NFL DFS Week 1 Preview

Football fanatics, it’s that time of the year again! The crisp autumn air, the roar of the crowds, and the promise of unforgettable touchdowns – NFL Fantasy Football is back, and it’s bigger than ever. With the start of the season just around the corner, the excitement is palpable.
As you gear up for another thrilling NFL season, I’m here to be your trusted guide through the world of NFL DFS and I’m thrilled to take you on a journey through the Week 1 DFS picks.
Whether you’re a seasoned DFS veteran or just dipping your toes into this exhilarating realm, this preview will provide you with valuable insights, expert analysis, and a winning strategy for crafting your DFS lineup. So, let’s huddle up and get ready to conquer NFL Week 1 in style!
The NFL season is back in action, and with it comes the excitement of NFL Fantasy Football and NFL DFS. As we gear up for Week 1, let’s dive into the matchups, top player picks, and some insightful analysis to help you build a winning lineup. Whether you’re playing on DraftKings NFL DFS or FanDuel NFL DFS, we’ve got you covered with valuable insights and strategies.
NFL Schedule & Vegas Lines
Let’s kick things off by taking a look at the Week 1 schedule and Vegas lines. Understanding the point spreads and over/under totals can provide valuable insights into potential high-scoring games and sleeper picks.
Road Team | Home Team | Favorite | Spread | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|
Carolina Panthers | Atlanta Falcons | ATL | -3.5 | 39.5 |
Houston Texans | Baltimore Ravens | BAL | -10 | 43.5 |
Cincinnati Bengals | Cleveland Browns | CIN | -2.5 | 47.5 |
Jacksonville Jaguars | Indianapolis Colts | JAC | -4.5 | 45.5 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Minnesota Vikings | MIN | -6 | 45.5 |
Tennessee Titans | New Orleans Saints | NOS | -3 | 41.5 |
San Francisco 49ers | Pittsburgh Steelers | SFO | -2.5 | 40.5 |
Arizona Cardinals | Washington Commanders | WAS | -7 | 38.5 |
Green Bay Packers | Chicago Bears | CHI | -1 | 43.5 |
Las Vegas Raiders | Denver Broncos | DEN | -4 | 44 |
Miami Dolphins | Los Angeles Chargers | LAC | -3 | 50.5 |
Philadelphia Eagles | New England Patriots | PHI | -3.5 | 45 |
Los Angeles Rams | Seattle Seahawks | SEA | -5.5 | 45.5 |
Implied Team Totals and DVOA Matchups
Now, let’s take a closer look at the DVOA matchups based on last season’s 2022 data. Understanding how offenses and defenses performed in the past can help us make informed decisions for Week 1.
Offense | Spread | Total | Opp | DVOA | vs. Pass | vs. Run |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Atlanta Falcons | -3.5 | 21.5 | vs CAR | 25 | 27 | 18 |
Carolina Panthers | 3.5 | 18 | at ATL | 30 | 29 | 24 |
Baltimore Ravens | -10 | 26.8 | vs HOU | 22 | 14 | 27 |
Houston Texans | 10 | 16.8 | at BAL | 7 | 11 | 7 |
Cleveland Browns | 2.5 | 22.5 | vs CIN | 11 | 12 | 14 |
Cincinnati Bengals | -2.5 | 25 | at CLE | 23 | 16 | 28 |
Indianapolis Colts | 4.5 | 20.5 | vs JAC | 26 | 30 | 11 |
Jacksonville Jaguars | -4.5 | 25 | at IND | 14 | 18 | 16 |
Minnesota Vikings | -6 | 25.8 | vs TBB | 13 | 15 | 13 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 19.8 | at MIN | 27 | 26 | 19 |
New Orleans Saints | -3 | 22.3 | vs TEN | 19 | 28 | 1 |
Tennessee Titans | 3 | 19.3 | at NOS | 8 | 6 | 17 |
Pittsburgh Steelers | 2.5 | 19 | vs SFO | 1 | 5 | 2 |
San Francisco 49ers | -2.5 | 21.5 | at PIT | 12 | 19 | 6 |
Washington Commanders | -7 | 22.8 | vs ARI | 24 | 21 | 22 |
Arizona Cardinals | 7 | 15.8 | at WAS | 9 | 13 | 8 |
Chicago Bears | -1 | 22.3 | vs GBP | 20 | 8 | 31 |
Green Bay Packers | 1 | 21.3 | at CHI | 32 | 32 | 30 |
Denver Broncos | -4 | 24 | vs LVR | 31 | 31 | 23 |
Las Vegas Raiders | 4 | 20 | at DEN | 10 | 7 | 20 |
Los Angeles Chargers | -3 | 26.8 | vs MIA | 15 | 25 | 4 |
Miami Dolphins | 3 | 23.8 | at LAC | 16 | 10 | 29 |
New England Patriots | 3.5 | 20.8 | vs PHI | 6 | 1 | 21 |
Philadelphia Eagles | -3.5 | 24.3 | at NEP | 3 | 2 | 9 |
Seattle Seahawks | -5.5 | 25.5 | vs LAR | 18 | 24 | 12 |
Los Angeles Rams | 5.5 | 20 | at SEA | 21 | 17 | 25 |
Top Rated Players for the Week
Now, let’s focus on the top-rated players for Week 1. These players have the potential to make a significant impact on your DFS lineup.
Quarterbacks (QB)
- Joe Burrow – Burrow has been on fire and has the best passer rating among QBs since the start of 2021. Facing the Browns, who have an average opposing passer rating, makes him a strong pick.
