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PGA DFS: Course Preview for The 3M Open 2021 on DraftKings, FanDuel, SuperDraft

We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. So make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.

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Course Preview

The FedEx Cup playoffs are around the corner, so for some, it’s do or die. Michael Thompson will be defending his title from 2020 while Dustin Johnson tops the field. The 3M Open has 72 sand bunkers, 15 holes with water and play, and a light 3″ rough.

TPC Twin Cities is 7400 yards, par 71, played on Bentgrass greens. Arnold Palmer designed the course, and it will offer three par 5’s and eleven par 4’s. The most challenging part of this course is the water. So it’s going to be very important to keep an eye on the Correlated Course Model this week as I’ll be using courses like Honda and Innisbrook.

The three par 5’s on the course are straightforward. They have a birdie rate of 39-55%. In contrast, there are only three holes with a bogey rate of 20-25%. So we should be able to see a birdie fest. The fairways at Twin Cities are wide and generous, so there shouldn’t be any trouble off the tee.

  • Strokes Gained: Approach The Green
  • Birdie or Better
  • Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
  • Strokes Gained: Putting
  • Strokes Gained: Around The Green

PGA DFS FanDuel Targets

  • Tony Finau ($11,500) – This is probably the highest I’ll start my lineups, and I absolutely don’t mind it. This is a course that should fit Finau. After missing two cuts back to back, he placed 15th last week at The Open. In Finau’s previous five starts, he’s gained 4.1 strokes T2G, 2.5 ARG, and one stroke in OTT & APP. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Finau is ranked 7th ARG, 10th T2G, 29th at Approach, 33rd in Driving Distance, and 37th OTT.
  • Cameron Tringale ($10,900) – Believe it or not, but Tringale has been trending in the right direction. Over his last 36 rounds, he’s gained 1.53 total strokes, 1.24 in his previous 24 rounds, and 1.62 in his previous 12 rounds. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Tringale is ranked 21st in Putting, 44th ARG, 44th at APP, and 47th T2G.

PGA DFS DraftKings Targets

  • Cam Davis ($9,200) – Bentgrass specialist Cam Davis should be able to excel in this field and at this course. Cam gains 0.31 strokes on Bentgrass greens, and just a few weeks ago, he won it at Rocket Mortgage. Which, funny enough, will be one of my comp courses. Cam is ranked 17th in Driving Distance, 29th OTT, 58th at Approach, and 64 in Putting.
  • Stewart Cink ($8,700) – I know that Stewie cinked (ha) some of our lines last week. After finishing round 1 at -4 to go +7 in round 2. But I can move on from that as he’s been a two-time winner this year alone. Over his last five events, he’s gained 2.5 strokes T2G, 2.9 at APP, and 0.2 strokes OTT.

PGA DFS SuperDraft Targets

  • Lucas Herbert (1.6X) – Lucas was my Dark Horse pick last week, and to be honest, I’m okay with it. I can’t forget that he’s won at the Irish Open in the previous two weeks and placed 4th at the Scottish Open. Now he’s coming to a course that’s pretty much a birdie fest? Let’s not forget Herbert is ranked 22nd in Birdies on the Euro Tour.
  • Luke List (1.35X) – I’m always a fan of List at courses with wide fairways and little to no rough. That’s pretty much Luke’s specialty. He’s coming in with a 5th place finish at Barbasol, and a 4th place finish at John Deere. Things are trending the right way for Luke. He’s ranked 6th in Driving Distance, 10th OTT, 22nd T2G, and 57th at Approach.

PGA Dark Horse Target

  • Hank Lebioda ($9,700/$7,900) – I’m almost certain that Hank will gain a ton of ownership at this range, but one can only hope that he goes unnoticed. Hank has made the cut seven times in a row with an 8th place finish at John Deere, 4th at Rocket Mortgage, and 5th at Travelers. On the Rise or Fall Study Hub – Hank has gained 3.3 strokes T2G, 1.6 at APP, and 1.5 ARG.

PGA DFS: Picks Preview for The 3M Open021 on DraftKings, FanDuel, SuperDraft

PGA DFS DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft Rise or Fall Content

Study Hub

Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.

Course Correlation Model

One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you’ll notice from left to right all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.

Important Rankings

Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.

Cash, GPP, Core Picks

On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All are categorized on which player I like and in what format. For example, cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.

Showdown Content

This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.

Consistency vs. Trends

This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.

Putting Data

This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.Study Hub DFS Projections

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