Welcome to my Week 4 GPP picks for DraftKings and FanDuel! My sole focus here is to help you identify options we can use in large field GPPs as well as Single Entry tournaments. Did you know all Ronin members receive $20 in credit to use at Fantasy Cruncher every month they sub with us? Subscribe HERE! Now, let’s dig in!
Deshaun Watson – (Draftkings $6600, Fanduel $7800)
I was going back and forth on this one since news hit about COVID affecting players and organization members from the Titans and Vikings. We’re going to keep the ball rolling with this one. Mainly because I’m very excited about this matchup, it’s total (54.5, second-highest on the slate), and the possibility that Watson won’t garner a ton of ownership. Let’s get into it!
It’s been a rough few weeks for the Texans QB who has faced the Chiefs, Ravens, and Steelers. All tough matchups in their own right and yet still finishing with Draftkings points of 21.8, 15.7, and 18.1. NOW the time has come for Watson to “get right” and he’s getting a Minnesota Defense that has been a shell of itself to start the season. They were rocked by Aaron Rodgers in week one but held Philip Rivers and Ryan Tannehill “in check”. But the Colts ran all over Minnesota and the Titans were without AJ Brown. What did Davante Adams do to this defense in week one? 14-156-2. Aaron Rodgers? 32-44 364-4. Watson will be the first dual-threat QB the Vikings face this season. They’re already susceptible to run games ranking bottom ten by Football Outsiders. Will Fuller is the best WR they will have faced since Adams. This has all the ingredients of an offensive explosion for the Texans and due to recency and injury bias, on Fuller, I don’t expect this team to be highly owned. Both Watson and Fuller are currently projected for sub 10% ownership in the study hub. The game total has already moved up three points. Vegas is expecting fireworks. Watson and company are brimming with upside. This is the perfect opportunity to target the Texans QB.
Stacking Options: I hinted at this stack earlier and I love this game all around. When you consider what Watson can do with his arms and legs he’s severely underpriced. Couple that with Will Fuller being underpriced ($5900) and you get access to a high upside stack. I love Thielen this week since people MIGHT be on Jefferson in hopes that he repeats last week’s performance.
Narrator: He won’t.
The Titans were without their top two cornerbacks last week and had to deal with stopping Dalvin Cook. Emphasizing “trying” to stop Cook AND rolling coverage towards Thielen opened up a massive opportunity for Jefferson. Using Thielen as a bring back option, in this stack, will help you gain massive leverage which is exactly what you want in GPPs. Give COVID the middle finger and fire up what should be a high scoring game stack.
SIDE NOTE: In the event that the Vikings/Texans game is canceled my other recommendation is Cam Newton and his depressed price on DK ($6400) in what should be another high scoring game against the Kansas City Chiefs. Prior to stifling Lamar Jackson, they had allowed good fantasy scoring games to Watson (21.8pts) and Justin Herbert (26.2pts). Cam is another bounce-back candidate as is his top WR Julian Edelman ($5700). Stack these guys and bring it back with stud TE Travis Kelce. Newton and Edelman are both projected at sub 10% ownership.
Jonathan Taylor – (Draftkings $6600, Fanduel $7500)
Taylor underperformed last week. Bad news if you used him. But great news for us as he’s another “bounce back” candidate in a solid matchup where ownership shouldn’t be crazy (projected for sub 10% ownership). That includes his price drop from $7000. The Bears have struggled to hold opposing backs this season. Last week they were shredded by Todd Gurley AND Brian Hill for a combined 23-138-2. In week 2 Saquan Barkley’s injury forced him to leave early but he was averaging 7.0ypc before he got hurt. Week one the corpse of Adrian Peterson rumbled to a total of 14-93. Ninety-three freaking yards from a guy who just got cut a week before the season started. The Colts are a (-2.5) road favorite against a rejuvenated Bears team that now has a competent QB. But the total on this game still sits under 45 (and is falling). I’m trusting the Colts to go right back to the rookie in a game they should have no problem controlling. His touch count went down from 28 to 14 last week with Hines and Wilkins getting a little more involved. But they will only be used in specific situations. Taylor through three weeks is averaging 19.0 touches a game which is ten more than Hines. Taylor is going to get consistent usage and at a depressed price makes for a great GPP play. Fire him up with full confidence.
