NBA DFS Top Value Plays for Thursday 3/16/23
When it comes to finding value plays in NBA DFS, one player to consider is Isaiah Jackson, the center for the Indiana Pacers. While he’s only a GPP play due to uncertainty surrounding Myles Turner’s availability, Jackson has shown impressive production when given the opportunity. In fact, he has scored at least 24 DraftKings points in six of his seven starts this season, averaging 38 points in those six games.
What makes Jackson such an intriguing option is his per-minute averages, which rank among the best in the league. Even with a modest salary of $5,400 on DraftKings and $6,000 on FanDuel, Jackson has proven that he can deliver significant value if given the chance. This is especially true if Turner is sidelined again, as Jackson would likely step into the starting lineup and have a chance to go off. Of course, this is a speculative pick, as we still don’t know for sure whether Turner will play or not.
Michael Porter Jr.
One player to keep an eye on for Thursday’s NBA DFS slate is Michael Porter Jr., the small forward for the Denver Nuggets. While consistency has been an issue for Porter throughout his career, he’s coming off back-to-back games with over 35 fantasy points, including a 23-point outing in just 23 minutes against the Brooklyn Nets. At a salary of $6,100 on FanDuel and $6,000 on DraftKings, he’s a nice bargain if he can continue to produce at that level, although he may not be a reliable option for cash games.
Looking at his recent performance, Porter has put up 33.6 and 37.2 FanDuel points in his last two games, despite a few disappointing performances that have dragged down his overall average. Over his last 17 games, he’s averaging 29.1 FanDuel points in 29.1 minutes per contest, shooting an impressive 52.0 percent from the field and 41.0 percent from beyond the arc. On Thursday, he’ll face a Detroit Pistons team that has allowed the third-highest three-point percentage on its home floor (37.9) and has given up an average of 41.3 FanDuel points per game to small forwards over the last 30 contests. If Porter can maintain his recent form, he could be a great value play on Thursday’s slate.
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Andrew Nembhard, the rookie point guard for the Indiana Pacers, is a player to watch on Thursday’s NBA DFS slate. With several key players likely to be out for the Pacers, including Bennedict Mathuin, Chris Duarte, and possibly T.J. McConnell, Nembhard is expected to start and see an increased role regardless of whether Tyrese Haliburton returns from injury or not.
While Haliburton’s presence could limit Nembhard’s fantasy output, there’s still potential for him to produce solid numbers given the depleted nature of the Pacers’ roster. With a salary of $5,800 on FanDuel and $6,000 on DraftKings, he’s an intriguing value play for those looking to save salary and take a chance on an under-the-radar player.
If McConnell is able to play, he would be the preferred play over Nembhard. However, if both players are out, Nembhard could be one of several Pacers players to benefit significantly from the situation. He’s shown the ability to deliver on his modest salary, with 22.9 to 32.6 FanDuel points in his last three games and a 5x return on his current salary in eight games this season.
Furthermore, when all of his questionable teammates are off the floor, Nembhard has averaged an impressive 35.3 FanDuel points per 36 minutes. While he’s still a risky play given the uncertainty surrounding the Pacers’ roster, he could be a solid value pick if everything falls into place on Thursday.
Jalen Duren, the power forward/center for the Detroit Pistons, is another player to consider for Thursday’s NBA DFS slate. With Isaiah Stewart and Marvin Bagley both out, Duren should see plenty of playing time against the Denver Nuggets. While he’s only playing 21 minutes per game since his return, Duren is still averaging an impressive 28 DraftKings points per game. He’s also been consistently productive over the last two months, averaging over 30 fantasy points per game.
While Duren doesn’t start, he’s proven that he can play in the league and contribute on both ends of the court. He’s particularly effective on the boards and protecting the rim, which could be valuable against a Nuggets team that has struggled against opposing centers this season. In his last four games, Duren has put up 22.25, 36.75, 36.75, and 20.5 DraftKings fantasy points, playing between 18 and 24 minutes in each game.
While his salary of $5,200 on DraftKings and $6,500 on FanDuel isn’t great, Duren’s floor seems stable given the number of injuries in the Pistons’ frontcourt. While he may not have a high ceiling, he’s a solid option for those looking for a safe value play with some upside. If Duren can continue his recent form, he could be a great bargain pick on Thursday’s slate.