NBA DFS Top Value Plays for Tuesday 01/31/23
NBA DFS Top Value Plays for 01/31/23
Bucks Value: Pat Connaughton and Grayson Allen
The Milwaukee Bucks are taking things slow with Khris Middleton, who has been coming off the bench in limited minutes since his return. This has allowed Grayson Allen and Pat Connaughton to keep their starting spots and earn playing time in the high-20s or more, depending on the game.
At their current prices on DraftKings and Fanduel, both players are worth considering for value plays in tonight’s matchup against the Hornets. With Bobby Portis out, Connaughton’s rebounding could see a boost, and Allen has the potential to hit his shots from beyond the arc, given that the Hornets give up the sixth-most three-pointers per game.
While neither player has high upside potential due to the way Milwaukee’s production is structured, their floor should be high enough to warrant consideration. Allen has been averaging 11.6 points, 3.2 rebounds, 2.7 assists, and 1.3 steals in 10 games, with five games where he scored more than 24 DK points. Keep an eye on both players as they could be solid additions to your NBA DFS lineup tonight.
Michael Porter Jr. DK $5,700 – FD $5,900
MPJ is a volatile but skilled player, averaging over 28 fantasy points per game. Despite being priced under $6,000, he has 30+ DraftKings points in 3 of his last 4 games. Although the New Orleans matchup is tough, the focus should be on Jokic and Murray, leaving opportunities for Porter.
After missing 3 games, Porter posted a solid 30 DK points in his return against the tough Sixers defense. In a high-scoring game against the Pelicans, with an O/U of 229.5, Porter could excel.
Latest Free Content
Knicks Value: Jalen Brunson and Quentin Grimes
Jalen Brunson ($7500 FD, $7900 DK) and Quentin Grimes ($4100 FD, $4400 DK) are playing for the Knicks against the Lakers. With the Lakers at full strength, the game will be more challenging but the Lakers are ranked 20th in defensive efficiency. Brunson has a high minutes floor, playing at least 37 minutes in each of the last 14 games, making him a safe option, especially on FanDuel where the price is low.
Grimes also has seen a lot of playing time for the Knicks but depends on his three-point shots to perform well. Although he’s played 36 or more minutes in the last three games, he’s only a three-and-D wing. Brunson is expected to score 26.6 points, 4 rebounds, and a steal in 37 minutes of playing time and projects for 1.1 fantasy points per minute.
Grimes is projected to score 24 points in 35 minutes and has crossed the 25-point mark in two out of the last 10 games. On FanDuel, he may be a good option due to the lack of pay-down options. He is has averaged 12 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per game.
Brunson is projected to score 44.5 points in a pace-up spot and is in the optimal lineup 27% of the time. Grimes, shooting guard/small forward eligible, is expected to score 25 points and play 35 minutes per game. He has performed well in the last 10 games, averaging 12 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per game. He may not be the most exciting option but at $4,400, he’s a top contender.
Brook Lopez – DK $6,000 – FD $6,200
Lopez has been having a strong season in Milwaukee, contending for the Defensive Player of the Year award, with an average of 31 DraftKings points per game. That’s great for a $6,000 player, especially with a favorable fantasy matchup against the Hornets, who have struggled against opposing centers. Lopez previously scored 38 DK points against them.
Stacking the Bucks looks promising, given the high total of 127.5, seven points higher than any other team on Thursday. Lopez’s scoring style, relying more on scoring than rebounding, and needing blocks to maximize his potential, but he’s a league leader in blocks this season and the Hornets are the most-blocked team.
The Hornets have been a prime matchup for centers, with the 5th highest offensive efficiency rating to the position (34.7) and the 2nd most FD points per game (58.8). They also allow the most rebounds (54.5) and blocks (6.1) per game in the Eastern Conference. Lopez has his highest rebounding average (6.2) since 2015-16 and a career-best 2.5 blocks per game. He’s also on a hot streak, averaging 29.0 FD points in the last seven games, with 14.9 points, 4.9 rebounds, 1.4 assists, and 2.3 blocks in 29.9 minutes.
Jericho Sims DK $4,600 – FD $4,700
The absence of a traditional center for the Knicks has given rise to the unexpected relevance of Sims. With Mitchell Robinson out, Sims has stepped into the starting lineup, playing 30 min/game in his last 5 games. That kind of playing time, combined with his rebounding skills, makes him valuable at this price range. He’ll face the Lakers, who allow the fourth-most FP to opposing centers.
Sims has been starting due to Robinson’s injury and has averaged 20 FD points in his first 5 games. The Lakers have a high offensive efficiency rating to centers (35.3, third-highest) and the fourth-most FD points per game to the position (56.9). LA also yields 5.4 blocks per road game (fifth-most), and Sims has 5 blocks in his last 6 games.
Building the best lineup for NBA DFS on DraftKings and Fanduel requires a combination of skill and luck. By using the advice and player picks outlined in this article, you can give yourself a better chance of coming out on top. Don’t be afraid to make adjustments based on the latest news and information, and always remember to have fun! With the right strategy, you can build the optimal lineup and potentially bring home the prize.
That’s all I’ve got for today
Do me a favor before you go, if you like this content and like what we’re doing here at Rise or Fall, please Share this article ❤