NBA DFS Top Value Plays for Wednesday 3/22/23
Deni Avdija is a promising young forward who could be an excellent value play for Wednesday’s NBA DFS contests. While there are some variables that need to fall into place for him to really shine, the potential pay-off could be well worth it.
We’ve already seen what Avdija is capable of when given a substantial role, as he put up an impressive 37 DK points across 34 minutes with Kuzma out on Thursday. In fact, Avdija has played at least 28 minutes in 31 games this year, averaging 33 points in those outings. Finding a $5K player with a 33-point average is rare in NBA DFS, so if the stars align for Avdija on Wednesday, he could be one of the top value plays on the board.
Despite some frustrations this year, Collins is usually priced above $6,000 on both DraftKings and FanDuel, making his current price tag of $5,200 on DraftKings and $5,500 on FanDuel quite enticing. Collins appears to be back to playing 30 minutes a night, and he’s been delivering solid fantasy production over the past few games.
He’s played at least 27 minutes in six straight outings, scoring at least 25 fantasy points in four of those games. For such an affordable player, that’s all you need to see to justify taking a chance on Collins in your lineup. Collins should be able to take advantage of a weak Minnesota defense, as the Timberwolves rank fourth in pace but just 22nd in total defense. If Collins can capitalize on this favorable matchup, he could easily exceed his value and be one of the top value plays of the night.
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Gary Trent Jr.
Trent’s ability to score points quickly with his three-point shooting makes him an intriguing option, especially against the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have one of the highest three-point shooting percentages allowed overall (37.3%) and have given up an even higher 39.2% from behind the arc to shooting guards specifically.
Against this weak defense, Trent has a chance to exceed expectations, especially considering his recent fantasy production. He’s exceeded 30 fantasy points in nine of his last 18 games, showcasing his potential upside, especially given his modest salaries of $5,200 on DK and $5,800 on FD. If Trent can find his range from beyond the arc, he could be a key value play for Wednesday’s slate.
Agbaji has been impressive lately, averaging shooting an impressive 36.8% from beyond the arc and averaging over 13 points per game over his last 12 games. He has started nine consecutive games only adds to his appeal, as he is set to see increased playing time with the absence of Collin Sexton and Jordan Clarkson due to injuries. If Lauri Markkanen is also unable to play, Agbaji’s value could skyrocket even further.
The Portland Trail Blazers present a juicy matchup for Agbaji, as they have been allowing 40.1% three-point shooting to shooting gaurds this season. With his modest salaries of $5,000 on DK and $4,700 on FD, Agbaji has the potential to provide excellent value for your lineup while exceeding expectations against the weak Portland defense.