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PGA DFS: Course Preview for Rocket Mortgage Classic 2021 on DraftKings, FanDuel, SuperDraft

We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. So make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.

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Course Preview

So after spending the last three weeks talking about Harris English, he sinks a W? I gotta pat myself on the back for that. Anyway, this week we head to Michigan for the Rocket Mortage Classic. Last year Bryson DeChambeau won by three shots over Matthew Wolff, as he’ll be defending his title. The course has 87 sand bunkers and only one hole with water in play.

Detriot Golf Club is a par 72, 7300 yards, played on Bentgrass/Poa Annua green. There are trees outlining holes, but they don’t really matter if you’re long enough off the tee. The most accessible holes on the course are the par 5’s. They have a birdie rate of 30-50%, making them reasonably simple for birdies. However, there are about five holes that have a bogey rate of 20%.

The fairways at Detroit Golf Club are wide, which makes hitting them very easy. There is rough that will be nearly 4″, but you would have to be awful off the tee to make your way into that rough. The greens are pretty similar to last week’s tournament, so I would probably eye any golfer that putted well.

  • Strokes Gained: Approach The Green
  • Strokes Gained: Putting
  • Strokes Gained: Tee To Green
  • Strokes Gained: Around The Green
  • Birdie or Better

PGA DFS FanDuel Targets

  • Jason Kokrak ($11,300) – Kokrak very much pops here. He’s excellent OTT, can sink in some birdies, and can definitely putt. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Kokrak is ranked 2nd in Putting, 12th in Birdies, 22nd OTT, and 32nd in Greens in Regulation. He’s also placed 29th here in 2019.
  • Keegan Bradley ($10,400) – I can’t write off Keegs just yet. Although he missed the cut last week at Travelers, his putter gave him issues. He lost over three strokes on the putter when he’s only lost half a stroke in the previous ten events. Most importantly, Keegs actually gained 4.3 strokes on approach last week.

PGA DFS DraftKings Targets

  • Charley Hoffman ($8,800) – Again, I have no problems going back to Hoffman here. This new $8k range he’s been at for a few events, he’s averaging 8X his value. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Hoffman is ranked 13th on APP, 21st in Birdies, 23rd T2G, and 31st OTT.
  • Emiliano Grillo ($8,200) – I know many of you will hate this play, and I understand. Grillo screwed us last week a bit, but on the plus side, he actually gained strokes T2G, OTT, and on APP. What messed him up was the putter. But he’s actually gained a stroke in putting over the last five events. So while many people might write him off, I would like to go back to him on the other hand.

PGA DFS SuperDraft Targets

  • Garrick Higgo (1.4X) – Maybe now that people are easing up on the Higgo train, this could be an excellent spot for him, just like Palmetto. He’s going to be able to bomb and gouge this course. Let’s not forget that Higgo is ranked 1st in putting and 18th in driving distance on the Euro Tour.
  • Kyle Stanley (1.45X) – Stanley is on a heater. He’s made the last five cuts, and if he were to actually even gain 0.1 strokes on the putter, he would probably be top 15. In Stanley’s previous five starts, he’s gained 4.5 strokes T2G, 3.8 at APP, and 1.3 OTT. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Stanley is ranked 16th in Greens in Regulation, 23rd at Approach, 48th T2G, and 49th in Driving Accuracy.

PGA Dark Horse Target

  • Hank Lebioda ($8200FD/$7,200DK) – Boy, did I have to do some digging for this one. Hank has made the cut five times in a roll and is coming off a 5th place finish from the Travelers. In Hank’s last five starts, he’s gained 3.2 strokes T2G, 2.6 Putting, 1.3 at APP, 1.2 ARG, and 1 OTT. It’s a long shot, but the stats don’t lie.

PGA DFS DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft Rise or Fall Content

Study Hub

Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.

Course Correlation Model

One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you’ll notice from left to right all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.

Important Rankings

Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.

Cash, GPP, Core Picks

On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All are categorized on which player I like and in what format. For example, cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.

Showdown Content

This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.

Consistency vs. Trends

This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.

Putting Data

This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.Study Hub DFS Projections

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