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NBA Weekly DFS Report for DraftKings

It’s time for the NBA Weekly DFS Report for Draftkings. I’ll be focusing on the Draftkings main contest on the main slate every day from the previous week. The “main contest” is the $15 unless DK switches things up and offers a $20 contest or maybe even a special lower priced event like an $8 contest.

All of the information presented below comes via Fantasy Cruncher Pro and their Lineup Study and Rewind features. This is a must have tool if you’re being serious about DFS. You’ll have the ability to go back through years worth of data and analyze great players, or like I’ll be doing, specific contests. I really can’t recommend FC Pro enough.

Before I get to the goods I have to remind you to check out our Winners Page. What more proof do you need that Team Rise or Fall is the place to be than numerous members doing very well every night?

January 4, 2021

Here’s the 1st place lineup in the $20

This was a nine game slate that favored the contrarian player. Five of the eight players were projected to be owned (pOwn) at 17.1% or less. Three of the players were 6.2% pOwn or less. There were three players projected for 40+ fantasy points (pFPS), and two players had costs of 9k or more.

January 5, 2021

Here’s the 1st place lineup in the $15

This slate had five games and featured three players pOwn 20% or more. There were only two players pFPS above 40 fantasy points in this winning lineup. As we move through the remaining lineups you’ll notice that all have either two or three players projected for 40+ fantasy points. Once again the winner had two players with salaries at 9k or more in their lineups.

January 6, 2021

Here’s the first place lineup in the $15

There were 11 games on this slate and it produced one of the most contrarian lineups we’ll see. Five of the eight players had a pOwn of less than 10% and accounted for 31.9% of the lineups’ 122.9% pOwn. There was only one 9k+ player used, and two players with a projection of 40+ fantasy points.

January 7, 2021

Here’s the 1st place lineup in the $15

This was another five game slate and another day for the contrarians. Half (4) of the players in the lineup were projected to be owned less than 10%. There were two players projected for 40+ fantasy points, and there were two players with salaries above 10k. That last part really jumped out to me. When there’s two players above 9k it’s usually two in the 9k-9.9k range or one in the 9k range and one in the 10k range. Once again, some of these observations are slate dependent.

January 8, 2021

Here’s the 1st place lineup in the $20

This was a 10 game slate that I’ll call “Mid-Chalk.” There were three players pOwn 19% or higher. There were three players below 10% pOwn, and obviously there were two in the middle range. There were three players projected at 40+ fantasy points and one player just missed the cut at 39 fantasy points. This lineup featured no players with a salary at 9k or more.

January 9, 2021

Here’s the 1st place lineup in the $15

This was a seven game slate and boy was it chalky. There were four players with a pOwn of 20% or more, and two of those players were projected to be owned 48.4% and 52.9%. Only one player had a salary above 9k although Andre Drummond was close at 8.7k (still doesn’t count though). There were three players projected to score 40+ fantasy points in this lineup.

January 10, 2021

Here’s the 1st place lineup in the $15

This was a five game slate and it was pretty chalky as well. There were five players pOwn at 20% or more. There was only one player with a salary at 9k+, and three players were projected for 40+ fantasy points.

One of the lessons that we SHOULD be picking up on is that ownership doesn’t matter for the most part. I wouldn’t want a lineup full of guys that everyone is using but four or five seems to be ok. We can get unique at those remaining positions while still benefiting from the chalk players.

January 11, 2021

Here’s the 1st place lineup in the $8

We close out the games this week with a seven game slate. There were only three chalky players used and then several with an ownership projection below 15%. This backs up what I said in the previous section. And we close out this section with two players projected at 40+ fantasy points. There were no players with a salary above 9k used in this lineup.

MORE NUMBERS

*Just like last week’s report we see that every winning lineup featured at least two teammates. Three winning lineups out of the eight reviewed had three teammates in the lineup.

*Mini game stacks seem to be a thing. Six out of eight lineups featured at least one game stack. Last week five out of six lineups featured at least one game stack. The most common game stack is the 2-1 stack (Two players from one team, and one from their opponent) with 1-1 stacks being the second most popular.

*Four out of six lineups last week and four out of eight lineups this week used all of the $50,000 salary. Out of the 14 slates I’ve analyzed over the last two weeks there were only four winners that used $49,800 or less. The least amount of salary used was $49,600.

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CONCLUSION

Just like last week I want everyone to keep in mind that the information above is A) Based on a one week sample and B) Not a guarantee of what will happen in the future. I’m looking for trends or strategies like we used for the NFL Milly Maker Reports. Hopefully we stumble onto a nugget or two that we can use throughout the season.

Covid-19 is starting to really damage the NBA season with games being postponed and players in the safety protocols. This is going to be a unique season with unique challenges, just like The Bubble took some getting used to last season. There seems to be blowouts every night and they come from all types of games which adds one more wrinkle to our research process. Hopefully these articles identify a few things we can latch onto as we build our lineups.

Ok, meet me back here in a week. Until then, LET’S GET THIS MONEY!

See ya in Discord,
EagSixCards

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