🏈 NFL DFS Stacks for Week 13
Welcome to the weekly DFS game stacking strategy article. At this point, most DFS regulars understand the concept of stacking, that is rostering multiple players from the same team on your DFS roster. The idea is to take advantage of positive correlation to maximize your potential ceiling. While this has become more commonplace, using point spreads and projected point totals to stack entire games is less prevalent. That’s what this article will focus on each week.
When game stacking, it’s important to look at the outcomes you expect and tell yourself a story about how it gets there. For each game I’m looking to stack below, I’ll include the point spread, the projected over/under point total, and the implied narrative that gets the game to that outcome. From there, I’ll explore the stacking options that would provide the biggest DFS boost if the narratives come to fruition.
Let’s dive in!
Buccaneers (-10.5) at Falcons
Narrative: Atlanta tries to keep up with the Bucs
As huge favorites in this game, you’ve got to consider stacking Tom Brady with some of his weapons. Chris Godwin is the more reliable option, but Mike Evans has twice as many touchdowns (10) on the season. Rob Gronkowski has been great in his last two games since returning, so he also needs to be in the mix. There aren’t many run-back options on the other side, but Cordarrell Patterson does make sense as he’s been responsible for 9 of Atlanta’s 22 touchdowns on the season.
If you want to get a little contrarian, you can go the other way and start a stack with Matt Ryan. This game features an expected 51 point total, and Ryan will need to air it out to keep up with the Bucs. Kyle Pitts will be his primary target, and Patterson gets enough work through the air that they’re both viable stacking pieces. Leonard Fournette is the classic run-it-back option on the other side, but I also like Evans for his multi-touchdown upside.
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Chargers at Bengals (-3)
Narrative: Stacks on stacks
This matchup is set to be one of the best stacking games of the season. I usually start a game stack at QB, but I want to begin with Joe Mixon. He’s seen elite usage and production over the last four weeks, and the Chargers have been the fourth-best matchup for RBs on the season. The best part, however, is all the stacking options on the other side of the ball. Herbert has no trouble airing it out, Keenan Allen is one of the most consistent wideouts in the NFL, and Mike Williams is a big play waiting to happen. Even Austin Ekeler sees enough passing game work to be a viable option.
Building some Joe Burrow stacks is a great way to pivot off Mixon. If the Chargers get out to a lead, Cincinnati will have to turn to the air. That is something Burrow and his receiving corps is very capable of doing. Ja’Marr Chase is his best stacking partner, but I’m also going to add either Tee Higgins or Tyler Boyd as well. Ekeler makes the most sense to run it back with, but Allen or Williams could also pay off if the game turns into a true shootout.
49ers (-3.5) at Seahawks
Narrative: Russ finally bounces back
This game doesn’t jump off the screen as an obvious matchup to stack, but it could deliver if Russell Wilson and the Seattle offense break out of their recent funk. Stacking him with both DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett has led to DFS success in the past but isn’t likely to be popular this week. Elijah Mitchell makes an ideal run-back option on the other side of the ball.
With Deebo Samuel out this week, Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle are going to be popular individual plays. Why not stack both of them with Jimmy G? If both Aiyuk and Kittle have strong fantasy games, so will he. There’s nobody in the Seatle backfield worth considering as a run-back option, so Metcalf and Lockett are the options to run it back with, in hopes of a shootout.
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Broncos at Chiefs (-9.5)
Narrative: Sunday night stacking finale
There aren’t any other games I want to fully stack on the main slate, so let’s take a look at the Sunday night matchup. Remember, this means you’ll have to find a slate that includes the prime time game.
There’s only one way to stack this game, and it starts with Patrick Mahomes. As usual, Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce are the best options to stack with him. I prefer Kelce for the slate-breaking difference he can make at tight end, but I also like finding the salary to use them both. With the news that Melvin Gordan is doubtful to play in this game, Javonte Williams becomes a perfect option to bring back on the other side.
In case you’re wondering, no, I don’t want to build any stacks around Teddy Bridgewater and the Broncos pass-catchers.
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