🏈 NFL DFS Stacks for Week 14
Welcome to the weekly DFS game stacking strategy article. At this point, most DFS regulars understand the concept of stacking, that is rostering multiple players from the same team on your DFS roster. The idea is to take advantage of positive correlation to maximize your potential ceiling. While this has become more commonplace, using point spreads and projected point totals to stack entire games is less prevalent. That’s what this article will focus on each week.
When game stacking, it’s important to look at the outcomes you expect and tell yourself a story about how it gets there. For each game I’m looking to stack below, I’ll include the point spread, the projected over/under point total, and the implied narrative that gets the game to that outcome. From there, I’ll explore the stacking options that would provide the biggest DFS boost if the narratives come to fruition. Let’s dive in!
Raiders at Chiefs (-9.5)
Narrative: Mahomes dominates the silver and black.
The last time a Chiefs stack paid off was Week 10 and came against this same Las Vegas team. As I mentioned in my Yahoo picks article, Patrick Mahomes has put up 22 total touchdowns in seven career games against the silver and black. The triple stack of Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, and Travis Kelce needs to be in play again this week. The trio is more affordable on FanDuel where they would account for 41.2% of your salary cap, compared to 47.8% on DraftKings. If forced to choose between the two pass-catchers, I’m taking Kelce for his ability to distance himself from the entire tight end field.
There are a few options to run it back with on the other side to make it a full game stack. Josh Jacobs makes a lot of sense, as he should see a workhorse role in the absence of Kenyan Drake and can still be involved in the passing game if Vegas falls behind. Hunter Renfrow also works, as he should get peppered with targets if the Raiders have to try and keep up with Mahomes going nuclear.
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Football Team at Cowboys (4.5)
Narrative: Divisional shootout hits the over
There are several ways this game could go, but with both Ezekiel Elliot and Tony Pollard looking to be less than 100%, Dallas may go all-in on the passing attack with Dak. I’m locking in his alpha wideout CeeDee Lamb in the stack, and then there are various paths to take to complete the game stack. Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, or Dalton Schultz all work for building a triple stack of Cowboys. On the other side, you can go with bell-cow back Antonio Gibson if you see Washington getting out to a lead. If you think it goes the other way and the Football Team is playing catchup, Terry McLaurin is the better bring-back option.
If you want to get bold, starting a stack with Taylor Heinicke and McLaurin offers a high ceiling at a low cost and a low roster percentage. You can also add in Ricky Seals-Jones and hope for some QB-TE correlation. This stack sets up perfectly to run it back with Ezekiel Elliot, who will be in for a ton of work if Tony Pollard is hobbled by his recent foot injury.
Bills at Buccaneers (-3.5)
Narrative: Air show in Tampa
With a 54 point over-under, this is likely to be the most stacked game of the slate. Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs is a smart place to start, but it will also be popular. You’ll want to add at least one more pass-catcher to your Bills stack. On the other side, I’m targeting Bucs with a multi-touchdown upside. Specifically Leonard Fournette, Mike Evans, or Rob Gronkowski.
Of course, a Brady stack is just as viable and could be less popular than usual, given the seemingly tough matchup with the Buffalo defense. You know all the usual stacking options in Tampa Bay, but Breshad Perriman, who ran 40 routes last week, should also be in consideration. There’s no way I’m rolling out a Buffalo running back on the other side, so Diggs and Knox are my favorites to run it back.
I should also mention that with both of these quarterbacks having such high ceilings, this game is perfect to super stack in any form of Superflex DFS slate.
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Seahawks (-8.5) at Texans
Narrative: Russell Wilson onslaught
It’s rare to target stacking a game with the lowest expected point total of the slate, but hear me out. The Seahawks are big favorites, their backfield is a mess, and they funnel all their targets to two players. I love triple-stacking Russell Wilson, DK Metcalf, and Tyler Lockett here. There’s a real chance that Wilson throws multiple touchdowns to each of his big-play wideouts en route to a blowout over the Texans. Bringing it back with Brandin Cooks on the other side to make it a true game-stack can be considered, but it’s far from necessary.
Bonus Skinny Stacks
There are two other stacking combinations I love this week that don’t fit the full game stack narrative.
The first is Lamar Jackson and either Marquise Brown or Mark Andrews. Jackson can always get it done on the ground, and both pass-catchers are capable of big games, but the matchup with Cleveland isn’t conducive to a high-scoring affair.
The other skinny stack I’m looking at this week is Ryan Tannehill with Julio Jones. It’s likely to be an extremely low-rostered combination, and it has the potential to hit big. The Titans are eight-point favorites, and they’re desperate for offensive playmakers. Julio fits the bill, and Tannehill should be targeting him all game long in this plus matchup.
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