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NFL DFS Week 9 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel

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NFL DFS Week 9 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel

Welcome to the NFL DFS Week 9 Study Hub Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel! I’m going to highlight players each week that stand out in the Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub. This is a data driven piece with no personal bias. When referring to the Range of Outcomes tab, those numbers are referring to GPP target scores. Let’s get into it!

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Quarterback

Patrick Mahomes – DraftKings $7,800 FanDuel $8,500

Patrick Mahomes comes in as the highest rated quarterback on both sites at 98.79 on DraftKings and 98.15 on FanDuel. Kansas City has a matchup against Green Bay with a team total of 27.5.

Mahomes is projected for 38.48 pass attempts, 314.96 passing yards, and 2.6 passing touchdowns. Kansas City has become reliant on Mahomes passing on 64.8% of their offensive snaps per the Gameflow tab.

In the Range of Outcomes tab, Mahomes has a 41.3% chance to score 30.4 points on DraftKings and a 45.4% chance to score 27.5 points on FanDuel. Mahomes grades out as a solid option for cash games with the ceiling to pay off in tournaments.

Jalen Hurts – DraftKings $6,700 FanDuel $7,800

Jalen Hurts comes in as the third highest rated quarterback on both sites at 97.42 on DraftKings and 97.07 on FanDuel. The Eagles take on the chargers with a game total of 50.5.

Hurts is projected for 34.47 pass attempts, 244.42 passing yards, 8.33 rushing attempts, 49.09 rushing yards, and 2.03 total touchdowns. Even with a down week last week, Hurts is still averaging over 20 points per game over the last four weeks on both sites.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Hurts has a 45.6% chance to score 27.1 points on DraftKings and a 45.9% chance to score 25.4 points on FanDuel. Hurts grades out as a great tournament play and the top mid range option on DraftKings.

Running Back

Austin Ekeler – DraftKings $7,900 FanDuel $9,000

Austin Ekeler comes in as the highest rated running back on DraftKings at 75.57 and the third highest on FanDuel at 65.67. Ekeler provides a massive ceiling and still has a high rating on FanDuel despite the hefty price tag.

Ekeler is projected for 13.71 rushing attempts, 62.71 rushing yards, 5.01 receptions, 47.64 receiving yards, and 0.94 total touchdowns. Ekeler will get. bulk of the running back work sporting a market share of 52.52% over his past four weeks.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Ekeler has a 23.3% chance to score 30.7 points on DraftKings and a 17.5% chance to score 29 points on FanDuel. Ekeler grades out as a better tournament play on DraftKings and that is where I will prioritize him this week.

Ezekiel Elliot – DraftKings $7,00 FanDuel $8,200

Ezekiel Elliotcomes in as the second highest rated running back on DraftKings at 74.83 and the highest on FanDuel at 74.35. Henderson is in the same matchup as Stafford with the massive spread over the Texans.

Elliot is projected for 16.53 rushing attempts, 73.06 rushing yards, 2.55 receptions, 20.03 receiving yards, and 0.95 total touchdowns. Elliot should get a lot of work against a weakened Denver defense that will be adjusting without Von Miller.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Elliot has a 17.7% chance to score 28 points on DraftKings and a 14.4% chance to score 26.6 points on FanDuel. Elliot is a solid target on both sites with tournament winning upside.

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Wide Receiver

Tyreek Hill – DraftKings $7,900 FanDuel $8,500

Tyreek Hill comes in as the highest rated wide receiver on DraftKings at 86.65 and the third highest rated on FanDuel at 75.25. Hill has seen an average of 13 targets per game over his past four weeks.

Hill is projected for 13 targets, 91.12 receiving yards, and 0.84 receiving touchdowns. Hill has the massive ceiling we’re looking for in tournaments with the highest ceiling on the slate.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Hill has a 20.3% chance to score 30.7 points on DraftKings and a 14.3% chance to score 27.5 points on FanDuel. Hill grades out as a top option as a one off or in a stack with Patrick Mahomes.

DJ Moore – DraftKings $6,400 FanDuel $7,100

DJ Moore comes in as the fourth highest rated wide receiver on DraftKings at 75.4 and the eighth highest rated on FanDuel at 64.18. Moore has a massive market share of 29.08% over his past four weeks.

Moore is projected for 9.5 targets, 78.89 receiving yards, and 0.41 receiving touchdowns. Moore continues to be WR1 for this offense getting a massive workload.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Moore has a 35.3% chance to score 26.2 points on DraftKings and a 27% chance to score 23.3 points on FanDuel. Moore grades out as a top mid range option and a high floor target for cash games.

Tight End

Kyle Pitts – DraftKings $5,900 FanDuel $6,600

Dallas Goedert comes in as the highest rated tight end on both sites at 84.56 on DraftKings and 73.54 on FanDuel. Pitts should continue to have a large target share with Calvin Ridley taking time away from football.

Pitts is projected for 8 targets, 68.97 receiving yards, and 0.35 receiving touchdowns. Pitts is getting a higher volume and should be a red zone threat as he develops in the offense.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Pitts has an 18.6% chance to score 24.7 points on DraftKings and a 12.9% chance to score 21.8 points on FanDuel. Pitts is still underpriced and looks like the top pass target for Atlanta.

Darren Waller – DraftKings $6,200 FanDuel $6,800

Darren Waller comes in as the second highest rated tight end on both sites at 80 on DraftKings and 70 on FanDuel. With Henry Ruggs no longer on the team, Waller should get a bump in market share which is already at 24.09% over his past four weeks.

Waller is projected for 6.5 targets, 76.47 receiving yards, and 0.44 receiving touchdowns. With a team total of 25, Las Vegas should score at volume and Waller is their top offensive option.

In the Range of Outcomes Tab, Waller has the second highest ceiling on the slate on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Waller should be a popular option at tight end which makes him great for cash games and he grades out as a top option for tournaments.

Good Luck on Sunday!
TMay