Stacking options: This is going to be a tricky situation as I think there are a couple of different things you could do. Taylor and INDY’s DST make for a good pairing. But a better way of playing this is to go with a “skinny stack” of Taylor-Allen Robinson. The Colts defense is still very good and while Foles makes the passing game better I think he’ll still have a rough go of it on Sunday. This will only help us gain leverage on a RB who won’t be highly owned and a WR people will be too scared to touch due to a perceived tough matchup. Strategize, implement, execute!
Hunter Renfrow – (Draftkings $4600, Fanduel $5300)
Paying down for a cheap WR is going to be a popular tactic this week. There are a lot of guys worth rostering in tournaments. This is why I like going to Renfrow in a HOPEFULLY not too popular spot (He’s currently projected for sub 5% ownership). A big reason for that is because we just watched the Chiefs rip up the Ravens with Mecole Hardman and Sammy Watkins. Both guys come in at $300 and $400 cheaper than Renfrow and were on the national stage last Monday Night. So that will help drive their ownership up. People looking for a repeat performance are forgetting Watkins and Hardman are third and fourth options in that offense. Meanwhile, Renfrow will benefit from something we should ALWAYS be looking for. OPPORTUNITY. Bryan Edwards has been ruled out and Henry Ruggs is looking like a long shot to play. It’s going to be the Darren Waller/Renfrow show for week 4. Also of note, the Bills have been getting wrecked by enemy slot receivers. Allowing Jameson Crowder (7-115-1), Isaiah Ford (7-76), and Cooper Kupp (9-107-1) to carve them up. Renfrow will have plenty of opportunities in a game where the Raiders will have to keep up with MVP candidate Josh Allen. Last week in a full-time role Renfrow got nine targets and finished with a line of 6-84-1. That’s the slate breaker potential we’re looking for. Not to mention that the Raiders will need that kind of production, in general, to keep up with MVP candidate Josh Allen.
Stack Options: I’m not a fan of playing David Carr in DFS. But stacking him with Renfrow is an option. However, I’m sticking to the high powered offense of the Bills in this one. Stack Allen, Stefon Diggs and bring it back with Renfrow. Watch the money print itself.
Mark Andrews – (Draftkings $6000, Fanduel $7400)
I don’t think many people expected the Ravens to get blown out Monday Night by the Chiefs. The closest they got was on a 93yd kick return by Devin Duvernay which cut the lead to 13-10. It was all Kansas City after that. But this is the kind of thing we can use to gain leverage on a team that the public got to watch first hand. People won’t want to pay up for pricey Lamar Jackson or his other offensive skill players whose prices didn’t move because they played on MNF. But, I’m bullish on the Ravens in a spot where they
could will make Washington pay for what the Chiefs did. Washington allows the sixth-most points to TEs and they just lost two of their best pieces on the defensive line, Chase Young and Matt Ioannidis. This isn’t the same line we saw wreaking havoc. They’re about to come back down to earth in a big way and facing Baltimore has all the makings of a blood bath. Andrews struggled on Monday but is still tied for fourth in red-zone targets amongst TEs. Positive regression is in his favor and opportunity will be present this week against a struggling Washington football team. Wheels up on Andrews!
Stacking Option: Okay so that was supposed to be all about TE and how much I love Andrews. But I’m crazy about this spot for the Ravens offense. Stack Lamar with Andrews. That will be one of my main plays this weekend. You can even double stack it with Marquise Brown. Maybe even bring it back with Terry Mclaurin. But I don’t think it’s necessary. The Ravens will be locked in on Sunday. Make sure you have LJax and Andrews rocking your lineup when everyone else will be running away.
Now let’s go build those lineups and win that money. Good luck everyone!
By: PacingPete (HIT ME UP IN DISCORD!)