Hello and welcome to the Team Rise or Fall week 10 GPP picks article. Tournament plays are going to differ from typical cash games plays. We’re looking for correlation, stacking our quarterback with one or two of his pass-catchers, and even having a secondary stack to run it back.
Rodgers seems to be channeling the Rodgers of about 5 years ago. He’s thrown for multiple touchdowns in all but one game this season. This week, he’s facing a dormant Jacksonville defense who, according to our NFL Study Hub, allows the third-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. The Packers have the highest implied team total on the slate at 32.75 points.
He’s not the Brees of old, but he showed what he’s still capable of on Monday night. This week he’s going against an injury decimated defense in the 49ers. Brees is averaging over 30 DraftKings points over the last four weeks and I can see him lighting up the 49ers this Sunday.
Process over results. Edmonds touched the ball 28 times against the Dolphins. We didn’t get the desired result of the touches but, I would plug him in again if he’s going to get that 20+ touch workload. Edmonds played 96% of the team’s offensive snaps last weekend. Buffalo’s run defense is in the bottom third in fantasy points allowed to the running back position according to the NFL Study Hub.
Gibson has seen a steady increase in his workload to this point in the season. He’s averaged 14 touches over the last four weeks, scoring a shade under 15 DraftKings points a game in the same timeframe. The part that intrigues me the most about this situation is the Lions’ inability to stop the run. The Lions allow the most fantasy point to running backs and I’m sure they’ll still have nightmares about Dalvin Cook running roughshod all over them.
This is a pretty simple play – if you’re playing Rodgers in GPPs, you are going to stack him with Davante Adams. Adams has been spectacular this year, tied for second in the league in receiving touchdowns. What makes this amazing is that he missed three games due to an injury. The NFL Study Hub projects him as the highest scoring receiver on the slate.
If we run out Drew Brees, we’re stacking him with Michael Thomas. Thomas has missed significant time this season due to injury but, seems to be healthy going into this matchup. While we do not have data to refer to for this season, last season he was a favorite of Brees and caught well over 100 balls.
There is no stud Kittle or Kelce to pay up for on this slate, it’s Waller that fits that bill. Our NFL Study Hub projects Waller as the highest scoring tight end on the slate as well as being the best tight end value. Waller averages over 8 targets a game accounting for 30.86% of the Raider’s team target share.
I like Reed as a runback option to Saints stacks this weekend. He came off of IR last week and saw minimal action. This week, if the 49ers expect to keep pace with the Saints, they’ll have to score points. The Saints are middle of the pack allowing fantasy points to tight ends.
To differentiate yourself you can opt to pay up for one of the better defenses on the board in the Ravens. They have the pleasure of going against the lowly Patriot offense. The NFL Study Hub projects the Ravens as the highest-scoring defense on the slate.
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