🏈NFL DFS Week 12 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel
NFL DFS Week 12 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel
Welcome to the NFL DFS Week 12 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel! I’m going to highlight players each week that stand out in the Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub. This is a data driven piece with no personal bias. When referring to the Range of Outcomes tab, those numbers are referring to GPP target scores. Let’s get into it!
Tom Brady – DraftKings $7,600 FanDuel $8,200
Tom Brady comes in as the highest projected quarterback on both sites at 23.91 on DraftKings and 22.28 on FanDuel. Tampa Bay is in the highest scoring game environment on the slate with a game total of 51.5.
Brasy is projected for 38.67 pass attempts, 306.73 passing yards, and 2.43 passing touchdowns. Brady is going to pass at a high volume with reliable receivers.
In the Range of Outcomes tab, Brady has a 28.7% chance to score 29.8 points on DraftKings and a 33.4% chance to score 26.6 points on FanDuel. Brady presents a high floor for cash games in the most appealing game to stack on the slate for tournaments.
Justin Herbert – DraftKings $6,600 FanDuel $7,800
Justin Herbert comes in as the third highest projected quarterback on both sites at 21.09 on DraftKings and 20.08 on FanDuel. The Chargers have a team total of 25 against Denver.
Herbert is projected for 35.98 pass attempts, 260.82 passing yards, and 2.06 passing touchdowns. Herbert is going to have a high volume of pass attempts at an attractive price point on DraftKings.
In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Herbert has a 29% chance to score 26.8 points on DraftKings and a 29.3% chance to score 25.4 points on FanDuel. Herbert grades out as a top mid range option and has three high ceiling targets to stack with in tournamnets.
Christian McCaffrey – DraftKings $9,000 FanDuel $9,700
Christian McCaffrey comes in as the highest projected running back on both sites at 24.83 on DraftKings and 20.63 on FanDuel. McCaffrey appears to be healthy again and should have a high volume going forward.
McCaffrey is projected for 16.04 rushing attempts, 73.58 rushing yards, 7 receptions, 58.01 receiving yards, and 0.74 total touchdowns. McCaffrey saw his snap% go up to 90% last week and he should be involved in all phases of the game.
In the Range of Outcomes Tab, McCaffrey has a 25.7% chance to score 34 points on DraftKings and a 21.7% chance to score 31.1 points on FanDuel. McCaffrey grades out as the top stud running back this week and has the highest upside at his position.
James Robinson – DraftKings $6,200 FanDuel $7,600
James Robinson comes in as the seventh highest projected running back on DraftKings at 17.89 and the eighth highest on FanDuel at 15.66. Robinson has seen 16 and 14 touches the past two weeks and looks to be a full go this week.
Robinson is projected for 15.32 rushing attempts, 73.98 rushing yards, 2.99 receptions, 21.07 receiving yards, and 0.72 total touchdowns. Robinson gets a matchup against an Atlanta defense that ranks 30th against opposing running backs.
In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Robinson has a 28.3% chance to score 25.6 points on DraftKings and a 21.9% chance to score 24.8 points on FanDuel. Robinson grades out as a a solid mid range target for tournaments on both sites.
Davante Adams – DraftKings $8,600 FanDuel $8,700
Davante Adams comes in as the second highest projected wide receiver on both sites at 22.23 on DraftKings and 17.04 on FanDuel. Adams has an elite market share of 33.67% over the past four weeks.
Adams is projected for 11 targets, 97.79 receiving yards, and 0.57 receiving touchdowns. Adams is at a reasonable price tag and should see a massive volume against the Rams.
In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Adams has a 17.2% chance to score 32.8 points on DraftKings and a 12.7% chance to score 28.1 points on FanDuel. Toss adams into your cash lineup and he grades out well in tournaments.
Chris Godwin – DraftKings $7,000 FanDuel $7,600
Chris Godwin comes in as the sixth highest projected wide receiver on both sites at 18.53 on DraftKings and 14.97 on FanDuel. Tampa Bay is in a high scoring game environment and Godwin is at a flexible price point on both sites.
Goodwin is projected for 8.7 targets, 75.83 receiving yards, and 0.44 receiving touchdowns. Antonio Brown is out again and Tom Brady will get a ton of pass attempts. Godwin is likely a high volume target this week.
In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Godwin has a 29.5% chance to score 28 points on DraftKings and a 21.5% chance to score 24.8 points on FanDuel. Godwin has the high ceiling we’re looking for in tournaments and stands out in his price range.
Dallas Goedert – DraftKings $4,800 FanDuel $5,900
Dallas Goedert comes in as the highest projected tight end on both sites at 15.3 on DraftKings and 11.9 on FanDuel. Goedert stands out amongst the tight ends on this slate and offers salary relief.
Goedert is projected for 5.8 targets, 71.65 receiving yards, and 0.5 receiving touchdowns. Goedert has seen a 29.87% market share over the past four weeks which is hard to find at his price point on DraftKings.
In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Goedert has an 15.1% chance to score 21.4 points on DraftKings and a 9.7% chance to score 19.7 points on FanDuel. Goedert has TE1 upside and grades out bas the top target at his position.
Rob Gronkowski – DraftKings $4,400 FanDuel $6,500
Rob Gronkowski comes in as the fourth highest projected tight end on both sites at 10.97 on DraftKings and 9.02 on FanDuel. Gronkowski is the third Buccaneer in this article and fits like a glove in game stacks on DraftKings.
Gronkowski is projected for 4.5 targets, 43.33 receiving yards, and 0.51 receiving touchdowns. Gronkowski saw 8 targets last week and should be a red zone threat this week.
In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Gronkowski has a 9% chance to score 20.2 points on DraftKings and a 1.7% chance to score 21.5 points on FanDuel. Gronkowski grades out much better on DraftKings than FanDuel and has a high upside in tournaments.
Good Luck on Sunday!