Welcome back to Team Rise or Fall and the Week 8 GPP picks for FanDuel. I’m going to give a couple of plays of each position while trying to build lineups that correlate very well. This means at a minimum we’ll want to have a quarterback and pass-catcher from the same team and at least one player from their opponent.
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Since I’m willing to put my money where my mouth is, I’ll be using trends from our Milly Maker Report series and stats from our NFL Study Hub as I try to fit the puzzle pieces together for life-changing money. Ok, let’s get to the plays!
One of the staples of the Milly Maker Report is selecting quarterbacks from one of the top five implied game totals on the slate. The Titans-Bengals game has the second-highest game total at 53.5 points. A quick check of the NFL Study Hub backs up this play as Tannehill is the highest value play at QB while averaging 25.6 fantasy points over his last four games.
Do I really need to type anything here? Pete Carroll and Brian Schottenheimer are letting Russ cook this season and so far he’s been Emeril Lagasse in the pocket. Wilson is averaging 26.8 points over his last four games, and 29 points over his last two games despite throwing five interceptions.
If you’re the type to pay up for running back then I don’t think you can go wrong with Kamara. Yes, he and the Saints are facing a tough Bears defense but, if the Bears have a weakness it’s against the run. Chicago can pressure the quarterback like crazy so one way to neutralize that is to run the ball.
When they zig, we zag! Last week Gio was the go-to value guy. This week the Study Hub is projecting him for 18 touches (rushing and receiving combined) in a game with a 53.5 implied total. He’s been a really good substitute for Joe Mixon and I see no reason that changes this weekend.
We have Corey projected for 10 targets this week against the Bengals. Pairing him with Tannehill becomes a pretty easy play as we try to focus on correlation. Davis’ price tag of 5.4k makes him even more attractive. You’re going to be doing your own touchdown dance if he finds the endzone on one of his targets while being below 6% ownership.
Thielen is averaging 19.9 fantasy points over his last four games and that includes a subpar 12.6 outing last week. What’s a better bounce-back spot than against a division rival in a game with an implied 51 point total where a receiver is projected for 9.3 targets in the NFL Study Hub?
If you’re running a Russell Wilson stack, why not run it back with the most lethal weapon on the opposing offense? Kittle is having a great year and can be played almost every week if you can stomach the price (7.7k this week). The game has a 54 point implied total so Vegas is expecting a shootout and that should mean plenty of opportunities for Kittle.
The Indianapolis Colts have a pretty solid defense but their one weakness looks to be defending against tight ends. If you go to our Study Hub and click the “DEF” tab you can see the points allowed by position for each defense. So we have a team that struggles against tight ends in a game with an implied total of 50 points. Let’s go TJ.
Kansas City Chiefs
Ok so we don’t get Dallas’ terrible offense this week but the Jets are still on the slate so let’s attack them. New York appears to be in full-on tank mode so we have to use that to our advantage. The only negative with the Chiefs is the price of 5k. Other than that interceptions, sacks, a punt return for a touchdown and any other scoring opportunity for a defense are on the table. (A lot of people feel this way so we’re projecting close to 15% ownership for the Chiefs defense)
Los Angeles Chargers
LA is currently the City of Champions with the Lakers and Dodgers winning titles over the past month or so. I’m not really a narrative guy, I just wanted to throw some props to the city where I reside. I do think either LA team is a good choice for DST (The Rams take on the rookie Tua in Miami) but the Chargers are 4.3k (As opposed to the Rams 4.9k) against a Denver offense that’s less talented than the Dolphins.
See you in the green,