PGA DFS: Course Preview for The Sanderson Farms Championship 2021 on DraftKings, and FanDuel
We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings and FanDuel. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. So make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.
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Course Preview
We’re officially back for the rest of the year (except for that short break in December) to regular PGA events. Our return to PGA events leads us with a field of 140 players, including the only Ryder Cup participant to make it out here and last year’s winner Sergio Garcia. Rookie of the year Will Zalatoris will tee it up at Sanderson Farms along with Sam Burns and Sungjae Im.
Country Club of Jackson is a par 72, 7400 yards played on Bermuda Greens and designed by John Fought and Mike Gogel in 2008. The course has 56 sand bunkers, five holes with water in play, and a rough that isn’t too concerning, sitting at about 2″ deep. The fairways here are a bit on the narrow side as the average green size is 6200 sq feet, but it won’t play a huge factor. Statistically speaking, only 50% of players hit the fairways here as the rough isn’t worrisome. So, in other words – bomb and gouge. The key takeaway is that I wouldn’t worry about grabbing guys that can bomb it, but instead guys that are good with their short irons and can putt it well.
- Strokes Gained: Approach The Green
- Strokes Gained: Putting
- Strokes Gained: Around The Green
- Birdie or Better
- Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
PGA DFS FanDuel Targets
- Sam Burns ($11,900) – At the rate that Sam Burns is playing, I think he becomes almost a must-play in this field. Sam finished his 2020 career being ranked 154th, and this season he’s already 25th in the world. In his previous four events, he’s finished 17th at the TOUR Championship, 8th at BMW, 21st at Northern Trust, and 2nd at WGC St. Jude. This week, he comes to CC of Jackson, where he’s played four times, made the cut three times, and highlighted a 3rd place finish. Burns is also a superior putter on Bermuda greens as he nearly gains half a stroke, and on the Important Stats Model, he’s ranked 3rd in putting in his last 24 rounds.
- Sungjae Im ($11,700) – Sungjae has been trending in the right direction on the Rise or Fall Consistency vs. Trend model; he started the season at +0.40, and in his last 20 rounds, he’s gained +1.56 total strokes per round. We can see on the Rise or Fall Study Hub that over his previous five events had one top 5 finish and two top 20’s. Lastly, on the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model, Sungjae is ranked 11th T2G, 12th OTT, 14th in Ball Striking, and 37th at APP in his last 24 rounds.
PGA DFS DraftKings Targets
- Mito Pereira ($9,900) – Mito entered the season already with a 3rd place finish at Fortinet Championship. This week he should be able to climb that leaderboard reasonably quickly since the field is moderately weak. Mito is ranked 1st in T2G, 3rd in Ball Striking, 4th Off The Tee, 7th Around The Green, and 10th at Approach on the Rise or Fall Important Stats Models. Mito is dialed in and is looking for his first win this season to start his PGA career with a bang.
- Harold Varner III ($9,200) – Have you noticed how well HV3 has been playing? In his last five events, he’s placed 16th, 12th, 11th, 57th, and 15th. He’s been dominating, and now he enters another weak field? Things should go well for HV3. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model, he’s ranked 8th at Approach, 15th Tee To Green, 15th in Putting, 17th Around The Green, and 37th in Ball Striking.
PGA Dark Horse Target
- Seamus Power ($10,400FD/$8,800) – Seamus is sandwiched between two guys who will probably gain much more ownership – Kevin Streelman & Emiliano Grillo. And that’s when we come in and scoop up this man. Seamus has fantastic history at CC of Jackson. Besides missing the cut in 2020, he’s placed 19th, 18th, and 29th. But this season, this is not the Seamus Power that was ranked 429th in the world or at times over 1000. Seamus is ranked 106th in the world to start the season; check out his massive improvements over his last 36 rounds: ranked 2nd ARG, 4th T2G, 6th at APP, 17th in Ball Striking, and 17th in Putting. When we take a look at the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model, Seamus is ranked 2nd at Approach, 5th in Tee To Green, 5th Around The Green, 9th in Putting, and 13th in Ball Striking in his last 24 rounds.
PGA DFS DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft Rise or Fall Content
Study Hub
Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.
Course Correlation Model
One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you’ll notice all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational from left to right and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.
Important Rankings
Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.
Cash, GPP, Core Picks
On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All are categorized on which player I like and in what format. For example, cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.
Showdown Content
This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.
Consistency vs. Trends
This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.
Putting Data
This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.
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