🏈NFL DFS Week 11 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel

NFL DFS Week 11 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel

Welcome to the NFL DFS Week 11 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel! I’m going to highlight players each week that stand out in the Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub. This is a data driven piece with no personal bias. When referring to the Range of Outcomes tab, those numbers are referring to GPP target scores. Let’s get into it!

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Quarterback

Patrick Mahomes – DraftKings $7,600 FanDuel $8,300

Patrick Mahomes comes in as the second highest rated quarterback on both sites at 97.85 on DraftKings and 97.35 on FanDuel. Kansas City has a matchup against Dallas with a game total of 56.

Mahomes is projected for 39.9 pass attempts, 317.74 passing yards, and 2.37 passing touchdowns. Kansas City looks to have found their stride again and should be in a high scoring game environment.

In the Range of Outcomes tab, Mahomes has a 46.1% chance to score 29.8 points on DraftKings and a 40.9% chance to score 26.9 points on FanDuel. Mahomes grades out as a top option for tournaments and is in an appealing game to stack.

Lamar Jackson – DraftKings $8,000 FanDuel $8,400

Lamar Jackson comes in as the highest rated quarterback on both sites at 98.16 on DraftKings and 97.84 on FanDuel. Baltimore has a team total of 25.75 against Chicago.

Jackson is projected for 31.68 pass attempts, 241.16 passing yards, 11.31 rushing attempts, 67.3 rushing yards, and 2.25 total touchdowns. Jackson should continue to have a high volume and provide a high floor this week.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Jackson has a 32.4% chance to score 31 points on DraftKings and a 38.5% chance to score 27.2 points on FanDuel. Jackson grades out as a top option for tournaments and a high floor target for cash games.

Running Back

James Conner – DraftKings $6,100 FanDuel $7,200

James Conner comes in as the highest rated running back on DraftKings at 75.73 and the second highest on FanDuel at 75.04. Conner should continue to be the lead back for Arizona and appears to be underpriced on DraftKings.

Conner is projected for 16.24 rushing attempts, 68.67 rushing yards, 3.21 receptions, 24.34 receiving yards, and 0.97 total touchdowns. Conner should get the bulk of the running back work for Arizona given his snap% of 77% and 82% over the past two weeks.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Conner has a 31.6% chance to score 25.3 points on DraftKings and a 30.9% chance to score 23.6 points on FanDuel. Conner grades out as a high floor play that has the upside to do well in tournaments.

Dalvin Cook – DraftKings $8,200 FanDuel $8,400

Dalvin Cook comes in as the third highest rated running back on DraftKings at 66.34 and the highest on FanDuel at 75.54. Cook appears to be healthy and saw 27 total touches last week.

Cook is projected for 20.39 rushing attempts, 92.93 rushing yards, 3.23 receptions, 25.39 receiving yards, and 0.82 total touchdowns. Cook should get a massive volume this week coming off back to back weeks where he has seen 20 or more touches.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Cook has a 16.7% chance to score 31.6 points on DraftKings and a 18.5% chance to score 27.2 points on FanDuel. Cook is a high volume target that has the upside to be the highest scoring player on the slate.

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Wide Receiver

Davante Adams – DraftKings $8,400 FanDuel $8,400

Davante Adams comes in as the highest rated wide receiver on both sites at 87.06 on DraftKings and 85.38 on FanDuel. Adams has an elite market share of 31.68% over the past four weeks.

Adams is projected for 10.7 targets, 103.55 receiving yards, and 0.66 receiving touchdowns. Adams consistently sees the volume we need in a stud wide receiver in a game that is appealing to stack.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Adams has a 26.5% chance to score 32.2 points on DraftKings and a 22.8% chance to score 27.2 points on FanDuel. Adams grades out as a top option for cash games and tournaments with the highest ceiling on the slate.

Deebo Samuel – DraftKings $7,800 FanDuel $7,600

Deebo Samuel comes in as the third highest rated wide receiver on DraftKings at 85.45 and the second highest rated on FanDuel at 84.27. San Francisco takes on Jacksonville with a team total of 26.75.

Samuel is projected for 8.5 targets, 88.68 receiving yards, and 0.53 receiving touchdowns. Samuel has emerged as an elite weapon for the 49ers seeing a market share of 30.36% over the past four weeks.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Samuel has a 14.6% chance to score 30.4 points on DraftKings and a 14.7% chance to score 24.8 points on FanDuel. Samuel has one of the highest ceilings on the slate at a bit of a discount compared to other studs.

Tight End

Travis Kelce – DraftKings $7,100 FanDuel $7,300

Travis Kelce comes in as the highest rated tight end on both sites at 85.21 on DraftKings and 74.05 on FanDuel. Kelce is stackable with Patrick Mahomes with a team total of 29 against Dallas.

Kelce is projected for 9 targets, 80.27 receiving yards, and 0.56 receiving touchdowns. Kelce has seen a market share of 20.57% over the past four weeks and is at a discount compared to the $8,000+ price tag he had earlier in the season.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Kelce has an 8.6% chance to score 28.3 points on DraftKings and a 7.2% chance to score 23.9 points on FanDuel. Kelce has TE1 upside and has the highest ceiling at his position.

Darren Waller – DraftKings $6,100 FanDuel $6,700

Darren Waller comes in as the second highest rated tight end on DraftKings at 74.81 and the third highest on FanDuel at 63.77. Waller continues to be a top option for Las Vegas posting a 22.5% market share over the past four weeks.

Waller is projected for 9 targets, 67.89 receiving yards, and 0.41 receiving touchdowns. With a team total of 24, Las Vegas is in a good position for a high scoring game against Cincinnati.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Waller has a 16.8% chance to score 25.3 points on DraftKings and a 12.8% chance to score 22.1 points on FanDuel. Waller has TE1 upside this week and comes at a discount compared to Kelce.

Good Luck on Sunday!
–TMay