- Jalen Hurts – Hurts is consistent and has the ability to rack up yards both through the air and on the ground. His matchup against the Patriots is reasonable, and he can exploit their defense.
- Justin Herbert – Herbert has shown his passing prowess and faces the Dolphins, who have struggled against QBs. If he continues his form from last season, he could have a big game.
- Lamar Jackson – Jackson is always a wild card due to his rushing ability. His upside is without question one of the highest at the quarterback position. However, his red zone struggles and the Texans’ defense in the red zone and the large spread could limit his upside.
- Deshaun Watson – Watson, despite red zone issues, has the potential to perform well against the Bengals. It’s a balanced matchup, and Watson’s consistency could pay off.
Running Backs (RB)
- Christian McCaffrey the versatile running back, takes the top spot for our Week 1 rankings. McCaffrey has been a fantasy football machine, averaging 18.3 fantasy points per game over his last eight outings, making him the best among NFL running backs. The matchup against the Steelers, who have allowed an average of just 13.4 fantasy points to opposing running backs, is tough on paper but McCaffrey is still a top play for your DFS lineup this week.
- Nick Chubb is next in line, and for good reason. He’s been a rushing force, averaging 89.6 yards per game since 2020, ranking him second among NFL running backs. Chubb faces the Bengals, who have allowed an average of 96.7 rushing yards to RBs, making this a fantastic matchup. Expect Chubb to deliver solid points for your DFS lineup.
- Austin Ekeler comes in at number three on our list. He’s been a reception machine, with 40 receptions in his last eight games, leading all NFL running backs. Facing the Dolphins, who have allowed 39 receptions to RBs over the same stretch, Ekeler is poised for a big game. His consistent performance makes him a strong DFS option.
- Travis Etienne may have had a rough stretch, averaging just 7.6 fantasy points since Week 11 of last season, but he’s facing the Colts, who allowed an average of 21.4 fantasy points to opposing RBs during the same period. The matchup leans in his favor, making Etienne a solid value play for your DFS lineup.
- Miles Sanders rounds out our top five. He’s found the end zone four times in his last eight games, and he’s up against the Falcons, who have allowed only 0.2 TDs per game to RBs during the same stretch. Sanders’ potential for scoring makes him an intriguing option, especially at his salary.
Wide Receivers (WR)
- Justin Jefferson has been a reception machine since the start of the 2021 season, leading all NFL wide receivers with 236 receptions. Facing the Buccaneers, who have allowed 447 receptions to WRs over the same stretch (Rank: 4th most), Jefferson is poised for a big game.
- Ja’Marr Chase Chase has been a touchdown machine, with 22 TDs since the start of the 2021 season, tied for 2nd best among NFL WRs. The Browns have allowed an average of 1.0 TDs per game to WRs over the same stretch, making Chase an excellent choice.
- Cooper Kupp excels after the catch, gaining 1,780 yards since the start of the 2020 season, the most among NFL WRs. Facing the Seahawks, who have allowed 2,835 yards after catch to WRs over the same stretch (Rank: 12th most), Kupp should have a big day. NOTE: Keep an eye on the injury report as there is a chance Kupp is out Week 1.
- Tyreek Hill Hill is a touchdown-scoring machine with 34 TDs since the start of the 2020 season, the 2nd most among NFL WRs. The Chargers have allowed just 41 TDs to WRs over that same stretch (Rank: 4th fewest), but Hill’s consistency makes him a solid pick.
- Davante Adams Adams has been a reception leader with 338 receptions since the start of the 2020 season, tied for the most among NFL WRs. Facing the Broncos, who have allowed 624 receptions to WRs over that same stretch (Rank: 15th most), Adams has potential in this matchup.
Tight Ends (TE)
- T.J. Hockenson has been on fire with 31 receptions over his past four games, making him the NFL’s leader among tight ends in that category. Facing the Buccaneers, who have allowed 21.0 receptions to tight ends over the same period (ranking 10th most), Hockenson’s matchup is favorable. His consistency and potential for a big game make him a top choice.
- Mark Andrews has been a force with 238 receptions since the start of the 2020 season, ranking second among tight ends. Facing the Texans, who have allowed 231.0 receptions to tight ends over the same period (tied for 14th fewest), Andrews has a solid matchup. His consistency and ability to deliver in big games make him a valuable option.
- Kyle Pitts has shown his explosiveness with 21 receptions of 20+ yards since the start of the 2021 season, ranking sixth among tight ends. He faces the Panthers, who have allowed 16 receptions of 20+ yards to tight ends over the same period (eighth fewest). Pitts’ consistency and big-play potential make him an enticing option, especially at his salary.
- George Kittle has been a fantasy point machine, averaging 11.0 fantasy points per game over his past eight games, the best among tight ends. Despite a somewhat volatile matchup against the Steelers, who have allowed an average of 8.8 fantasy points per game to tight ends over the same stretch (ninth worst), Kittle’s potential for a breakout performance is high. NOTE: Keep an eye on the injury report as there is a chance Kittle is out Week 1.
- Pat Freiermuth had an impressive 63 receptions last season, ranking sixth among tight ends. He faces the 49ers, who allowed 75.0 receptions to tight ends over the same timeframe (14th fewest). Freiermuth’s consistency and ability to perform well even in tough matchups make him a value play.
That’s all I’ve got for today
Thank you for checking out the article, I hope I was able to provide you with some value as you begin to build your DFS lineups for today’s contests.
Be sure to hit me up in Discord if you have questions. If you would prefer to reach out to me on Twitter @CeeGeeDFS that works too
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