Man time is flying by and I can’t believe we’re already at the Team Rise or Fall NFL Week 14 FanDuel Strategy Guide. I’m here to pass along a few starting points that I like in cash games and tournaments this weekend. As always, with “cash games” (50/50s, Double-Ups, Head to Head) we’re not necessarily looking to take 1st place. We need to beat 40-50% of the field so we’re looking for players with high floors for touches and targets while trying to be cost-conscious.
When it comes to GPPs, I’m looking for upside and correlation. This means stacking a quarterback with at least one pass-catcher from his team and one from the opposing team. There are plenty of ways to take down a tournament when it comes to stacking but that is my preferred method.
Before I move forward: The NBA season is less than two weeks away so it’s a great time to sign up if you’re not a Team Rise or Fall member. You can check out our Sample NBA Study Hub to get an idea of what we’ll be providing on a daily basis.
All information below is based on the Team Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub. Let’s get to my Week 14 FanDuel plays!
Taysom Hill (7.7k)
Hill and the New Orleans Saints take on a team in turmoil in the Philadelphia Eagles. I know I usually stream defenses against the Eagles, (That might still be the case so read the whole article) but, I’m going to mix things up this week. Taysom Hill is the highest value quarterback in the Team Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub. The Eagles are ranked 18th against the quarterback position and allowed Lamar Jackson’s best performance of the season. Hill could do very well playing a similar style.
David Montgomery (6.6k)
Montgomery is in a smash spot against the Houston Texans and their 31st ranked defense against the running back position. He’s the second-highest value in our NFL Study Hub and we’re projecting him for 20 touches rushing and receiving combined. Montgomery is averaging a sexy 24 fantasy points per game over his last two games, and I’ll be feeling great if he scores anywhere close to that.
Keenan Allen (8.5k)
Allen is projected for 12 targets in our NFL Study Hub. He’s averaging a pedestrian 14.8 fantasy points over his last four games, but luckily he pulls the Atlanta Falcons and their 27th ranked defense against wide receivers. I don’t see the Los Angeles Chargers getting blanked two weeks in a row (Although it is 2020), so I’m looking for Allen to have a big game as they bounce back.
Travis Kelce (8.2k)
Kelce and the Kansas City Chiefs do have a somewhat tough matchup as they travel halfway across the country to take on a scrappy Miami Dolphins team. BUT Kelce is the highest value at the tight end position in our NFL Study Hub, and he’s projected for 10 targets. He’s averaged 19.6 fantasy points per game over his last three games which leads all tight ends.
Patrick Mahomes (8.9k)
It’s not like I need a whole lot of reasons to roster Patrick Mahomes. Best quarterback in the league? Check. The highest projected quarterback in the Team Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub? Check. In a road game? Check. The only negative I can think of is that the Miami Dolphins have a nice secondary. But this is Patrick Mahomes and things like that don’t really matter.
Derrick Henry (9.6k)
Henry and the Tennessee Titans take on the Jacksonville Jaguars and their 30th ranked defense against the running back position. Our NFL Study Hub rates Henry as the second-highest projected player at the running back position. Coming off of a dismal 5.4 fantasy point performance and facing a terrible defense? I like Derrick Henry. I like him a lot.
Tyler Lockett (7.9k)
Tyler is averaging 9.9 fantasy points over his last four games, which I’ll admit is terrible. The Jets are 31st in the league against the wide receiver position and Lockett is the recipient of a 23% market share for Seattle. This is a get right spot for Lockett if I’ve ever seen one.
Travis Kelce (8.2k)
If you know anything about me by now it’s that I love stacking a pass-catcher or two with the quarterback I roster. So of course I’m slapping Kelce into my lineups. There are six tight ends averaging 10.3 fantasy points or more over their last four games. Kelce leads the pack with an awesome 19.6 average. The Team Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub projects Kelce for 10 targets which also leads all tight ends on the slate.
When it comes to stacking, I’m looking for games with a lot of scoring potential. I check the top five implied game totals on the slate and start making decisions from there.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stack
QB: Tom Brady
Wide Receiver: Mike Evans
Opposing Wide Receiver: Adam Thielen
The Minnesota Vikings – Tampa Bay Buccaneers game currently has a 52.5 implied game total, with the Bucs favored by six points. What I’m looking for is Tom Brady targeting Mike Evans for yards and a touchdown or two, and for Thielen to get a lot of action as the Vikings try to keep up in the game.
Los Angeles Chargers Stack
QB: Justin Herbert
Wide Receiver: Keenan Allen
Tight End: Hunter Henry
Opposing Wide Receiver: Calvin Ridley
The Atlanta Falcons – Los Angeles Chargers game currently has an implied game total of 49.5 points, and the Falcons are favored by two points. This gives us a relatively high scoring game that should be close. The Chargers got blanked and embarrassed last week so I’m looking for a bounce-back game from them. If Atlanta is going to do their part in this game it’ll be through the air, I like Ridley to perform well in that situation, especially with Julio Jones inactive.
Kansas City Chiefs Stack
QB: Patrick Mahomes
Wide Receiver: Tyreke Hill
Tight End: Travis Kelce
The Kansas City Chiefs – Miami Dolphins game is currently sitting at an implied game total of 50.5, with KC favored by seven points. I could keep this short by saying “Chiefs, duh” but I like typing too much to do that. The Chiefs are the NFL’s most explosive offense so using them every week makes sense. I didn’t run it back with an opposing player because I’m not a huge believer in the Dolphins’ offense under Tua. If I wanted to get a little crazy I’d keep the main three players in my stack and then mix in a Mike Gesicki (double tight ends yolo) or DeVante Parker.
Good luck to everyone this weekend. Let’s get this money!
See ya in Discord,