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⛳ PGA DFS: Course Preview for The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022

PGA Coure Preview

We have an exciting week of PGA DFS. Let us help you with this Course Preview for The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022. We have superb-looking slates on DraftKings and FanDuel. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. So make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.

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Course Preview

Our second stop of the Florida swing will be right here at Bay Hill Club and Hodge. And just like that, we’re only one week away from The Players Championship and a month away from The Masters after The Players. The year is already flying by us, but it is probably one of my favorite times of the year for some fantastic DFS golf. This week we have a field of 119 golfers led by Jon Rahm, Rory Mcilroy, and newcomers Corey Conners and Seamus Power.

Bay Hill Club & Lodge is 7454 Yards, Par 72, played on Bermuda Greens. This course has an average green size of 7,500 sq feet, 84 sand bunkers, nine holes with water in play, and a challenging 3″ rough. In that short sentence, I pretty much summed up a monster. This course is supposed to be as complex as a major championship course, so expect it to play hard. Most of the par 4s are extremely difficult, so most of the scoring has to be done on the par 5s. Over the years, Bay Hill hired a new Director of Grounds, Chris Flynn, in 2019. Since that time, Driving Accuracy, Greens in Regulation, Pars, and Scoring Average became nearly two times harder.

  • Strokes Gained: Approach The Green
  • Strokes Gained: Tee To Green
  • Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
  • Strokes Gained: Around The Green
  • Birdie or Better

Important Stats
PGA DFS FanDuel Targets

  • Rory Mcilroy ($11,900) – What to do about Rory is really the question here because he’s going to be significant chalk, and it’s for a good reason. Rory plays exceptionally well at Bay Hill. Over his last 28 rounds, he’s gained 2.41 total strokes. And if that’s not enough, over the previous six years, his worst finish at Bay Hill was an 11th place finish in 2015. He won here back in 2018, and although we’ve only seen him at the PGA once this year, he’s been destroying it at DP World Tour. He’s placed 8th at Abu Dhabi and 6th at the Dubai Desert Classic.
  • Matt Fitzpatrick ($11,200) – Is it too late to play Fitzy for my One and Done this week? It’s only the beginning of the year, and Fitzy has already placed 10th at the Phoenix Open and 6th at Pebble Beach. Best of all? Over the last three years, he’s placed 10th in 2021, 9th in 2020, and 2nd in 2019. The icing on the cake is that Fitzpatrick is a Bermuda specialist. Throughout 53 rounds (three seasons), Fitzpatrick is the highest golfer in the field, gaining 0.98 strokes on the Putter.

PGA DFS DraftKings Targets

  • Paul Casey ($8,300) – Last week was the first week we’ve seen Paul Casey at the PGA Tour, where he placed 15th at Genesis, but let’s not forget he’s been playing this entire year. He’s been bouncing around the Euro Tour and the Asian Tour, and during that time, he placed 16th at the Singapore Open, 12th at Dubai Desert Classic, and 24th at Saudi International. Don’t confuse yourself and think these are trash places because they aren’t. You can find players like Rory McIlroy, Viktor Hovland, Tyrrell Hatton, Sergio Garia, Bubba Watson, and Dustin Johnson in each of these events. The last time Casey was here (2021), he placed 10th.
  • Chris Kirk ($7,500) – At the time of writing this, Chris Kirk is sitting at an 8% ownership which is somewhat crazy to me. He plays reasonably decent in Florida as he just placed 7th at Honda, and over the years at Bay Hil, he’s placed 8th in 2021, 15th in 2019, and 13th in 2018. Over on the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model, Kirk is ranked 6th Around the Green, 11th Tee to Green, and 24th Off The Tee over his last 24 rounds.

PGA Dark Horse Target

  • Sebastian Munoz ($7,000) – Seabass is the Dark Horse play of the week, and he’s coming in at about 6% ownership which I especially love. Over his last three events, he’s managed to place 21st at Genesis, 23rd at Phoenix Open, and 39th at Farmers. We’ve seen Seabass countless times at the top of the leaderboard, and I think this could be a very sneaky play. Seabass is ranked 14th in Tee To Green, 16th in Ball Striking, 20th Off The Tee, 25th at Approach, and 25th at Birdies on the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model.


Winner Winner

 

PGA DFS DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft Rise or Fall Content

Study Hub

Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, Approach, around the green, Putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.

Course Correlation Model

One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course rank.

Important Rankings

Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.

Cash, GPP, Core Picks

On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All are categorized on which player I like and in what format. For example, cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.

Showdown Content

This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you with all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.

Consistency vs. Trends

This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.

Putting Data

This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2021 season to the present.

 

 

 

-Benitt

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