NFL DFS Stacks for Week 5
Welcome to the weekly DFS game stacking strategy article. At this point, most DFS regulars understand the concept of stacking, that is rostering multiple players from the same team on your DFS roster. The idea is to take advantage of positive correlation to maximize your potential ceiling. While this has become more commonplace, using point spreads and projected point totals to stack entire games is less prevalent. That’s what this article will focus on each week.
When game stacking, it’s important to look at the outcomes you expect and tell yourself a story about how it gets there. For each game I’m looking to stack below, I’ll include the point spread, the projected over/under point total, and the implied narrative that gets the game to that outcome. From there, I’ll explore the stacking options that would provide the biggest DFS boost if the narratives come to fruition. Let’s dive in!
Packers (-3) at Bengals
Narrative: Back and forth shootout
As I mentioned several times in my Yahoo DFS picks article, this game has all the ingredients for a shootout. Let’s start the stack with the home underdog Joe Burrow. He averaged just over 40 pass attempts/game as a rookie, but that number is down to 27 attempts/game this season. That could change this week thanks to a hobbled or sidelined Joe Mixon, the return of Tee Higgins, and the absence of Jaire Alexander on the other side of the ball.
After starting with Burrow at QB, Ja’Marr Chase is my favorite WR to stack with him. As Cincinnati’s leader in receiving yards, touchdowns, and air yards, he has the best chance to put up a slate-breaking performance. Mixing in Tyler Boyd, Tee Higgins, or C.J. Uzomah is perfectly fine for a super stack. Running it back with either Aaron Jones or Davante Adams makes a lot of sense, but I wouldn’t go with both.
You can also build a pretty powerful stack by starting with Aaron Rodgers at QB, who has a chance to throw 3+ touchdowns every time he takes the field. Pairing him with Adams is a must, and I’d also add in Randall Cobb, Allen Lazard, or Robert Tonyan. Cobb may be the most popular after his two touchdowns last week, but I prefer Lazard or Tonyan, who have been on the field and running routes but just haven’t found the end zone lately. Chase is my run-back option of choice for this build.
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Giants at Cowboys (-7)
Narrative: Giants try to keep up
This NFC East showdown has the highest expected point total on the slate. Let’s start with the quarterback of the road team underdogs in Daniel Jones. He has the second-most rushing yards among quarterbacks on the slate, trailing only Jalen Hurts. He’s also been surprisingly protective of the ball, throwing just one interception so far this season.
Kenny Golladay is my must-stack option with Jones. He’s been quietly consistent with the Giants, but he hasn’t scored a touchdown yet, despite the end zone prowess he was known for in Detroit. I also love adding in Kadarius Toney, who saw strong usage last week (79% snaps, 9 targets) and flashed his ankle-breaking moves. Evan Engram and John Ross are other options that you could take a shot on. Either way, if I’m stacking the Giants, I’m bringing it back with Ezekiel Eliot.
As the home team favorites, the Cowboys also make a lot of sense to build your stack around. Dak Prescott has been incredibly efficient on low passing volume lately, and there’s a chance that volume goes up this week. You can take your pick between Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb to stack with Dak, and there’s nothing wrong with super stacking both of them. I’m not bringing Elliot into the mix though, in hopes that Dak vultures a rushing touchdown. Again, I’m bringing it back with Saquon Barkley on the other side of this stack.
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49ers at Cardinals (-5.5)
Narrative: Dual-threat quarterback duel
Over in the NFC West, Trey Lance is making his first NFL start against Kyler Murray in a matchup of dual-threat quarterbacks. Given their rushing floors, it’s perfectly fine to play these quarterbacks naked, but finding the right stacks can lead to a tournament takedown.
With the third-most passing yards heading into Week 5, Murray has the better chance to get it done through the air. Despite back-to-back down weeks, DeAndre Hopkins is my favorite Cardinal pass-catcher to stack. His depressed salary makes it more affordable than usual to pair Murray with his top wide receiver. If you think Arizona airs it out, A.J. Green, Christian Kirk, Rondale Moore, and even tight end Maxx Williams are all options. You can bring it back with any 49er pass-catcher, but a sneaky run-back option that I love is Trey Sermon, who carried the ball 19 times last week.
As much as I love Lance for DFS, I don’t love his stacking options. As the San Fransisco target leader, Deebo Samuel is the obvious option to stack. I don’t mind taking a shot at the Brandon Aiyuk breakout week, especially with George Kittle doubtful to play, but I’m not super stacking with multiple 49er pass-catchers. I love bringing it back it Hopkins on the other side but wouldn’t argue with Kirk or Green either.
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Bills at Chiefs (-2.5)
Narrative: Sunday night shootout
Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen aren’t on the main slate this week, but that doesn’t entirely preclude you from using them in DFS this weekend. Their respective teams face off in the Sunday night game, and both DraftKings and FanDuel have less popular slates that include the game. This is a great way to get exposure to the highest expected point total of the week.
As far as stacking goes, I prefer to start it off with Allen and Stefon Diggs. Not only does Diggs lead the Bills in targets (42) and air yards (537), those numbers put him at fifth and first overall in the respective categories. You don’t need to super stack the Bills, but mixing in Emmanuel Sanders, Cole Beasley, or red hot Dawson Knox certainly works. You can then run it back with any combination of Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, or even Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who’s rushed for over 100 yards in back-to-back games.
If you start your stack with Mahomes, I’d recommend keeping it a little lighter. You can pay all the way up for both Hill and Kelce, but it won’t leave you with much room to work. On the other side, I wouldn’t bother with any Buffalo running back, and the only receiver worth playing by himself would be Diggs. If you decide to forgo Kelce, playing Knox on the other side is an interesting build.
Finally, I’d be remiss if I didn’t mention how much I love playing the FanDuel Superflex slate, which includes every game on Sunday. In this slate, you can stack both Mahomes and Allen. It’s costly but entirely possible. I’ve already submitted my entry.
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