PGA DFS: Course Preview for The Ryder Cup 2021 on DraftKings, and FanDuel
We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings and FanDuel. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. So make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.
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We made it! The Ryder Cup is back after a brief year delay due to COVID-19. However, the Ryder Cup returns to Whistling Straits. Captain Steve Stricker will lead the USA, and Europe will be lead by Captain Padraig Harrington. Team Europe and Team USA will square off as two 12-man teams and take part in the good ol’ match-play we love to hate so much. This event begins on Friday and not Thursday. Each of the first two days includes one four-match session of fourball and one four-match session of foursomes. The final day is reserved for 12 singles matches.
Let me break it down for you: In four-ball, each member of a two-man team plays their own ball, so four balls are in play on every hole. Each group counts the lowest of its two scores on each hole, and the team whose player has the lowest score wins the hole. If the low scores are tied, the hole is halved. Each two-man team plays one ball per hole in foursomes, with the players taking turns until each hole is complete. Players alternate hitting tee shots, with one leading off on odd-numbered holes, and the other hitting first on even-numbered holes. The team with the low score on each hole wins that hole. If their scores are tied, the hole is halved. In singles, each match features one player from each team. The player with the lower score on each hole wins that hole. If their scores are tied, the hole is halved.
Here are the two squads for the USA & Europe side and their experience on the Ryder Cup/Presidents Cup.
USA Roster: Collin Morikawa (Rookie), Dustin Johnson (5th Ryder Cup), Bryson DeChambeau (2nd), Brooks Koepka (3rd), Justin Thomas (2nd), Patrick Cantlay (Rookie), Tony Finau (2nd), Xander Schauffele (Rookie), Jordan Spieth (4th), Harris English (Rookie), Daniel Berger (Rookie), Scottie Scheffler (Rookie).
Europe Roster: Jon Rahm (2nd), Tommy Fleetwood (2nd), Tyrrell Hatton (2nd), Bernd Wiesberger (Rookie), Rory McIlroy (6th), Viktor Hovland (Rookie), Paul Casey (5th), Matthew Fitzpatrick (2nd), Lee Westwood (11th), Shane Lowry (Rookie), Sergio Garcia (10th), Ian Poulter (7th).
Whistling Straits is 7355 yards, and par 71 played on Bentgrass greens designed by the legend himself, Pete Dye, back in 1998. Expect to see a ton of larger bunkers and some water in play. This will be the first time the Ryder Cup visits Whistling Straits, as it can be described as a links-style course as it sits right on the coast of Lake Michigan.
The fairways here are narrow, so accuracy will be a little more critical than, for example, at the US Open. The course contains deep pot bunkers, grass-topped dunes, and winds coming in every direction. With that being said, wind could be a considerable factor here. As of writing this, they have wind gusts up to 40 MPH for the next three days. If the winds stay this wild, I would focus on golfers that play well on courses like Pebble Beach, Hilton Head, and The Open Championship.
The golfer you draft as your Captain will earn 1.5x the standard fantasy point value for each statistic, streak, and bonus.
Per Hole Scoring
- Holes Won: +3 Pts
- Holes Halved: +0.75 Pts
- Holes Lost: -0.75 Pts
- Holes Not Played: +1.6 Pts
- Matches Won: +5 Pts
- Matches Halved: +2 Pts
Streaks and Bonuses
- Streak of 3 Consecutive Holes Won in Match (Max 1 Per Round}): +5 Pts
- No Holes Lost in Match Bonus: +7.5 Pts
- Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
- Strokes Gained: Tee To Green
- Strokes Gained: Approach The Green
- Strokes Gained: Putting
- Strokes Gained: Around The Green
PGA DFS FanDuel Targets
- Jon Rham ($15,000) – How do you avoid the best in the world? It’s almost like it’s inevitable; you have no other choice – you have to play him! On our Important Stats Model and Course Comparison model, he’s ranked 1st in both. Breaking it down for you in his last 24 rounds, he’s ranked 1st in Tee To Green, Ball Striking, and Putting. 2nd Off The Tee, and 4th at Approach. Rahm has only played the Ryder Cup once, and in his overall matches, he’s 1-2. But this is a much, much different Rahm than the one we knew back in 2018.
- Jordan Spieth ($14,000) – Jordan has a whooping 28 matches played with a terrific record (maybe not so much in singles). In foursomes, he’s 7-1, while in four-ball, he’s 8-3. Whoever he ends up being paired with just needs to be better than him in singles. Jordan is also ranked 5th on our Course Comparison model.
- Paul Casey ($9,000) – Casey is not as flashy as the guys I mentioned above, but Casey actually grades out very well on the Important Stats model. In his last 24 rounds, he’s ranked 3rd Tee To Green, 3rd at Approach, and 5th in Ball Striking. If he starts off hot, he can be a great asset to the team.
PGA DFS DraftKings Targets
- Justin Thomas ($9,400) – JT has the best record on the U.S. side in Ryder Cup/Presidents Cup appearances. Overall – Justin Thomas has a record of 10-3, winning 75% of the points, and he’s absolutely unstoppable in four-ball as he has a 6-0 record. His stats aren’t as lavish as Rahm’s, but in his last 24 rounds, he’s ranked 5th at Approach, 7th Tee To Green, 9th in Ball Striking, and 9th Around The Green.
- Rory McIlroy ($9,200) – It’s only inevitable that I mention the best player on the European side of things, right? Rory averages 4.8 matches per event played, but his record isn’t as great as Justin Thomas. But if we get the Rory that has absolutely killed his last five events, then we should be more than fine. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Rory is ranked 4th Tee To Green, 4th Off The Tee, and 7th in Ball Striking within 24 rounds.
- Sergio Garcia ($7,000) – Sergio is actually 2nd to Lee Westwood in matches played on the Ryder Cup. Sergio has played nine events and has a pretty stellar record of 12-7, giving him 62% of the points. At this price point, I like this value, especially if you know Sergio. When Sergio gets hot, he stays hot, but when he’s bad…let’s not even talk about that part. However, Sergio on the Important Stats Model is ranked 6th Tee To Green, 6th in Ball Striking, 7th Off The Tee, and 9th at Approach.
PGA Dark Horse Target
- Daniel Berger ($7,000FD/$6,660DK) – I think Berger gets overlooked, which is quite crazy to me. Berger has only played at the President’s Cup, which was back in 2017, and he had a decent record. He played three matches, and in those three matches, he won both his four-ball match and his singles match. But lost his foursome match. Let’s not forget that Berger has placed top 10 or won some of the evens that we’re using as a Course Comparison. Berger won it at Pebble Beach. He placed 13th at Harbour Town last season and 3rd in 2020. Lastly, at The Open Championship, he placed 8th last season. Now roll that in with his stats he’s actually ranked 2nd overall in the field. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Berger is ranked 1st at Approach, 2nd Tee To Green, and 4th in Ball Striking.
Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.
Course Correlation Model
One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you’ll notice from left to right all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.
Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.
Cash, GPP, Core Picks
On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All are categorized on which player I like and in what format. For example, cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.
This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.
Consistency vs. Trends
This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.
This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.