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PGA DFS: Course Preview for The Open Championship 2021 on DraftKings, FanDuel, SuperDraft

We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. So make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.

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Course Preview

This week say goodbye to the good old USA as we’ll be in England this week. You heard that right! After ten years, we’re back in Royal St. Georges for the British Open. This will be the 6th major of the season and, unfortunately, the last one. Shane Lowry, who captured his first major championship at The Open at Royal Portrush in 2019, will return the Claret Jug after his extended title defense with the Open Championship not being played last year due to COVID.

Royal St. Georges GC is 7200 yards, par 70, played on Bentgrass greens. By far, the most accessible holes on the course are the par 5’s. The 7th hole has a birdie rate of 44%. However, the 14th hole has a 23% birdie rate. In contrast, six holes are lurking with extreme danger. Six holes have a bogey rate of 27-40%, and the cut line back in 2011 was +4. So you’re going to see a lot of carnage this weekend.

The fairways are narrow (after all, it is a major), and they should play like any standard link course (firm & fast). The course is not per se a bombers course, but Dustin Johnson was one of the few golfers that held on strong in all four days in 2011. The greens should play firm unless it rains, but I don’t see any rain in the forecast as of current.

  • Strokes Gained: Around The Green
  • Strokes Gained: Approach The Green
  • Strokes Gained: Putting
  • Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
  • Birdie or Better

PGA DFS FanDuel Targets

  • Jon Rahm ($12,300) – I am completely okay to pay up for Jon Rahm. Rahm didn’t have his A-game last week at the Scottish Open and still placed a solid 7th place finish after winning at the U.S. Open the prior week. Rahm is having a spectacular season this year. In his last 20 events, he’s gained six strokes T2G, 3.1 OTT, 1.5 at APP, and one stroke ARG. on the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Rahm is ranked 1st in Total Driving, 2nd in T2G, and 2nd OTT.
  • Jordan Spieth ($11,600) – Although Jordan is ranked 114th Off The Tee, he has actually gained 0.28 strokes in his last 12 rounds. He is also facing his favorite surface – Jordan gains 0.65 strokes in Bentgrass greens. Jordan is also trending in the right direction. In his last 24 rounds, he’s gained 1.83 total strokes, and in his previous 12 rounds, he’s gained 2.74 total strokes.

PGA DFS DraftKings Targets

  • Patrick Cantlay ($8,900) – When Cantlay brings a hot putter, he annihilates the competition, and I guess you can say that about many guys, but in his last 3 starts when the putter has been hot, he’s placed 13th at Travelers, 15th at the U.S Open, and 1st at Memorial. In his last five starts, he’s gained 7.2 strokes T2G, 3.2 ARG, 2.7 OTT, and 1.2 ARG.
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick ($7,900) – Fitz is a player I want in challenging circumstances since he typically plays on the European Tour with their type of settings. He has previously won on courses like at Vallda Golf CC and at The Renaissance Club. He has strong Total Driving numbers and can get hot with the putter. And of course, let’s not forget he finished 2nd last week at the Scottish Open, so let’s hope no one paid attention.

PGA DFS SuperDraft Targets

  • Alex Noren (1.3X) – Besides missing the cut last week at the John Deere Classic, Noren has had an impressive year. He’s had several top 30 finishes and top 15 finishes too. On the Rise or Fall Study Hub – he’s gained 2.5 strokes T2G, 1.7 OTT, and 1.2 ARG in his last five starts. Lastly, he has excellent event history. He’s placed 11th, 17th, and 6th.
  • Stewart Cink (1.3X) – Cink has an impressive history at the Open Championship. He’s had 5 top 30’s one of them being here at Royal St. Georges. In Stewart’s last 12 rounds, he’s gained 2.15 total strokes with considerable gains in the T2G & Approach department.

PGA Dark Horse Target

  • Lucas Herbert ($8,000/$6,800) – Lucas doesn’t have a ton of history on the PGA Tour, but did you know that he is ranked 49th in the world? And he has also been dominating on the Euro Tour. He placed 4th at the Scottish Open last week and won at the Irish Open. Highlight those finishes with a 19th place finish at Travelers and an 18th place finish at The Memorial. It would be dumb not to play him, right?

PGA DFS: Picks Preview for The John Deere Classic 2021 on DraftKings, FanDuel, SuperDraft

PGA DFS DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft Rise or Fall Content

Study Hub

Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.

Course Correlation Model

One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you’ll notice from left to right all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.

Important Rankings

Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.

Cash, GPP, Core Picks

On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All are categorized on which player I like and in what format. For example, cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.

Showdown Content

This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.

Consistency vs. Trends

This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.

Putting Data

This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.Study Hub DFS Projections

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