NFL DFS Week 7 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel
NFL DFS Week 7 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel
Welcome to the NFL DFS Week 7 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel! I’m going to highlight players each week that stand out in the Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub. This is a data driven piece with no personal bias. When referring to the Range of Outcomes tab, those numbers are referring to GPP target scores. Let’s get into it!
Lamar Jackson – DraftKings $7,400 FanDuel $8,400
Lamar Jackson comes in as the second highest projected quarterback on both sites at 24.65 on DraftKings and 23.63 on FanDuel. Baltimore takes on Cincinnati with an implied team total of 26.75.
Jackson is projected for 31.97 pass attempts, 244.48 passing yards, 10.8 rushing attempts, 63.97 rushing yards, and 2.23 total touchdowns. Jackson will continue to do everything for this offense and he will perform at a high level.
In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Jackson has a 44.3% chance to score 29.2 points on DraftKings and a 45.5% chance to score 27.2 points on FanDuel. Jackson is a great target for cash games and is viable in tournaments.
Jalen Hurts – DraftKings $6,900 FanDuel $8,300
Jalen Hurts comes in as the sixth highest projected quarterback at 21.32 on DraftKings and 20.53 on FanDuel. Over his last four weeks, Hurts is averaging 26.7 points on DraftKings and 25.2 on FanDuel.
Hurts is projected for 35.81 pass attempts, 252.18 passing yards, 9.92 rushing attempts, 49.16 rushing yards, and 2.05 total touchdowns. Hurts will continue to have a ton of volume and have a high floor.
In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Hurts has a 36.2% chance to score 27.7 points on DraftKings and a 35% chance to score 26.9 points on FanDuel. Hurts has the third highest upside on the slate and comes at a discount on DraftKings.
Darrell Henderson – DraftKings $6,600 FanDuel $8,000
Darrell Henderson comes in as the eighth highest projected running back on DraftKings at 14.36 and the seventh highest on FanDuel at 12.99. The Rams take on Detroit with a massive team total of 32.75 and the current spread is -15.
Henderson is projected for 19.5 rushing attempts, 82.1 rushing yards, 2.7 receptions, 23.6 receiving yards, and 1 total touchdown. Henderson should have high volume in a game where the Rams are in control of the game flow.
In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Henderson has a 26.1% chance to score 26.8 points on DraftKings and a 22% chance to score 26 points on FanDuel. Henderson is a high floor target for cash games and has the ceiling to be viable in tournaments.
Derrick Henry – DraftKings $9,200 FanDuel $11,000
Derrick Henry comes in as the highest projected running back on both sites at 21.38 on DraftKings and 18.74 on FanDuel. Henry has been a workhorse over the past four weeks accumulating 83.33% of the running back market share and 29.3 touches per game.
Henry is projected for 24.62 rushing attempts, 117.81 rushing yards, 2.51 receptions, 20.96 receiving yards, and 1.12 total touchdowns. Another week where Henry will get a large workload and the current game total is 56.5.
In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Henry has a 20.1% chance to score 34.6 points on DraftKings and a 13.2% chance to score 35 points on FanDuel. Henry is a top cash target and is viable in tournaments despite his increased price tag.
Davante Adams – DraftKings $8,900 FanDuel $9,000
Davante Adams comes in as the highest projected receiver on both sites at 22.3 on DraftKings and 17.3 on FanDuel. Green Bay has a team total of 29.25 against Washington and Adams has had a 40.98% market share over the last 4 weeks.
Adams is projected for 12.5 targets, 118.78 receiving yards, and 0.61 receiving touchdowns. Adams is projected for high volume which he will need at his hefty salary on both sites.
In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Adams has a 19.6% chance to score 33.7 points on DraftKings and a 14.9% chance to score 29 points on FanDuel. Adams has the highest ceiling on the slate at his position and I would expect him to be popular as he typically is.
Chris Godwin – DraftKings $5,900 FanDuel $6,700
Chris Godwin comes in as the eleventh highest projected wide receiver on DraftKings at 14.93 and the ninth highest projected on FanDuel at 11.88. Godwin has seen his price decrease given his past performances but, he still has a market share of 15.47% over his last 4 weeks.
Godwin is projected for 7 targets, 66.28 receiving yards, and 0.49 receiving touchdowns. Godwin has been volatile but, he still has the ceiling to score over 20 points in a game where Tampa Bay has a team total of 30.
In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Godwin has a 25.2% chance to score 24.7 points on DraftKings and a 17.8% chance to score 22.1 points on FanDuel. Godwin grades out as a good tournament play and is priced lower than he should be due to past prformances.
Travis Kelce – DraftKings $7,600 FanDuel $8,200
Travis Kelce comes in as the highest projected tight end on both sites at 18.04 on DraftKings and 14.26 on FanDuel. Kansas City has a team total of 30.75 and should be in a shootout against Tennessee.
Kelce is projected for 9.5 targets, 79.43 receiving yards, and 0.61 receiving touchdowns. Kelce has been getting solid volume over the past 4 weeks sporting a 22.89% market share.
In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Kelce has a 8.5% chance to score 29.8 points on DraftKings and a 5.6% chance to score 26.6 points on FanDuel. Kelce presents a high floor again this week and is a great option for cash games and tournaments.
Mike Gesicki – DraftKings $4,700 FanDuel $6,000
Mike Gesicki comes in as the fifth highest projected tight end at 10.95 on DraftKings and 8.9 on FanDuel. Gesicki has been the recipient of a boost in market share over his last four weeks sporting a 20.86% market share in that span.
Gesicki is projected for 8.5 targets, 62.07 receiving yards, and 0.42 receiving touchdowns. Gesicki should continue to see high volume against Atlanta with a team total of 22.5.
In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Gesicki has a 10.1% chance to score 21.1 points on DraftKings and a 4.8% chance to score 20 points on FanDuel. If you’re looking to pay down, Gesicki is a fine target at tight end in tournaments.
Good Luck on Sunday!