Welcome to the Team Rise or Fall DraftKings cash game picks article. Before I dive deeper into my plays, I want to make you aware of some guidelines I like to follow when constructing my cash game (H2H, 50/50, double-ups) lineup. When selecting running backs I’m looking for 20+ touch upside and wide receivers with 8+ target upside. I’m not looking for correlating plays, i.e. stacking my quarterback with a receiver, I’m just looking to make sure I have a high floor with some upside. In cash games were not looking to beat everyone, we just need to beat half the field.
Herbert projects as the second-highest scoring quarterback on the main slate according to the Team Rise of Fall NFL Study Hub. He’s looking to bounce back after a subpar performance against the Miami Dolphin’s defense. Even with a lackluster game last weekend, Herbert has averaged 28.2 DK points over the last four weeks. The Jets defense is a sieve, they rank as one of the worst defenses statistically in the league.
Jameis may very well be handed the keys to the potent Saints offense this weekend due to Drew Brees’ injury. Last season, Winston lead the NFL in passing yards with the Buccaneers. He’s in a new system but has just as many if not more weapons than in Tampa Bay. We don’t know how well he’s adapted to Sean Payton’s system but, he’ll have the benefit of going against a Falcons defense that gives up the most fantasy points to quarterbacks.
NOTE – We’re not sure if Winston is going to be the starter or not. We heard he had not gotten any snaps with the 1st team in practice, earlier this week. Then we heard Taysom Hill would start at QB, and then we heard Sean Payton would not confirm that Taysom Hill would start. If Winston starts, he’s cheap enough, only $5.9k on DK, he should be able to pay off that price tag vs a bad Falcons Defense. Obviously, if Winston is not the starter we’ll have to pivot. If that’s the case, I like Carson Wenz vs the Browns at only $5.7k. The Browns will be without their All Pro pass rusher Myles Garrett. The Browns have given up an average of 19.51 DK points to QBs and 27.65 DK points to WR’s this year.
I had to sit on this one for a hot minute. If you wanted to play Alvin Kamara over Dalvin, I wouldn’t blame you, especially on a site like DraftKings that awards a full point-per-reception. However, this matchup, Cook’s usage, and the $200 worth of salary savings put him over the top for me. Our NFL Study Hub shows us that Cook is averaging 30 touches a game over the last four weeks. In cash games, you can’t ask for a better floor.
To fit the studs into our cash lineups we need to find value and that’s where Ahmed slots in. Ahmed has been the lead back over the last two weeks with Myles Gaskins on IR. In last Sunday’s win against the Chargers, Ahmed touched the ball 22 times (21 rushes and a catch). The Dolphins recently cut running back Jordan Howard, this leads me to believe Ahmed will be the value workhorse this Sunday.
I’m going back to the well here with Keenan Allen. He was stifled against a tough Miami defense and didn’t see his normal target share. This week, he’ll go against a weak Jets defense that ranks in the bottom third of the league in allowing fantasy points to wide receivers. I’m expecting to see Allen’s target jump from the 7 he saw on Sunday back to the double-digit range. Our NFL Study Hub projects him as the third-highest scoring receiver on the slate.
Meyers is my go-to value option at the receiver position. According to our NFL Study Hub, he’s averaging over 9 targets over the last four games, responsible for 38.54% of the team target share. He will have the benefit of going against a middle-of-the-pack Texans pass defense. At under $5,000 he a lock-and-load for me.
There is no pay-up option on this slate that looks appealing to me so I’m looking to save salary and pay down. The first option for me comes in at the best value per dollar in our NFL Study Hub. He went out for a bit last game due to an injury and we saw Richard Rodgers put up the number we were expecting from Goedert.
Logan Thomas will be popular this weekend now that Alex Smith is the starter in Washington. I’m very familiar with Alex Smith as a life-long 49ers fan and if there’s one thing I know about Alex it’s that he loves his check down options. Out of Smith’s 38 completions on Sunday, 17 of them went to running backs or tight ends. Thomas projects as the second-best value per dollar at the tight end position.
I’m not paying up at defense any week and this week is no different. Miami’s defense has been tough this season. They project as the third-highest scoring defense in the NFL Study Hub.
Not my favorite play but, going against a team that doesn’t put up a whole bunch of points. They are the best value per dollar defense according to the NFL Study Hub.
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