NFL Early Week 6 Sneak Peek for DraftKings and FanDuel
Welcome to the Team Rise or Fall DraftKings and FanDuel week 6 sneak peek. This early outlook is going to give you a preview of the upcoming week’s games and some spots that show promise for our DFS lineups. We have some high game totals, value-priced plays, and overall DFS goodness. If you haven’t joined us at Team Rise or Fall, what are you waiting for? Subscribe here!
Week 5 Review
Dak Prescott 14.44 DK Points / 13.94 FD Points
Daniel Jones 9.78 DK Points / 8.78 FD Points
Jimmy Garoppolo 1.08 DK Points / 1.08 FD Points
Kareem Hunt 18.3 DK Points / 16.8 FD Points
Kenyan Drake 13.2 DK Points / 12.7 FD Points
Devante Parker 13 DK Points / 12 FD Points
Robbie Anderson 22.5 DK Points / 15.5 FD Points
T.Y. Hilton 12.9 DK Points / 9.9 FD Points
Dalton Schultz 1.6 DK Points / 1.1 FD Points
Evan Engram 9.5 DK Points / 9 FD Points
Darren Fells 13.7 DK Points / 12.7 FD Points
What a week! The Cowboys vs Giants game was a shootout but not the one we were expecting to see. The offenses were a let us down as apparent by some of the player outputs, combined with the fact that both defenses scored a touchdown. The biggest takeaway from the game was the loss of Dak Prescott to an ugly ankle injury. Kareem Hunt was the feature back in Cleveland garnering 20 carries and 3 catches and I would expect to see this type of workload as long as Nick Chubb is out. I was on the wrong Dolphins receiver, while Parker profiled as the team’s WR1 it was Preston Williams who made the big plays. Dalton Schultz didn’t get the expected target shares, he only saw three targets. I will take a victory lap for Daniel Fells who scored and caught both of his targets.
Week 6 Player Picks
Stafford is going up against the helpless Jacksonville Jaguars defense. Jacksonville ranks dead last in yards allowed per drive and points allowed per drive. While the Detroit offense is not a high-powered machine we can look back now that we’re past the quarter-point of the season the data shows us that Jacksonville is terrible at allowing fantasy points to quarterbacks. The Lions offense is middle of the pack at best, but the matchup should prove to be a fruitful one.
Fitzpatrick, rather, FitzMagic went out and dropped 350+ yards and 3 touchdowns against the 49ers beat up defense. This week’s defense isn’t much better in the New York Jets. The Jets possess a pass funnel defense, meaning they will stop the run, in order to force teams to throw the ball. This is apparent through the Jets defense DVOA rankings, 20th against the pass and 2nd against the run.
This play is solely tied to the fact that Dalvin Cook is reported to have an adductor strain and may miss this weekend’s game. On Sunday night vs the Seahawks, Mattison filled the role of Cook when he exited the game, eventually ending with 20 carries, topping the century mark with 112 yards, and bringing in all three of his targets. While Atlanta does rank 11th against the run in DVOA, they allow are middle of the pack in allowing fantasy points to running backs.
This is a pretty simple analysis. The Titans like to run the ball. Houston is not good at stopping teams from running the ball. Derrick Henry gets about 80% of his team’s running backs touches. Last week against the Jaguars was the first week the Texans have kept a team from gaining over 100 yards on the ground. Previously, they allowed 166 yards against Kansas City, 230 yards to Baltimore, 169 yards to Pittsburg, and 162 yards to the Vikings. All signs point to King Henry feasting against this defense.
Thielen has broken out the last two weeks, which is exactly what we have been expecting with the departure of Stefon Diggs to the Bills. After a slow start to the first three games, Thielen is averaging 11.5 targets and pulling in an average of 8.5 of them. While Atlanta does possess an okay run defense the pass defense is in the bottom third of the league. Thielen is Kirk Cousins go-to guy and I would expect it to continue this week.
The rookie was non-existent in week one but has made an impact in every game since. With the injury to A.J. Green’s hamstring this weekend Higgins was on the field for 81% of the Bengals offensive snaps. If Green misses Sunday’s game I would expect to see Higgins take his place in the starting lineup. It will be a difficult matchup against the Colts who give up the fewest fantasy points to wide receivers, but for the price, I like the opportunity cost.
We know Andrews is a favorite target of Lamar Jackson, the problem is he doesn’t get a whole lot of targets. Andrews has yet to see double digits targets this season. I’m sure you’re asking yourself, then why include him? Philadelphia struggles to defend tight ends, ranking as the 4th worst in giving up fantasy points to the position. He is the de facto pay up option with no Kittle and no Kelce on the slate.
Hooper is my value play at tight end this week. Pittsburg is the middle of the pack when it comes to fantasy points allowed to tight ends. Hooper’s targets have increased in every game going from 2, 4, 4, 7, and finally ending with 10 targets this past Sunday in the Brown’s win against the Colts. David Njoku’s return may cut into his target, but with Hooper’s uptick in production, it isn’t something I’d be overly worried about.
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