Welcome to the Team Rise or Fall NBA DFS Risers Playbook for DraftKings and Fanduel.. Check out this spot every day for our first look at standout Vegas totals, pace up spots, and notable injury news. At the end I’ll address how I would handle this slate with the info we have available. This is a preview and plenty of decisions are subject to change depending on how the day’s news plays out.
Miami Heat @ Washington Wizards O/U 230
Bradley Beal has scored 101 points over his last two games so I’m gonna subscribe to the hot hand theory and keep riding his coattails. Bradley’s running mate Russell Westbrook always deserves consideration when building your lineups, but as always keep your eyes and ears open for any late changing news for Russ.
On the other side of the ball I like Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo to lead the way for the Heat. If I’m looking for value or decent players to use in a game with a high implied total I’ll focus on Tyler Herro, Thomas Bryant, Kelly Olynyk, and Rui Hachimura.
San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves O/U 234
The Spurs are coming off of impressive wins over the Los Angeles Clippers and Lakers. Demar Derozan leads the team, having scored 40+ fantasy points in three of his last five games. In my opinion most of the Spurs players are slightly overpriced, but if I was looking to use any of them it would be Dejounte Murray, Patty Mills, or Lonnie Walker.
The Timberwolves are at the bottom of the Western Conference standings, they’ve allowed an average of 127 points per game over their last six games, and Karl-Anthony Towns is questionable to play tonight but other than that, everything is fine. D’Angelo Russell is their standout player if Towns is out. I find his price a little high if KAT can play. Juan Hernangomez had a huge game two games ago and still draws consideration from me. Other Wolves in my mix are Malik Beasley and Anthony Edwards.
Portland Trailblazers @ Sacramento Kings O/U 235.5
De’Aaron Fox played in last night’s game but with a minutes restriction. Pay attention to any news regarding Fox’s minutes. Tyrese Haliburton has been good to begin the season and draws extra attention from me if Fox is scratched. Harrison Barnes has quietly been kinda hot recently. He’s averaging 34 fantasy points per game over his last six games. Marvin Bagley is also in play for tonight.
On the Portland side it doesn’t need to be said but I’ll type it anyway, Damian Lillard is in play. I’ll also be looking at C.J. McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic.
The Heat and their 20th ranked pace travel to Washington to face the Wizards and their league leading pace. I touched on this game above but I’ll reiterate: I like Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, and Kelly Olynyk from Miami.
Cleveland comes into tonight’s action ranked 28th out of 30 teams in pace. They face the Milwaukee Bucks who are the 5th ranked team when it comes to pace. The Bucks are also coming off of a beatdown at the hands of the Utah Jazz and will probably look to take that out on Cleveland. I’m looking for Andre Drummond and Larry Nance Jr. to carry the load, especially if Collin Sexton is unable to go tonight.
I touched on the Kings-Blazers game above so you know the players I like. As far as pace the Kings are 13th in the league while Portland is 8th in the league. Sacramento has the aforementioned bad defense and they’re on the second game of a back to back. This game has blowout potential in my opinion even though blowouts are something that I absolutely can’t predict.
Probable: Moe Harkless, Aaron Gordon, and Trey Burke.
Questionable: Karl-Anthony Towns, Collin Sexton, Evan Fournier, and Pat Connaughton.
Out: Rajon Rondo, Danilo Gallinari, Josh Okogie, Kevin Porter, Darius Garland, Torrey Craig, Michael Carter-Williams, Jalen Brunson, Josh Richardson, and Dorian Finney-Smith.
Bradley Beal – The guy is hotter than Wonder Woman in Death Valley in the middle of the summer. I know it’s better to get off of a player too early than too late but I don’t think Brad is done yet.
Demar Derozan – Derozan hasn’t been on Beal’s level of hot play lately, but I think he’s in a good spot to go off. I already discussed how porous the Minnesota defense has been. That’s a perfect spot for Demar to exploit their weakness and drive me to the top of the leaderboards.
Tim Hardaway Jr. – The Dallas Mavericks will be without Jalen Brunson, Josh Richardson, and Dorian Finney-Smith. I know Luka Doncic can do it all but he’ll need a little help and I’m looking for THJ to be that guy.
These are my EARLY targets. If you want targets from our NBA coaches closer to lock, check out NBA Building Blocks!
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