PGA DFS: Course Preview for The Olympics 2021 on DraftKings, and FanDuel
We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings and FanDuel. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. So make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.
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It’s Olympics time, and I don’t know about you, but I am PUMPED! This week the Men’s Olympics are being hosted at Kasumigaseki Country Club in Japan. There isn’t a whole lot of data out there, but I am looking forward to some golf. Representing Merica’ are Morikawa, JT, Patrick Reed, and Xander Schauffele. While Rory McIlroy & Shane Lowry are representing Ireland. Also, let’s not forget about the Brits, Paul Casey, and Tommy Fleetwood. And lastly, the most important group is South Korea as Si Woo Kim and Sungjae will be fighting for their careers.
Kasumigaseki Country Club – East Course is 7400 yards, par 71 played on Bentgrass greens. The course was re-designed by Tom & Logan Fazio in 2016, but all that was done was adding some undulations in the fairways and adding some dynamic level changes to the surroundings of the massive green complexes per GCSAA. The course has 68 sand bunkers, two holes with water in play, and a rough that’s over 3.5″. There are also plenty of trees on each hole, so it will be essential to be accurate off the tee.
The course has wide fairways from what I read, but it does tighten up a bit as you get closer to the hole. Lastly, don’t forget this event is a no-cut event, so get ready to sweat this out for a full four days.
- Strokes Gained: Approach The Green
- Birdie or Better
- Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
- Strokes Gained: Tee To Green
- Strokes Gained: Around The Green
PGA DFS FanDuel Targets
- Collin Morikawa ($12,000) – It shouldn’t surprise you to see Mori’s name up here. He’s been the one golfer over the past two years to win two majors. And it’s usually with barely to no experience on the course. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Morikawa is ranked 1st T2G, 1st at Approach, 11th in Total Driving, 13th in Driving Accuracy, and 29th OTT.
- Viktor Hovland ($11,400) – I very much like Viktor here. He’s been trending in the right direction with a 3rd place finish at Valspar & Wells Fargo. He’s also coming off a 12th place finish at The Open. Over his last five starts, he’s gained five strokes T2G, 2.9 at APP, and 2.4 OTT.
- Paul Casey ($11,000) – Gotta highlight at least one Brit! Since the MC at RBC Heritage, Casey has been stellar! He’s finished the following: 15th at The Open, 36th at Travelers, 7th at the U.S. Open, 4th at PGA Championship, and 21st at Valspar. My man gains 7.4 strokes T2G, 4.6 at APP, 1.5 OTT, and 1.2 ARG.
PGA DFS DraftKings Targets
- Sungjae Im ($9,000) – There is some bias in this pick, but it’s really because I want this man to win a medal and not be required to go to military service. Besides that, Sungjae’s putting has been pretty decent, and his approach game is still in a good place. In his last five events, he’s gained 2.9 strokes T2G, 1.9 at APP, and about one stroke ARG & OTT.
- Garrick Higgo ($8,300) – All you need to know is that he’s from South Africa. Lock and move on. Just kidding. I very much like Higgo, and it’s not only because he’s won three times this season alone. But because his Euro Tour stats are pretty impressive and should set up very well here. Higgo is ranked 1st in Putting, 8th in Birdies, and 33rd OTT.
- Mito Pereira ($7,200) – The 26th-year-old from Chile has been the talk of the PGA Tour. After winning it at the REX Hospital Open on the Korn Ferry Tour. However, he missed the cut immediately at his PGA event (Rocket Mortgage). But since that MC, he’s placed 34th at the John Deere Classic, 5th at Barbasol Championship, and 6th last week at the 3M Open. During those previous three events, he’s gained 7 strokes T2G, 3.8 OTT, and 2.7 at APP.
PGA Dark Horse Target
- Christian Bezuidenhout ($9,700FD/$8,700) – I’m such a massive fan of Bez, and I feel like he’s underrated for how great he is. This year alone, he hasn’t missed a cut, and for the 2020 season, he only missed the cut three times. Bez’s Euro Tour stats is 5th at Approach, 7th in Scrambling, 25th T2G, 30th in Driving Accuracy, and 39th at ARG.
PGA DFS DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft Rise or Fall Content
Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.
Course Correlation Model
One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you’ll notice from left to right all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.
Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.
Cash, GPP, Core Picks
On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All are categorized on which player I like and in what format. For example, cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.
This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.
Consistency vs. Trends
This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.
This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.