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🏈NFL DFS Week 15 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel

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NFL DFS Week 15 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel

Welcome to the NFL DFS Week 15 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel! I’m going to highlight players each week that stand out in the Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub. This is a data driven piece with no personal bias. When referring to the Range of Outcomes tab, those numbers are referring to GPP target scores. Let’s get into it!

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Quarterback

Kyler Murray – DraftKings $7,900 FanDuel $8,800

Kyler Murray comes in as the highest projected quarterback on both sites at 25.07 on DraftKings and 23.98 on FanDuel. Arizona has a team total of 30.5 against Detroit.

Murray is projected for 33.73 pass attempts, 278.43 passing yards, 5.78 rushing attempts, 29.51 rushing yards, and 2.61 total touchdowns. Murray will have a high volume and grades out to have high touchdown upside against an underwhelming Detroit defense.

In the Range of Outcomes tab, Murray has a 33.4% chance to hit his tournament target score on DraftKings and a 36.2% chance to hit that score on FanDuel. Get some exposure to Kyler Murray in tournaments.

Josh Allen – DraftKings $8,100 FanDuel $8,700

Josh Allen comes in as the second highest projected quarterback on both sites at 24.25 on DraftKings and 23.04 on FanDuel. Buffalo takes on Carolina with a team total of 27.

Allen is projected for 35.76 pass attempts, 260.79 passing yards, 7.6 rushing attempts, 37.2 rushing yards, and 2.3 total touchdowns. Josh Allen presents a high ceiling due to his massive volume and Buffalo’s lack of a running game.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Allen has a 23.4% chance to hit his tournament target score on DraftKings and a 29.2% chance to hit that score on FanDuel. Allen has tournament winning upside and has solid stacking options.

Running Back

Antonio Gibson – DraftKings $6,000 FanDuel $6,900

Antonio Gibson comes in as the fourth highest projected running back on DraftKings at 16.54 and the third highest on FanDuel at 15.64. Gibson has seen a ton of work over the past four weeks averaging 23.8 touches per game.

Gibson is projected for 15.67 rushing attempts, 65.6 rushing yards, 2.64 receptions, 18.93 receiving yards, and 0.53 total touchdowns. Gibson grades out as a solid value play on both sites and Washington has a team total of 19.5.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Gibson has a 12.9% chance to hit his tournament target score on DraftKings and a 11.6% chance to hit that score on FanDuel. Gibson grades out as a high volume value play that makes him appealing in all formats.

Ezekiel Elliott – DraftKings $7,300 FanDuel $6,700

Ezekiel Elloitt comes in as the fourth highest projected running back on both sites at 16.1 on DraftKings and 14.4 on FanDuel. Dallas has a team total of 27.75 and Elliot is averaging 14.5 touches per game over his past four weeks.

Elliott is projected for 14.14 rushing attempts, 66.13 rushing yards, 3.44 receptions, 21.84 receiving yards, and 0.79 total touchdowns. Elloit grades out well and is the second highest rated running back on FanDuel at 88.85.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Elliott has a 14.9% chance to hit his tournament target score on DraftKings and a 24.4% chance to hit that score on FanDuel. Elliot is a high upside option in a high scoring game environment.

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Wide Receiver

Cooper Kupp – DraftKings $9,000 FanDuel $9,000

Cooper Kupp comes in as the highest projected wide receiver on both sites at 24.64 on DraftKings and 18.78 on FanDuel. Kupp has a rating above 115 on both sites and looks like the top pay up option of the week.

Kupp is projected for 11.7 targets, 101.64 receiving yards, and 0.69 receiving touchdowns. Kupp has a market share of 26.32% over his past four weeks. Elite volume from the Rams wideout.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Kupp has a 30.6% chance to hit his tournament target score on DraftKings and a 23.8% chance to hit that score on FanDuel. If you have the salary for a pay up wide receiver, the study hub points to Kupp as the go-to option.

DK Metcalf – DraftKings $6,200 FanDuel $6,800

DK Metcalf comes in as the seventh highest projected wide receiver on DraftKings at 15.78 and the sixth highest on FanDuel at 13.12. Tyler Lockett should be out this week due to health and safety protocols which gives Metcalf a huge bump in market share.

Metcalf is projected for 7 targets, 61.79 receiving yards, and 0.52 receiving touchdowns. Metcalf has a market share of 23.14% over the past four weeks. Likely see that number jump due to an increased workload.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Metcalf has a 30.5% chance to hit his tournament target score on DraftKings and a 23.3% chance to hit that score on FanDuel.Metcalf grades out as ahigh upside tournament option this week.

Tight End

George Kittle – DraftKings $7,500 FanDuel $7,800

George Kittle comes in as the highest projected tight end on both sites at 18.83 on DraftKings and 14.47 on FanDuel. Kittle is affordable on both sites and has a rating over 100 on both sites.

Kittle is projected for 8.3 targets, 83.51 receiving yards, and 0.58 receiving touchdowns. Kittle has a market share of 29.46 over the past four weeks and San Francisco has a team total of 27.25.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Kittle has a 7.7% chance to hit his tournament target score on DraftKings and a 5.7% chance to hit that score on FanDuel. If you’re looking to pay up at tight end, Kittle is the guy to go to.

Mark Andrews – DraftKings $6,400 FanDuel $7,400

Mark Andrews comes in as the second highest projected tight end on DraftKings at 12.8 and the third highest on FanDuel at 9.9. Baltimore has a team total of 19.5 against Green Bay.

Andrews is projected for 10 targets, 56.5 receiving yards, and 0.41 receiving touchdowns. Andrews has a market share of 27.59% over the past four weeks and has scored an average of 18.1 point on DraftKings in that span.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Andrews has a 2.6% chance to hit his tournament target score on DraftKings and a 0.9% chance to hit that score on FanDuel. Andrews should come in under owned and has the volume to hit the ceiling we’re looking for in tournaments.

Good Luck on Sunday!
TMay