NBA DFS Risers Playbook for DraftKings and FanDuel 1/4/21
Welcome to the Team Rise or Fall NBA DFS Risers Playbook for DraftKings and FanDuel. This morning we will highlight some standout Vegas totals, pace ups spots, notable injury news, and my preferred way to attack the slate. At the conclusion of the article, we’ll discuss how I plan on handling the slate with the information we have this early in the day. Be mindful that this preview is subject to change as news breaks throughout the day.
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Notable Vegas Totals
Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors O/U 232
The Warriors are on the second night of a back-to-back. I would be cautious of the number of minutes Steph Curry played on Sunday night. The Warriors are tied for the league lead in pace, while Sacramento is slightly above league average. The Kings should be well rested so it is easier to lean their direction, especially in a pace up spot. I like DeAaron Fox’s price on both DraftKings and FanDuel. I’m not overly fond of Buddy Hield’s price on DraftKings as he looks to be a better value over on FanDuel.
New York Knicks @ Atlanta Hawks O/U 222
The Knicks and Hawks are both young teams looking to make a name for themselves. The Knicks are coming off a big win against the Pacers. They are lead by big man Julius Randle who will have the benefit of this being a pace up spot for the Knicks. Second-year forward RJ Barrett is playing a lot of minutes, averaging an eye-popping 38 minutes a game. On the other side of the court Baby Steph aka Trae Young is capable of going nuclear at any time and his salary reflects that on both sites. The Hawks are crowded on the wings with guys like De’Andre Hunter, Cam Reddish, Bogdan Bogdanovich, and Danilo Gallinari. I’ll want exposure but it’ll tough which one will hit value.
Pace Up Spots
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic
Larry Nance Jr proclaimed the Cavs backcourt SexLand – speaking about guards Darius Garland and Collin Sexton. The Cavs face Orlando which is top 10 in the league in pace. In this type of game where it looks to be fast-paced, I want exposure to the guards on both teams. Sexton leads the Cavs in scoring averaging 26 points per game, while the Magic are lead in scoring by sixth man Terrance Ross who averages 22 points per game.
Boston Celtics @Toronto Raptors
This will be a pace up spot for the Celtics who are slight above league average with a pace rating of 102.4. While the Raptors are eight in the league with a pace rating of 105.4. Kyle Lowry runs the point in Toronto along with Fred Van Vleet as they are one and two in points and assists for the Raptors. The Celtics rely on the scoring of Jaylen Brown and Jason Tatum. Brown is averaging 27.5 points per game and is followed by Tatum who is chipping in 24.3 points per game.
Key Injury News
Atlanta Hawks – Danilo Gallinari
Boston Celtics – Kemba Walker
Cleveland Cavaliers – Kevin Love, Isaac Okoro
Dallas Mavericks – Luka Doncic
Detroit Pistons – Josh Jackson
Houston Rockets – James Harden
Indiana Pacers – T.J. Warren
Orlando Magic – Evan Fournier
Steph Curry – He dropped a career-high 62 points last night. He looking to prove that he can anchor the Warriors to a playoff run without being surrounded by Klay Thompson and Kevin Durant. Can he ride the hot hand on the second night of a back-to-back?
Malcolm Brogdon – Brogdan is coming off his best outing this season scoring 54.3 DraftKings / 52.1 FanDuel points. He’s averaging 35.5 minutes a game this season and as we’ve hammered in our articles and videos, in NBA DFS, minutes = fantasy production.
Eric Bledsoe – I know he’s on some of your naughty lists but he’s underpriced on FanDuel (not quite the same value on DraftKings).
Questions or comments?
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