NFL Week 12 Cash Picks for DraftKings
Welcome to the Team Rise or Fall DraftKings cash game picks article. Before I dive deeper into my plays I want to make you aware of some guidelines I like to follow when constructing my cash game (H2H, 50/50, double-ups) lineup. When selecting running backs I’m looking for 20+ touch upside and wide receivers with 8+ target upside. I’m not looking for correlating plays, i.e. stacking my quarterback with a receiver, I’m just looking to make sure I have a high floor with some upside. In cash games were not looking to beat everyone, we just need to beat half the field.
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The Bills should be well rested coming out of their bye week and will face the Los Angeles Chargers. The Bills have the second-highest implied team total on this main slate. Josh Allen will look to continue his hot hand going against a Chargers defense that allows the 7th most fantasy points to quarterbacks according to the Team Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub.
While Carr hasn’t been great this year, he presents the best value on the main slate according to the NFL Study Hub. He’ll benefit from facing an Atlanta defense that allows the most fantasy points to the quarterback position. Carr isn’t exactly lighting the world on fire but, he provides nice salary relief that should enable you to fit higher floor studs into your cash lineup.
There’s not a lot of analysis needed here. He’s the best running back on the slate. He’s averaging over 30 touches per game over the last four weeks. The Vikings’ offense revolves around him. Fade at your own risk.
It seems as of Friday morning that Todd Gurley was not at practice. If Gurley is out, Brian Hill would most likely be the starting at the stone-cold minimum of $4k. The Las Vegas defense allows the 5th most fantasy points to running backs. The game has one of the higher implied team totals on the slate at 55.5.
I don’t actively look to correlate in my cash game lineup but in this instance, I wouldn’t shy away from it either. The Team Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub projects Diggs as the third-highest scoring receiver on the main slate. Over the last four weeks, he’s averaging over 10 targets a game, accounting for a whopping 30.69% of the Bills team target share.
Jefferson just continues to ball out. Adam Thielen currently is on the COVID Reserve list and may miss this Sunday’s game. Thielen’s 24.24% target share will have to be distributed elsewhere and my mind goes immediately to Jefferson. Carolina does have a good pass defense but, I think they’ll focus on stopping Dalvin which should open up opportunities in the passing game.
I’m leaning Waller over Kelce in cash games. Waller is $1k less than Kelce and is facing a worse defense. The Falcons allow the most fantasy points to tight ends according to our NFL Study Hub. As we previously touched on, this game is tied with the highest implied total on the slate. Waller accounts for 29.17% of the Raider’s target share.
Engram and the Giants are coming off a bye and will face the Joe Burrow-less Bengals. Engram is averaging the second-most targets on the slate (7.70) trailing only Travis Kelce (11.30). The Bengals defense gives up the 4th most fantasy points to tight ends. Engram has averaged double-digit DraftKings points over the last four weeks.
Another week, another starting quarterback for the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jaguars allow the third-most points to fantasy defenses. The Browns are projected to be the fourth-highest scoring defense on the main slate.
New York Giants
The Giants will go against Brandon Allen lead Bengals this Sunday. This game has the lowest implied total on the main slate, and the Bengals have the lowest implied team total.
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