trail Blazer’s two big studs, Damien Lillard and CJ McCollum are priced up on both sites. If your taking into account how they’ve looked so far into the season I’d lean McCollum over Lillard. Portland’s value will come from bench guys like Carmelo Anthony and Enes Kanter but I have no interest in either in cash games.
Utah Jazz @ Brooklyn Nets O/U 226
The Jazz have a fairly balanced roster with four of five starters averaging double figures scoring. My favorite Jazz player will be the Frenchman Rudy Gobert who is priced right on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Mike Conley and Donovan Mitchell are also in play, but neither has been consistent enough to want to lock them in and build around a core around. On the other hand, Kyrie is a stone-cold lock with Kevin Durant being quarantined for the next week. Irving will garner ridiculous usage while Durant is out so I warn you to fade at your own risk. Caris LeVert could slide into the starting lineup but I prefer to see him with the second unit to not have to defer usage to Kyrie. Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot is scoring dependent value for the Nets. He flashed a few games ago when Irving and Durant both rested on a back-to-back, look for him to get some extra run.
Pace Up Spots
San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers
This is the biggest pace up game on the slate as the Clippers rank 29th in the league in pace (99.0 rating), while the Spurs are 7th with a rating of 105.2. This tells us me that the Clippers will have more opportunities to score fantasy points which is exactly what we want in DFS.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
This is a rematch from Sunday, January 3rd. Denver blew out Minnesota in that game. This is a pace up game for Denver who scored 124 points on Sunday. This game will be played in Denver where we know the high elevation can cause some teams to get winded faster. Let’s see if it’ll be a repeat performance.
Key Injury News
Brooklyn Nets – Kevin Durant and Spencer Dinwiddie
Memphis Grizzlies – Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr
Minnesota Timberwolves – Karl-Anthony Towns
Denver Nuggets – Michael Porter JR
San Antonio Spurs – Derrick White and LaMarcus Aldridge
Chicago Bulls – Lauri Markkanen
Kyrie Irving – No Kevin Durant for the next week. He’s an elite scorer who will not have anyone press him for shots. He’s the unquestioned alpha dog. Don’t get cute, take the raw points and move on.
CJ McCollum – He leads the Trail Blazers in minutes per game at 35.8. He leads them in scoring, 28 points per game. He also adds peripheral stats – 4 rebounds per game, 5.7 assists per game, and 1.7 steals per game.
Questions or comments?
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