Hello and welcome to the Week 15 Team Rise or Fall DraftKings Strategy Guide. This week we’re transition to a bit of a different format. Instead of three separate articles, we’re rolling them into one strategy guide for the week. This will include the Saturday and Sunday slates.
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On such a small slate people are going to want to lock in the top option at most positions, however, it doesn’t necessarily make them the best play. In the Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub, Davis is projected as the second-highest scoring running back and the best value per dollar at his position. He’ll face a Green Bay defense that allows the eighth-most fantasy points to running backs. It should also be noted that Christian McCaffrey will miss the game Saturday.
Davante Adams gives you the highest floor of any non-quarterback on the Saturday slate. I urge you not to get cute here, take his production and let others make the mistake of locking in other receivers. Adams projects as the highest-scoring receiver in the NFL Study Hub.
If you want to leverage Davante Adams’ ownership, Jones is the way to go. Recency bias will have people wanting to fade Adams after he let them down in a juicy matchup last weekend against a horrid Lions run defense. He projects as the cream of the crop at the running back position in our NFL Study Hub.
Diggs is another way to leverage from Davante Adams. Diggs projects just behind Adams in scoring in the NFL Study Hub. Over the last four weeks, Diggs is averaging 11 targets per game, accounting for 32.69% of Buffalo’s target share. He does face a tougher matchup than Adams, but Vegas expects the Bills game to be closer and almost as high scoring.
Green Bay Packers
QB – Aaron Rodgers
WR – Devante Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling
WR – Robbie Anderson and Curtis Samuel
I’m going full five-player game stack on such a short slate hoping that I’m hitting on concentrated fantasy production. You have exposure to the best quarterback and receiver on the slate and you have what can be considered the team’s second/third option in MVS. On the Panther’s side of the ball, you have the deep / big-play threats in Robbie Anderson and Curtis Samuel.
Taylor seems to have finally taken hold of the backfield in Indianapolis. This week, he faces a Texans defense that has struggled all season long to stop opposing running backs, giving up the second-most fantasy points to the position. In review of the NFL Study Hub, we see that Taylor has averaged over 20 touches over the last four weeks. I’m willing to eat this chalk.
The rookie has been very impressive considering the injuries that have plagued the 49ers. The offense will again be without top pass-catching weapons, George Kittle and Deebo Samuel. Over the last two weeks, he’s averaging over 12 targets a game. With no one else to compete with him for targets, he’ll be an alpha dog this week.
Lamar finally broke out on Monday night with a performance many have been wanting to see out of the second-year starter. This week he’ll face a Jacksonville defense that has the 4th least sacks of any team in the league. I think this is a prime tournament play that would not require Jackson to be stacked with any of his pass-catchers.
The lack of targets in the passing game makes Henry a tournament option only for me, however, I don’t think any of the other running back options could break the slate like Henry who could go easily got for 200+ yards and a couple of touchdowns. He’ll be going against the worst run defense in the league in the Lions who made David Montgomery looks like a serviceable back.
Kansas City Chiefs
If you’ve watched any of Rise of Fall’s content, you know the role the Chiefs have in building tournament lineups. This is a pretty cut and dry write up that has been written for any week they’ve been on the main slate. Most of the team’s fantasy production will come from:
Quarterback – Patrick Mahomes
Wide Receiver – Tyreek Hill
Tight End – Travis Kelce
The Cols game against the Texans carries an implied total of 51 points, the third-highest on the main slate. We know the Texans’ defense is a sieve so the game may shape up to be a shootout if the Texans want to hang in. I do not mind an all-out game stack of:
Quarterback – Philip Rivers
Wide Receivers – T.Y. Hilton and Michael Pittman
Texans Wide Receiver – Brandin Cooks and Keke Coutee
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