We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. So make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.
We escape Detriot with an unusual threesome playoff with our winner Cam Davis. To be honest, I didn’t catch much of it as it was pretty uneventful, especially with Bryson missing the cut (insert angry emoji). Anyway, this week we head to Illinois for the John Deere Classic. Dylan Frittelli returns to defend his title from 2019 while three-time winner Steve Stricker joins the field along with 2012 winner Zach Johnson.
TPC Deere Run is 7200 yards, par 71, played on Bentgrass Greens. TPC Deere Run has hosted this event since 2000, and this is the 50th Anniversary of the John Deere Classic. The course has 78 sand bunkers, three holes with water in play, and a 4″ rough. . However, 78% of golfers will be able to hit fairways pretty easily. The landing areas are very generous, so golfers will hit most of their approach shots, Therefore – making this a wedge/birdie fest eliminating the need for power off the tee.
By far, the most accessible holes on the course are all the par 5’s as they’re anywhere from 35-50% in birdie rate with an opportunity of eagles at 4%. The most challenging holes on the course are the 9th and 18th holes, as they’re facing 21-25% in bogeys with a low double-bogey rate of 5%. Lastly, the historic cut line at TPC Deere Run is -2 to -3. So it should be clear that we’ll probably see a -7 in round 1.
Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.
One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you’ll notice from left to right all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.
Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.
On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All are categorized on which player I like and in what format. For example, cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.
This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.
This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.
This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.
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