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🏈 NFL DFS Stacks for Week 11

Welcome to the weekly DFS game stacking strategy article. At this point, most DFS regulars understand the concept of stacking, that is rostering multiple players from the same team on your DFS roster. The idea is to take advantage of positive correlation to maximize your potential ceiling. While this has become more commonplace, using point spreads and projected point totals to stack entire games is less prevalent. That’s what this article will focus on each week.

When game stacking, it’s important to look at the outcomes you expect and tell yourself a story about how it gets there. For each game I’m looking to stack below, I’ll include the point spread, the projected over/under point total, and the implied narrative that gets the game to that outcome. From there, I’ll explore the stacking options that would provide the biggest DFS boost if the narratives come to fruition. Let’s dive in! 

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Packers (-1) at Vikings

Over/Under: 47.5
Narrative: Leveraging the chalk of the week

Everybody is clamoring over AJ Dillon in DFS this week, so I love getting contrarian with a Rodgers-led stack, as mentioned in my Yahoo picks article. Of course, you’re going to start by pairing him with Davante Adams. The Green Bay duo could break the slate, as they did in Minnesota last season when they combined for 72.4 PPR points. I also like the idea of adding Marquez Valdes-Scantling or Randall Cobb to the mix with Allen Lazard likely sidelined. This game stack gets even better with Dalvin Cook as the ideal bring-back candidate on the other side. 

On the other hand, there are perfectly valid reasons why Dillon is going to be so popular. If you want to use him in a tournament, you’re going to need him to smash. You’re also going to want to stack the other side of the ball with Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson in the hopes that Minnesota has to air it out in the second half to catch up. I’d even recommend adding Adam Thielen or Tyler Conklin.

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Bengals (-1.5) at Raiders

Over/Under: 50
Narrative: Sin City shootout

Last week the Raiders got torched by Patrick Mahomes. This week it could be Burrow’s turn to light up Sin City. He has an impressive 7% touchdown rate and some of the best young pass-catchers in the NFL. I like stacking him with both Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, but don’t mind the idea of getting different and swapping either of them for the less popular Tyler Boyd or C.J. Uzomah. It’s projected to be a competitive game, so I love Josh Jacobs as the bring-back on the other side. Darren Waller is viable too, but I wouldn’t play both of them together.

There’s a chance we see the exact opposite happen, and Cincinnati finds success on the ground with Joe Mixon. If that happens, stacking the other side with Derek Carr and Waller makes the most sense. Then you can add in some combination of Hunter Renfrow, Bryan Edwards, or Zay Jones if you want to get crazy.

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Cowboys at Chiefs (-2.5)

Over/Under: 56.5
Narrative: Shootout of the year

The stacking options are endless in this game, so let’s start with the home favorites.

Patrick Mahomes came back to life last week, but his salary still isn’t where it used to be. That gives you a little more wiggle room when trying to stack him with Tyreek Hill or Travis Kelce. Both are great options, but I prefer using Kelce to give my lineup a chance to blow up at the tight end position. CeeDee Lamb is the more expensive run-back option, and Michael Gallup is also viable, though he’ll likely be more popular now that Amari Cooper isn’t an option. Ezekiel Elliot is my favorite Cowboy to mix into a Chiefs stack, as he’s always capable of getting multiple goal-line touchdowns. 

Starting your stack with Dak Prescott means adding multiple Cowboy pass-catchers. Lamb and Gallup are great options, but it’s also worth considering a dart throw with Cedric Wilson or Dalton Schultz. I want to run it back with Kelce on the other side, even if that means using him in my flex spot. Clyde Edwards-Helaire is an intriguing low-rostered option on the other side, as long as he suits up.  

Seahawks at Cardinals (-2)

Over/Under: 47.5
Narrative: Sneaky game stack of the week.

This divisional matchup doesn’t offer the wide variety of stacking options you find in the above games, but there are a few straightforward ways to stack this game that hit big.

After a dud performance in his return from finger surgery, Russell Wilson’s salary has plummeted. This gives us the chance to stack him with both of his big-play wideouts, DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. On the other side, you’ve got the perfect run-back option in James Conner, who leads the NFL in rushing touchdowns. He’ll continue to get all the goal-line work with Chase Edmonds sidelined. The Arizona offense gets a boost if Kyler Murray returns, and the quarterback isn’t likely to vulture any touchdowns while he’s still limited with his ankle injury.  

Given Kyler’s bum ankle, the absence of DeAndre Hopkins, and the lack of clarity in Seattle’s backfield, I can’t imagine any other stacking scenarios in this game.

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