NFL DFS Stacks for Week 6
Welcome to the weekly DFS game stacking strategy article. At this point, most DFS regulars understand the concept of stacking, that is rostering multiple players from the same team on your DFS roster. The idea is to take advantage of positive correlation to maximize your potential ceiling. While this has become more commonplace, using point spreads and projected point totals to stack entire games is less prevalent. That’s what this article will focus on each week.
When game stacking, it’s important to look at the outcomes you expect and tell yourself a story about how it gets there. For each game I’m looking to stack below, I’ll include the point spread, the projected over/under point total, and the implied narrative that gets the game to that outcome. From there, I’ll explore the stacking options that would provide the biggest DFS boost if the narratives come to fruition. Let’s dive in!
Chiefs (-6.5) at Football Team
Narrative: Bad defenses lead to lots of points
Let’s start at the top with the game expected to have the most points scored this week. It features the two teams that have given up the most points this season, 318 combined. Both also have top-12 scoring offenses, giving us a recipe for points scored in this game.
The Chiefs trio of Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, and Travis Kelce is stackable every week, but this could be the matchup of the year for them. The combo is a little more affordable on FanDuel this week, primarily because of Hill’s huge salary on DraftKings. As I mentioned in my Yahoo DFS picks article, Mecole Hardman is seeing increased usage this season, so he can be considered as a salary-saving leverage play instead of Hill. Antonio Gibson is a nice run-back option if you believe Washington keeps it close, while Terry McLaurin is the play if you think they’re playing catch-up all game.
A more affordable way to stack this game is by starting with Taylor Heinicke and pairing him with McLaurin. Then you can add J.D. McKissic or Ricky Seals-Jones for an affordable super stack. The Kansas City options mentioned earlier all work as run-back options, but Darell Williams is my favorite on the other side of the ball if I’m loading up on the Washington side.
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Chargers at Ravens (-2.5)
Narrative: Two overpowering offenses take on disappointing defenses
I love both sides of the ball in this game, as both defenses have been disappointing. Baltimore has given up the fifth-most passing yards in the league, and the Chargers are more stackable, so let’s start with Justin Herbert. Mike Williams and Keenan Allen are both viable stacking options as usual, and I prefer the salary savings you get with Allen. Jared Cook and Donald Parham are also worth adding to the mix, and you can even include Austin Ekeler. If I’m playing Herbert, I’m mixing and matching two or three of his teammates, then running it back with Marquise Brown or Mark Andrews.
Lamar Jackson isn’t as stackable on the other side. Hollywood and Andrews are the only two I’m looking at, but I’m ok going with both. All of the Chargers mentioned with Herbert are solid run-back options, but Ekeler is my favorite. There’s always a chance he scores multiple times on the ground, stealing points from Herbert and the pass-catchers.
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Rams at Giants (-9)
Narrative: The Rams roll over the Giants
The Giants have the eighth-worst scoring defense in the league, and the Rams offense is clicking, so I like being heavy on Los Angeles here. Matthew Stafford paired with Cooper Kupp and/or Robert Woods is the obvious stack, while Van Jefferson, DeSean Jackson, and Tyler Higbee are deeper options. Kadarius Toney is my favorite run-back option on the other side, thanks to his ridiculous playmaking ability. Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram are sneakier options.
Given the point spread, I don’t love building a stack with the Giants. Darrell Henderson could be in for a huge game, so I don’t mind using him on the other side of a Daniel Jones and one pass-catcher of your choice stack, but I’d rather just use Henderson unstacked in other lineups.
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Packers (-5.5) at Bears
Narrative: Change of pace for Chicago
The point total in this game isn’t great, but there are still opportunities to stack here, especially if you want to get a little different. The Bears have won their last two games on the back of good defense and a strong running game, but what if that doesn’t work against Green Bay this week?
Justin Fields offers a discount salary and low roster percentage that can give you leverage on the field. If the Bears are forced to pass more than the past few weeks to keep up, he could both throw and scramble to the most fantasy points of his young career. I love stacking him with Allen Robinson or Darnell Mooney, then running it back with Davante Adams or Aaron Jones on the other side. If this stack hits, it could take down a tournament.
Don’t bother full game stacking the other way, though I don’t mind a Green Bay onslaught stack. If you believe Fields will be bad again and the Pack will run away with it, you can stack Aaron Rodgers, Adams, and another piece of their offense. Then fill in the rest of your lineup with strong plays from other games.
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