LOADING

Type to search

DFS FREE CONTENT NFL

NFL DFS Week 5 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel

Share
nfl dfs

NFL DFS Week 5 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel

Welcome to the NFL DFS Week 5 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel! I’m going to highlight players each week that stand out in the Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub. This is a data driven piece with no personal bias. When referring to the Range of Outcomes tab, those numbers are referring to GPP target scores. Let’s get into it!

If you’d like to see what Team Rise or Fall is all about, please check out our ABOUT US page and see what these pros are up to!

Quarterback

Dak Prescott – DraftKings $6,900 FanDuel $8,100

Dak Prescott comes in as the highest rated quarterback on both sites coming in at 97.16 on DraftKings and 96.85 on FanDuel. Prescott has a matchup against the Giants with a team total of 29.75.

Prescott is projected for 35.29 pass attempts, 293.49 passing yards, and 2.5 total touchdowns. Prescott has the weapons around him to succeed and he has eclipsed 20 points on both sites in three of four games this season.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Prescott has a 35.8% chance to score 27.7 points on DraftKings and a 36.5% chance to score 26.3 points on FanDuel. Prescott has the second highest ceiling on the slate behind Jalen Hurts.

Prescott should be popular on Sunday but, is a solid target in cash games and tournaments with contrarian pieces around him.

Justin Herbert – DraftKings $6,800 FanDuel $7,700

Tom Brady comes in as the fifth highest rated quarterback on both sites at 86.18 on DraftKings and 86 on FanDuel. Herbert gets a matchup against Cleveland with a team total of 24.25.

Herbert is projected for 35.64 pass attempts, 262.1 passing yards, and 2.08 total touchdowns. Herbert isn’t a quarterback that we can expect a rushing floor from so he will need to excel through the air. Given his supporting cast and price point, he looks like a solid mid range option.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Herbert has a 38.8% chance to score 27.4 points on DraftKings and a 42% chance to score 25.1 points on FanDuel. Herbert looks like a solid tournament option that has a high chance to succeed.

Running Back

Alvin Kamara – DraftKings $8,600 FanDuel $8,600

Alvin Kamara comes in as the highest rated running back on both sites at 87.15 on DraftKings and 96.01 on FanDuel. $8,600 is a low price tag for a player that we know will be a focal point in the Saints offense and has high touchdown upside.

Kamara is projected for 16.75 rushing attempts, 4.87 receptions, 115.22 total yards, and 0.9 total touchdowns. Kamara has a 58.65% market share of the running back touches through 4 weeks in a run heavy offense.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Kamara has a 24.8% chance to score 32.8 points on DraftKings and a 27.1% chance to score 27.8 points on FanDuel. Kamara looks to be a solid target for tournaments with the field being low on him due to his lack of receiving work.

James Robinson – DraftKings $6,000 FanDuel $7,400

James Robinson comes in as the third highest rated running back on both sites at 74.96 on DraftKings and 74.32 on FanDuel. Robinson has been an uptick in production the past two weeks scoring over over 20 points on both sites each week.

Robinson is projected for 15.88 rushing attempts, 3.54 receptions, 95.9 total yards, and .66 total touchdowns. That’s solid volume for a running back in the mid range which should provide a high floor.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Robinson has a 30.1% chance to score 25 points on DraftKings and a 22.2% chance to score 24.2 points on FanDuel. Robinson looks to be a solid target for cash games and tournaments.

subscribe now bottom of the barrel week 1Projection Models, Cheat Sheets, Player Pools, Cores, Discord Chat & More if you need help!

Wide Receiver

Davante Adams – DraftKings $8,200 FanDuel $8,200

Davante Adams comes in as the highest rated wide receiver on both sites at 87.29 on DraftKings and 85.53 on FanDuel. Green Bay has a 26.5 point team total against a Bengals defense that shouldn’t offer too much resistance.

Adams is projected for 11.3 targets, 103.36 receiving yards, and 0.67 receiving touchdowns. Adams has been a target monster in the early going sporting a 36% market share of the passing game targets.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Adams has a 24.7% chance to score 31.6 points on DraftKings and a 21% chance to score 26.6 points on FanDuel. Adams is going to be a high volume target that has a high chance to succeed in tournaments and has a high floor in cash games.

CeeDee Lamb – DraftKings $6,200 FanDuel $6,900

CeeDee Lamb comes in as the fifth rated wide receiver on DraftKings at 75 and the second highest on FanDuel at 83.96. Lamb is priced in the mid range in a game where Dallas has a 29.75 point team total.

Lamb is projected for 8 targets, 76.86 receiving yards, and 0.5 receiving touchdowns. That’s solid volume for a player in the mid range and Lamb has a 24.43% market share through four weeks of play.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Lamb has a 23.6% chance to score 25.6 points on DraftKings and a 17.1% chance to score 22.7 points on FanDuel. Lamb should be a popular option this week which makes him appealing in cash games and he has the upside to pay off in tournaments.

Tight End

Darren Waller – DraftKings $7,300 FanDuel $7,400

Darren Waller comes in as the highest rated tight end on both sites at 64.33 on DraftKings and 63.35 on FanDuel. Las Vegas has a team total of 25.5 and Derek carr is projected to pass over 35.92 times on Sunday.

Waller is projected for 10 targets, 64.98 receiving yards, and 0.46 receiving touchdowns. Waller has been the recipient of a 24.84% market share which is good for the highest at tight end on the slate.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Waller has a 14.5% chance to score 28.9 points on DraftKings and a 13.7% chance to score 24.2 points on FanDuel. Waller appears to be the top tight end on this slate and should be a popular option.

George Kittle – DraftKings $5,600 FanDuel $6,500

George Kittle comes in as the second highest rated tight end on both sites at 60 on both DraftKings and FanDuel. San Francisco has a 22.75 point total against Arizona and Kittle has seen an average of 10 targets over the last two weeks.

Kittle is projected for 7.3 targets, 37.17 receiving yards, and 0.23 receiving touchdowns. The yards aren’t sexy by any means but, tight end is not a high floor position and Kittle has a 22.31% market share this season and is cheaper than usual on DraftKings.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Kittle has a 12.6% chance to score 23.8 points on DraftKings and an 8% chance to score 21.5 points on FanDuel. Kittle is a solid tournament on both sites and is in play for cash games.

Good Luck on Sunday!
TMay