LOADING

Type to search

Tags:

NBA Weekly DFS Report for DraftKings

Welcome to our new feature, the NBA Weekly DFS Report. I’ll be focusing on the Draftkings main contest on the main slate every day from the previous week. The “main contest” is the $15 unless DK switches things up and offers a $20 contest or maybe even a special lower priced event.

All of the information presented below comes via Fantasy Cruncher Pro and their Lineup Study and Rewind features. This is a must have tool if you’re being serious about DFS. You’ll have the ability to go back through years worth of data and analyze great players, or like I’ll be doing, specific contests. I really can’t recommend FC Pro enough.

One last thing before we get rolling: Check out our Winners Page. Not bragging or anything (Ok I’m bragging and everything) but Team Rise or Fall members are going HAM!

**There was no info provided for January 1, 2021**

December 28, 2020

Here’s the 1st place lineup in the $15:

This was a five game slate and the chalk smashed. Six of the eight players were projected owned (pOwn) over 20%. My first thought was that it happened because of there only being five games. As we’ll see in a few slates that wasn’t the case. I’m rounding up for this stat so three players were projected (pFPS) for 40+ points in the lineup as well. There were two players priced at 9k or more.

December 29, 2020

Here’s the 1st place lineup in the $20:

This was a 10 game slate and you can see the ownership is a little more spread out. Three players were projected owned over 20%, and three players were projected over 40 fantasy points. There was one player priced at 9k or more.

December 30, 2020

Here’s the 1st place lineup in the $20:

This was a six game slate and another chalky day. Six of the eight players were projected owned 20% or more. And something that was pretty consistent over these six slates: There were three players projected for 40+ points. There were no players priced at 9k or more.

December 31, 2020

Here’s the 1st place lineup in the $15:

This was a five game slate and I’ll this a victory for the contrarian players. There was only one player projected owned 20% or more. The 10%-19% range dominated this slate with five players. I have to round up Fred VanVleet’s projection but again we see three players projected for 40+ points in the lineup. There were no players priced at 9k or more.

January 2, 2021

Here’s the 1st place lineup in the $15:

This was a five game slate and another victory for the contrarians out there. Only one player was projected owned 20% or more. And like New Year’s Eve the 10%-19% guys showed up big time with five players projected owned in that range. This slate is also the outlier for today’s post. There were no players projected for 40+ fantasy points in the lineup. There were no players priced at 9k or higher.

January 3, 2021

This was a seven game slate and it featured a little of everything. There were four players projected owned 20% or more, and three players projected for 40+ fantasy points. There was one player priced above 9k.

MORE NUMBERS

*This first thing that jumps out for me is that regardless of slate size the winners used almost all, if not all of the available salary. NBA DFS is the most predictable (At least that’s what “they” say) so it makes sense that you’re not leaving a ton of salary on the table. The projections are on point.

*We’re looking at a very small sample size but every winning lineup had at least 2 players from the same team. Half of the winners had multiple team stacks, with the December 30th winner using three team stacks.

*Every winner except for the December 30th lineup featured at least one game stack. December 29th and January 3rd used multiple game stacks.

*I’d like to say more about projected ownership but it’s really slate dependent. Last minute injury news, and now Covid-19 in the mix can open up value on any slate. We saw above that chalky lineups won and contrarian lineups won so nothing definitive there, especially after one week of analysis.

CONCLUSION

The NBA season is rounding into form after the weird start and the coronavirus problems. Rotations are becoming a little more defined, but we still don’t know what teams really are. There has been at least one blowout per slate (Or it seems that way) which ends up hurting if you went heavy with players from that game. I think we’re still a week or two away from “NBA DFS” as we’re used to.

Please keep in mind that the information above is A) Based on a one week sample and B) Not a guarantee of what will happen in the future. I’m looking for trends or strategies like we used for the NFL Milly Maker Reports. Hopefully we stumble onto a nugget or two that we can use throughout the season.

Ok, meet me back here in a week. Until then, LET’S GET THIS MONEY!

See ya in Discord,
EagSixCards

Tags:

Leave a Comment

%d bloggers like this: