Thanks for checking out the Team Rise or Fall NFL Week 10 GPP Picks for FanDuel. The goal of this post is to give you a solid foundation for your GPP/Tournament games. When it comes to GPPs, we’re looking for upside and correlation. The easiest way to find correlation is by stacking a quarterback with two of his pass-catchers. (Keep that piece of advice in mind whether you use the information below or have your own lineup construction ideas.) Let’s get to the plays!
Kyler had two games of 27.3 fantasy points and one game with 33.14 points in his first five games this season. He’s averaging 35 points over his last three games, and he’s in a game against the Buffalo Bills with an implied total of 56 points. To top it off Murray is a rushing threat for yards and touchdowns. He’s pricey at 8.8k but, obviously well worth the cost.
Insert the Spiderman meme for Allen and Kyler Murray. Only if one of the Spidermen is 6’5 while the other Spiderman is 5’10. The main difference is Josh started the season hot, cooled off for three games, and then seemed to get right against the pathetic Seattle defense. Our NFL Study Hub projects Allen and Murray for 2.11 TD passes each while giving a nod (a 16yard difference) to Kyler in the rushing department. Allen is only $100 cheaper than Murray at 8.7k so they really are pretty similar.
I’ll list three running backs today because we’re faced with the ultra-value of Davis this week. Mike Davis is the 2nd highest value running back in our NFL Study Hub with a price of 5.4k. Davis has been priced as high as 8.4k while filling in for the injured McCaffrey, but it’s worth noting he averaged just 8.26 fantasy points per game in his last three games before Christian’s return. Tampa Bay’s run defense comes in at 4th in the league and could be extra feisty coming off the embarrassing Sunday night loss to New Orleans.
We saw Jones go from a game-time decision because of a calf injury to a 15 carry, five reception performance against the Niners. I do worry about lower-body injuries but, Jones seems to be fine if the Packers were willing to play him in the 4th quarter of a blowout. He’ll run you 8.8k and that’s fine. He should eat well against the Jacksonville Jaguars’ 28th ranked run defense.
This is a pure GPP play. Gibson faces off against a Detroit Lions defense that comes in at 32nd against the run in our NFL Study Hub. The Washington Football Team quarterback situation is a mess (I’m terrified anytime Alex Smith drops back to pass) so this is the perfect week to lean on the running game.
Adams costs 9.5k but, hear me out: He’s the 3rd best value at wide receiver in our NFL Study Hub, he’s taking on the 23rd ranked passing defense in the Jacksonville Jaguars, he’s projected for 13 targets, and he’s averaging 25.6 fantasy points over his last four games. He’s been bananas. I don’t have any scientific proof to back this up but I FEEL like Adams and Dalvin Cook missing some games early on has them a little fresher than everyone else. They’ve both been smashing since returning from injury. (Don’t well actually me about Adams’ Week 6 performance at Tampa Bay)
If you’re going with Josh Allen or Kyler Murray then Christian Kirk is an excellent fit for your stacks. He’s averaging 20 fantasy points over his last three games and has stepped up as a second option behind Deandre Hopkins. Murray has targeted Kirk eight times in each of the last two games making him well worth his 6.3k price.
Over the last four weeks, Logan Thomas is tied for third with Darren Waller for fantasy points at tight end. Both gentlemen averaged 10 points over the last four weeks with the difference being Thomas cost 4.9k compared to Waller’s 7k. Thomas is a GPP play like his teammate Gibson, mainly because he’s only averaging five targets per game.
I wrote about Tua Tagovailoa in the Week 10 Cash Game Picks for FanDuel post, and I believe Gesicki will be a top target on Sunday. The Miami Dolphins will be without Preston Williams for the game against the Los Angeles Chargers which usually works out well for Gesicki. The Chargers bring the league’s 25th ranked defense against tight ends to Miami, setting Gesicki up for a very nice weekend.
Las Vegas Raiders
I whiffed on attacking the Denver Broncos offense last week but I’m not afraid to get back on that horse. The Falcons did manage to intercept Drew Lock once, but, he destroyed them in the second half. Atlanta finished with three fantasy points. This week I’m banking on the Raiders to be able to capitalize against the 31st rated offense in the NFL.
New York Giants
Carson Wentz has five interceptions, 18 sacks, and three fumbles lost over his last four games. Wentz had one interception and three sacks in Philly’s Week 7 matchup against the Giants. New York only totaled five fantasy points the first time around but, the defense seems like it’s playing slightly better than at the time of the first game. Maybe some home cooking puts them over the top.
Ok, I think that’s enough out of me. Good luck to everyone this weekend!
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