Hey, there ladies and gentlemen it’s time for the Team Rise or Fall NFL Week 15 FanDuel Strategy Guide. There’s a couple of games on Saturday this week as the season winds to an end. I’ll cover cash games and tournaments for Saturday and Sunday.
When it comes to cash games (Double ups, 50/50s, and Head-to-Heads) I’m looking to beat 40%-50% of the field. That means I’m targeting players with a solid floor and extreme value. I want running backs with a lot of rushes+receptions and pass catchers that will get a lot of targets. I need guys to have the ball in their hands a lot.
For my tournament players, I like stacking a quarterback with a pass-catching teammate or two and sometimes adding an opposing player as well. I’m more likely to take a chance on a player in a tournament than a cash game because I need to get a little creative if I’m shooting for the top spot on the scoreboard.
One last thing before I get to my NFL plays. The NBA season is upon us and you know Team Rise or Fall is going to bring the heat just like we have all NFL season. If you’re new to NBA DFS or simply want a refresher for the new season then swing by our How To Play NBA DFS guide.
Ok, let’s get to Week 15!
Drew Lock (6.8k)
On a two-game slate, there aren’t a lot of options but Lock gives me decent output with a considerable discount. Drew has averaged 16.9 fantasy points per game over the last four weeks. That puts him .8 points behind Teddy Bridgewater ($500 discount), 5.1 points behind Josh Allen (1.6k discount), and 8.8 points behind Aaron Rodgers (2.4k discount). The Team Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub shows that the Buffalo Bills are 15th in the league against the quarterback position as they venture to the Mile High City. Lock looks good to me.
Mike Davis (7.4k)
Davis is the highest value at the running back position in our NFL Study Hub. Add that to the fact that Green Bay has the league’s 25th ranked defense against the running back position and I’m looking at a really strong play. Our NFL Study Hub also projects Davis for the most rush attempts and the most receiving targets out of all running backs on the slate.
Melvin Gordon (6k)
Gordon gets a crack at the Buffalo Bills and their 19th ranked defense against the running back position. Gordon hasn’t scored a touchdown since a Week 11 home victory against the Miami Dolphins when he scored twice. I’m looking for some positive regression this week against the Bills.
Davante Adams (9.5k)
Our NFL Study Hub lists Adams as the highest value, the highest projection, the second most targets, and the most fantasy points over the last four weeks at the wide receiver position. To sum it up he’s a stud and I’m going to play him. There’s not a lot I can add here but, I will say this: In years past there were running backs (Guys like David Johnson and Christian McCaffrey) that you would jam into your lineups no matter what. Davante has been that type of player this year.
QB: Aaron Rodgers
Wide Receiver: Davante Adams
Tight End: Robert Tonyan
Opposing Running Back: Mike Davis
This stack gives me exposure to the highest projected players at the quarterback position, the running back position, the wide receiver position, and the tight end position. It also means this stack will be somewhat popular and very expensive. Since this is a two-game slate, I’m fine with paying up for the studs because I need to get creative to win and this construction will force me to look deeper than usual.
I’ve mentioned on posts about other two-game slates that a second string running back or tight end can be good plays. They’ll be lower owned and allow me to have a unique lineup while giving me the salary relief to fit in the big guns.
Taysom Hill (7.5k)
Hill grades out as the highest value at the quarterback position in the Team Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub. The combination of being able to run or throw for a touchdown (Or catch a touchdown if Sean Payton wants to get freaky) is always attractive to me. Hill and the New Orleans Saints take on the Kansas City Chiefs and their 28th ranked defense against the quarterback position. The Saints currently have a 24.25 implied total so that’s three touchdowns that Taysom could have a hand in. Sign me up.
Brandon Aiyuk (6.9k)
Aiyuk has been a target monster since getting back on the field. He’s averaging 12.5 targets over the last two weeks while scoring 18 fantasy points and 16.9 fantasy points during that span. This week Brandon and the San Francisco 49ers take on the Dallas Cowboys and the league’s 29th ranked defense against the wide receiver position. I’m expecting another strong performance from Aiyuk.
Derrick Henry (10.2k)
I know that 10.2k price tag is heavy but, Henry and the Tennessee Titans take on the Detroit Lions and their league-worst defense against the running back position. Our NFL Study Hub projects Henry for 20.35 fantasy points this weekend because it would look crazy if we projected him for 35 fantasy points. But it wouldn’t be surprising if Henry dropped a ridiculous number so I’m all in.
Robert Woods (7.4k)
Woods and the Los Angeles Rams take on the New York Jets. Over the last couple of weeks we’ve seen Derek Carr and Russell Wilson connect with their receivers against the Jets’ 30th ranked defense against the wide receiver position. I know the Rams prefer to run the ball down the field but, Woods is still averaging 11.5 targets per game over his last four games. Those targets against a terrible defense should lead to a nice day for Mr. Woods.
QB: Patrick Mahomes
Wide Receiver: Tyreke Hill
Tight End: Travis Kelce
There’s no real breakdown needed for this stack. I like the top offense in the NFL, on the road, in a dome against the New Orleans Saints. It’s possible New Orleans was looking ahead to this game last week when they lost Philadelphia so I’m expecting them to play better. And that’s good for this stack. I want the Chiefs to be pushed to score as much as possible.
I don’t see any standout options for running it back with a Saints player unless FanDuel makes Taysom Hill tight end eligible again. And since I know they’re not going to do that just stacking KC will be fine.
QB: Ryan Tannehill
RB: Derrick Henry
Wide Receiver: AJ Brown
Wide Receiver: Corey Davis
Opposing Wide Receiver: Marvin Jones
Opposing Running Back: D’Andre Swift
“Hey Eags, why don’t you just list the whole roster!?!?!” I hear you but let me explain. I want to stack Tannehill with two of his teammates and one opponent. I’m going to mix and match and hopefully that lands me on the right combination. The least likely combination for me will be Henry and Swift in the same lineup. I don’t think that’s great roster construction. Outside of that, all of the other combinations are in play for me.
The reason I like this stack is because the game has a 51.5 implied total. I want to be around the scoring when it comes to my stacks. I will add one caveat: I don’t like this stack as much if Matthew Stafford is ruled out due to his ribs and Chase Daniel is the starter.
That’s my time for now. Y’all take care.
Good luck to everyone this weekend. Let’s get this money!
See ya in Discord,