Welcome to the Team Rise or Fall DraftKings and FanDuel week 6 early outlook article. This early outlook is going to give you a preview of the upcoming week’s games and some spots that show promise for our DFS lineups. We have some high game totals, value-priced plays, and overall DFS goodness. If you haven’t joined us at Team Rise or Fall, what are you waiting for?
Matthew Stafford- 13.32 DK Points / 13.32 FD Points
Ryan Fitzpatrick- 18.04 DK Points / 18.04 FD Points
Alexander Mattison- 4 DK Points / 3.5 FD Points
Derek Henry- 43.4 DK Points / 39.4 FD Points
Adam Thielen- 14.1 DK Points / 12.6 FD Points
Tee Higgins- 21.7 DK Points / 15.7 FD Points
Mark Andrews- 4.1 DK Points / 3.1 FD Points
Austin Hooper- 10.2 DK Points / 7.7 FD Points
My quarterbacks didn’t quite live up to expectations. Stafford’s Lions ran the ball 39 times for 180 yards. They got up big and did not need to keep up the aerial attack. The same could be said for Fitzpatrick. The Jets never threatened offensively so after scoring 21 in the first half the Dolphins and Fitzpatrick let off the gas.
The running backs were a hit and a miss. King Henry went bonkers as expected rushing for 212 yards and a pair of touchdowns, including the game-winner in overtime. Mattison was in a good spot and just let us down – it happens.
I knew the Vikings were in a good spot, I was just on the wrong receiver. Theilen brought in 3 of 5 targets for 51 yards and a touchdown. However, it was rookie Justin Jefferson, that benefitted from playing from behind catching 9 of 11 targets for 166 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Bengals rookie, Tee Higgins, balled out catching 6 of 8 targets for 125 yards.
Mark Andrews was vultured in the red zone by fellow tight end Nick Boyle. Andrews was targeted 4 times, while Boyle was targeted thrice. Austin Hooper actually led the Browns in targets and catches, bring in 5 of 6 for 55 yards.
Russ just continues to ball out. The Seahawks are coming off a bye week and the Cards are going to be coming off a short week. Wilson has thrown multiple touchdowns in every game this year and provides a nice rushing floor. The Cardinals have struggled to sack the quarterback and recently lost their top edge rusher, Chandler Jones, who is now on IR. Wilson’s “down week” would have landed him as the QB8 on DraftKings and QB6 on FanDuel.
This will be a rematch of the Browns and Bengals week two matchup. Burrow threw for over 300 yards and 3 touchdowns while on the road. This game will be played at home, which should provide a nice advantage for the rookie. He’s coming off a disappointing loss to the Colts and I think he’ll be motivated to put his team back in the win column. As we see from the Team Rise or Fall Study Hub, the Browns aren’t exactly world-beaters at stopping the pass allowing 271 yards per game.
As was pointed out last week, the Houston run defense is a sieve. Derek Henry ran for over 200+ yards. I think this is an area we should continue to take advantage of. Jones only had 13 touches in the blowout loss to the Bucs but was averaging about 20 touches per game before this past weekend. This data is from last week’s Study Hub, pre-Derek Henry 212 rushing yard performance.
He just keeps popping up in this article because his price keeps dropping. After starting the year at $6.4 on DraftKings he’s $4.8k this week. He’s actually $100 less than backup Chase Edmonds. Seattle’s defense is tough against the run, but if Drake continues to see the work he’s had through the first five weeks count me interested. Those touches were: 18, 22, 19, 13, and 19.
If he can refrain from punching a teammate this week, I like Thomas. He’s been non-existent since hurting his ankle week one then missing the following five weeks. He’ll be welcomed back by facing the Carolina pass defense. I think Drew Brees will welcome back Thomas by peppering him with targets.
I was a bit afraid of what McLaurin’s target share would look like once Dwayne Haskins was benched. I’m not putting too much stock into the first week Allen started since he was hurt early in the game but took a closer look into the game against the Giants on Sunday. McLaurin was targeted 12 times and brought in 7 of them. Odds are that the target share will continue as he’ll be going up against the porous Dallas defense this week.
There’s not a whole lot to say about Kelce. He’s the second-best tight end in the league behind George Kittle but has a lower price and better matchup. He’s averaging over 9 targets a game and will continue to be a threat as long Mahomes is slinging the rock. According to the Rise or Fall Study Hub, Denver is allowing 23.4 fantasy points per game to Tight Ends.
This is purely based on speculation that Jonnu Smith will miss Sunday’s game. Firkser went bananas much to the ire of those who played Jonnu. Firkser caught 8 of 9 targets for 113 yards and a touchdown. Ryan Tannehill has been red hot, throwing for multiple touchdowns in all but one game this year and he clearly has eyes for his tight end, whether it’s Smith or Firkser.
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