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NFL DFS Week 2 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel

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NFL DFS Week 2 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel

Welcome to the NFL DFS Week 1 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel! I’m going to highlight players each week that stand out in the Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub. This is a data driven piece with no personal bias. When refering to the Range of Outcomes tab, those numbers are referring to GPP target scores. Let’s get into it!

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Quarterback

Kyler Murray – DraftKings $8,200 FanDuel $8,700

Kyler Murray comes in as the highest rated quarterback on both sites at 98.12 on DraftKings and 97.94 on FanDuel. Murray grades out as a 3.16x value on DraftKings and a 2.87x value on FanDuel.

Arizona currently has a team total of 27.5 against Minnesota and is favored to win with a -4 spread. Murray is projected for 34.37 pass attempts and 8.09 rushing attempts. That is high volume that should increase in a competitive game script.

In the Range of Outcomes tab, Murray has a 26.3% chance to score 31.6 points on DraftKings and a 32.8% chance to score 28.1 points on FanDuel. Murray has the second highest ceiling in the percentile projections on both sites, just behind Josh Allen.

Josh Allen – DraftKings $7,200 FanDuel $8,100

Josh Allen comes in as the fourth highest rated quarterback on DraftKings at 97.61 and the third highest on FanDuel at 97.37. Buffalo’s team total is currently 25.5 points against Miami with a -3 spread.

Allen is projected for 36.1 pass attempts and 7.75 rushing attempts with 2.54 total touchdowns. That is massive volume and Buffalo should lean on Allen for their offense as they do not have an elite running back.

In the Range of Outcomes tab, Allen has a 41.2% chance to score 28.6 points on DraftKings and a 43.9% chance to  score 26.3 points on FanDuel. Those are very high percentages that indicate that Allen has a high probability of hitting his GPP target score against Miami. He has the highest ceiling on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

Running Back

Najee Harris – DraftKings $6,300 FanDuel $6,100

Najee Harris comes in as the highest rated running back on both DraftKings and FanDuel at 90 on both sites. Given his snap share last week, the $6,000 range is a great spot to attack for Najee Harris in cash games.

Harris is projected for 13.76 rushing attempts and 3 targets against Las Vegas with a team total of 26 and a spread of -5. If Pittsburgh is in control of the game, they may lean on Harris down the stretch with added rushing attempts.

In the Range of Outcomes tab, Harris has a 21.2% chance to score 25.9 points on DraftKings and a 28.7% chance to score 20.3 points on FanDuel. Harris looks better on FanDuel than DraftKings for GPPs but, is a fine play in cash games on both sites.

Alvin Kamara – DraftKings $8,800 FanDuel $8,800

Alvin Kamara comes in as the second highest rated player on both sites at 87.22 on DraftKings and 86.18 on FanDuel. The only running back with a rating close to Kamara above $7,000 is Dalvin Cook on FanDuel at 84.68.

Kamara is projected for 13.71 rushing attempts and 5.77 receptions against Carolina with a team total of 23.5. Kamara should see a massive volume this week as he is New Orleans’ top option on offense.

In the Range of Outcomes tab, Kamara has a 22.9% chance to score 33.4 points on DraftKings and a 23.5% chance to score 28.4 points on FanDuel. Kamara grades out as the top pay up option on both sites and has the highest ceiling at his position.

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Wide Receivers

DeAndre Hopkins – DraftKings $8,000 FanDuel $8,500

DeAndre Hopkins comes in as the highest rated wide receiver on DraftKings at 86.12 and the second highest rated on FanDuel at 74.62. It is likely that the price increase on FanDuel results in a lower rating.

Hopkins is projected for 8 targets, 91.81 receiving yards, and .55 receiving touchdowns against Minnesota. Hopkins is Kyler Murray’s number one targets and he is projected to get a solid volume on Sunday.

In the Range of Outcomes tab, Hopkins has a 12.4% chance to score 31 points on DraftKings and a 7% chance to score 27.5 points on FanDuel. Hopkins looks like a better GPP play on DraftKings than FanDuel due to pricing. Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins look like a solid stack in the NFL Study Hub.

Stefon Diggs – DraftKings $7,700 FanDuel $7,500

Stefon Diggs comes in as the second highest rated wide receiver on DraftKings at 85.34 and the highest rated in FanDuel at 74.62. Diggs comes in at a solid price point relative to his volume on both sites.

Diggs is projected for 14 targets, 84.33 receiving yards, and 0.51 receiving touchdowns against Miami. That is massive volume for a receiver in the $7,000 range. Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs look to be an affordable stack on both sites.

In the Range of Outcomes tab, Diggs has a 19.3% chance to score 30.1 points on DraftKings and a 19.2% chance to score 24.5 points on FanDuel. Diggs has the second highest ceiling on both sites.

Tight End

George Kittle – DraftKings $6,400 FanDuel $6,700

George Kittle comes in as the highest rated tight end on both sites at 83.74 on DraftKings and 82.92 on FanDuel. Kittle is the second highest priced player at his position but, has a ceiling that few at his position can hit.

Kittle is projected to have 5.59 receptions, 70.7 receiving yards, and 0.41 receiving touchdowns against Philadelphia. San Francisco has a team total of 26.5 and a spread of -3.

In the Range of Outcomes tab, Kittle has an 11.7% chance to score 26.2 points on DraftKings and a 9.8% chance to score 22.1 points on FanDuel. Kittle has the highest ceiling at his position and is a great play for cash games and GPPs.

Darren Waller – DraftKings $7,600 FanDuel $7,000

Darren Waller comes in as the second highest rated tight end on both sites at 70 on both DraftKings and FanDuel. The matchup isn’t the best against Pittsburgh with a team total of 21 but, the volume should be there for Waller.

Waller is the second highest projected player at his position on both sites and should be a popular option due to his performance against Baltimore.

In the Range of Outcomes tab, Waller has a 10.6% chance to score 29.8 points on DraftKings and a 13.8% chance to score 23 points on FanDuel. Waller has a high ceiling and is a solid option in cash games and GPPs.

Good Luck on Sunday!
TMay

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