Hello and welcome to the Team Rise or Fall week 11 GPP picks article! Tournament plays are going to differ from typical cash game plays. We’re looking for correlation, stacking our quarterback with one or two of his pass-catchers, and even having a secondary stack to run it back.
Lamar is the highest priced quarterback on the slate but, hasn’t done anything to justify the price tag. It almost feels like we’re paying for last year’s production. However, in GPPs we want to zig when everyone wants to zag. Jackson projects in the Team Rise or Fall Study Hub as the highest-scoring quarterback on the slate. He’ll face a pass funnel defense in the Titans that allows the 5th most fantasy points to quarterbacks.
Big Ben is in a smash spot this week going against a weak Jacksonville defense. I do think he’ll carry heavy ownership due to his big game last weekend. He projects as the 6th highest scoring quarterback on the last in our NFL Study Hub. Even with his ownership expected to be high, the Steelers have the highest implied team total on the slate. You’ll want to have exposure to this offense.
Hunt will be on the back burner for a lot of people now that Nick Chubb is back healthy. What some will fail to realize is that Hunt touched the ball more times this past Sunday than he did any week during Chubb’s absence. While the Eagles rank decently against the run, we saw the Giants put up over 4 yards per carry and three touchdowns with dusty Alfred Morris and Wayne Gallman.
I know a lot of you are still salty from last weekend. Davis’s salary went up to $2.4k on DraftKings which should turn some people off to him. Christian McCaffrey appears as if he’ll be out again this weekend which makes Davis the lead dog again. Our NFL Study Hub shows that the Lions are the worst defense in the league in giving up fantasy points to running backs.
Steelers WR Group
I don’t think you can go wrong with any of the receiving options to pair with Roethlisberger. Jacksonville allows the 8th most fantasy points to the position which puts all of them into play. In reviewing our NFL Study Hub, we can see the big three of Smith-Schuster, Claypool, and Johnson are all averaging 8+ targets over the last four weeks. I wouldn’t be opposed to a double stack in this situation either.
McLaurin has been balling over the last four weeks. The NFL Study Hub shows us that he’s averaging over 9 targets over the last four weeks and accounting for nearly 25% of the team’s market share. He faces a Bengals defense that gives up the second-most fantasy points to wide receivers. If you’re looking for a high upside one-off, Terry is your guy.
Andrews is the most expensive tight end on the slate with no Kittle or Kelce. He projects as the highest scoring option at the position according to the NFL Study Hub. As discussed in Lamar Jackson’s writeup, we know Tennessee is a pass funnel defense so he should get some looks. Last Sunday, he saw the most targets he’s had in some time – nine of them. If you’re going to run out Lamar, I like pairing him with Andrews.
The Falcons tight end has been consistent in posting double-digit fantasy points over the last four weeks. Our NFL Study Hub shows us that he’s been targeted over seven times a game in that time frame. We’ll want some pieces of this game as it has one of the highest implied totals on the slate and Hurst will be an inexpensive way to get some exposure.
This isn’t so much an endorsement on the Falcons defense, but rather an indictment on Jamies Winston. Winston was an interception machine last season throwing 30 of them. He’ll make some errant throws on Sunday which should give Atlanta some turnover opportunities.
Again, not so much an endorsement on this defense, but Stafford injured the thumb on this throwing hand on Sunday and has been questionable all week. We’ll see how the remainder of the week goes and how the hand holds up to being banged around on Sunday. If he misses, I have no fear of Chase Daniel.
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