It’s time for the NBA Weekly DFS Lineup Report for Draftkings. I’ll be focusing on the Draftkings main contest on the main slate every day from the previous week. The “main contest” is the $15 unless DK switches things up and offers a $20 contest or maybe even a special lower priced event like an $8 contest.
All of the information presented below comes via Fantasy Cruncher Pro and their Lineup Study and Rewind features. This is a must have tool if you’re being serious about DFS. You’ll have the ability to go back through years worth of data and analyze great players, or like I’ll be doing, specific contests. I really can’t recommend FC Pro enough.
Here’s the 1st place entry in the $10 NBA $500K Pull Up Jumper:
This was a seven-game slate that featured one player above 9k in salary, three players projected for 40+ fantasy points (pFPS), and three players with a projected ownership (pOwn) of 20% or more. This was a stars and scrubs build with three players priced at 8k or more and four players priced at 4.4k or less.
Here’s the 1st place entry in the $12 NBA $500K Finger Roll:
This was a nine-game slate that featured one player priced above 9k, one player with pFPS of 40+ points, and two players with a pOWN of 20% or more. If the February 9th lineup was stars and scrubs, I’d say this lineup uses the balanced approach.
There was one expensive player and then everyone else fell in a range of 4.4k to 6.8k. That’s the thing about DFS. There’s no “one way” to win all the money. The best approach shifts from night to night.
Here’s the first place entry in the $15 NBA $500K Fadeaway:
This was a five-game slate that featured one player with a salary above 9k, three players pFPS of 40+, and two players pOwn of 20% or more. We’re back to the stars and scrubs approach with four players priced at 7,1k or more and three players priced at 3.6k or less.
Here’s the 1st place entry in the $4 NBA $500K Micro Millions Finale:
This was an 11-game slate that featured two players priced at 9k or more, three players pFPS of 40+ points, and one player with a pOwn of 20% or more.
I like the names in this lineup. We’ve got Luka Doncic, Jayson Tatum, and Nikola Vucevic. And we also have Jordan McLaughlin, Grayson Allen, Saddiq Bey, and Isaiah Roby. Stars and scrubs wins again.
Here’s the 1st place entry in the $15 NBA $500K Fadeaway:
This was a four-game slate that featured two players priced at 9k or more, two players pFPS of 40+ (We could say three players because John Wall was projected for 39.98 fantasy points.), and five players with a pOwn of 20% or more (We could say six players because James Harden had a pOwn of 19.7.).
Here’s the 1st place entry in the $15 NBA $450K Fadeaway:
This was a nine-game slate that featured one player above 9k in salary, two players pFPS of 40+, and two players with a pOwn of 20% or more. I don’t know how to classify this lineup. Balanced stars and scrubs? Giannis, LaMelo, and some dudes?
Giannis and LaMelo are priced at 10.9k and 8.7k respectively. Terry Rozier and Lou Williams are priced at 7.4k and 6.3k. Everyone else is 4.4k or less.
Here’s the 1st place entry in the $8 NBA $500K Excellent 8’s:
This was a seven-game slate that featured one player priced above 9k, two players in the 8k range, and one player in the 7k range. The other four players were priced at 4.3k or less.
There were four players with pFPS of 40+, and two players with a pOwn of 20% or more. Once again this was a stars and scrubs lineup. It was a big week for this type of build.
*Every winning lineup featured at least two teammates. Three lineups featured three teammates. Two of the three lineups with three teammates were used on nine-game slates. That’s a little unusual from what I’ve seen. With so many games on the slate there’s usually no need to dedicate 38% of your lineup to one team.
*Five out of seven lineups featured a game stack. The 2-1 stack was once again the most popular primary stack. The 1-1 stack showed up in two different lineups which is a little low compared to what we’ve seen in previous weeks.
*The winning lineup had a salary of 50k one time, 49.9k two times, 49.7k two times, and 49.6k two times.
We’re now seven weeks into the NBA DFS Weekly GPP Report for DraftKings and just last week I said
“We’re six weeks into the NBA DFS Weekly GPP Report for DraftKings and the biggest takeaway (For me) is setting your minimum salary at $49,800. I’ve analyzed 42 slates now and the winning lineup has used less than $49,800 in salary four times (9.5%).“
So of course the DFS Gods had to prove me wrong a week later. This week saw four lineups with a salary of $49,700 or below. That means out of the 49 contests I’ve analyzed the salary in the winning lineup has been below $49,800 eight times (16.3%).
Last week I also said
“Another rule that seems like it would work is making a group of all the players projected for 40 or more fantasy points and using at least two. We’ve seen as many as four players projected for 40+ in a lineup but nearly every lineup has used at least two players projected for that amount.”
I think there’s still something to this strategy. Six out of the seven lineups this week used at least two players projected for 40 or more fantasy points. I look forward to building on this in the weeks to come.
That’s all from me for now. I’ll see you all in a week. Until then, LET’S GET THIS MONEY!
See ya in Discord,
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