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PGA DFS: Course Preview for The WGC FedEx St Jude 2021 on DraftKings, FanDuel, SuperDraft

We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. So make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.

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Course Preview

After a week off for the Men’s Olympics last week, the PGA resumes back to their scheduled program. But definitely worth giving a shout to Xander for taking down Gold (golf clap). How time flies – with this tournament, we only have five remaining events for the year. I hope I’ve been helpful throughout the year and hope you have a positive ROI.

Moving forward, this week’s event is at TPC Southwind, where we will have another small field with 66 golfers. However, the field is loaded this week as 48 of the Top-50 players in the world will tee it up in Memphis. The course has 11 holes with water in play, 75 sand bunkers, and an easy 2.5″ rough. Per the GCSAA in 2020, No. 7 fairway was resurfaced, and the hole was extended 15 yards; No. 3 fairway was shifted 15 yards to the right and a new tee added 25 yards to the hole, and a complete bunker renovation was undertaken (reshaping some bunkers, re-edging some bunkers, removing and adding a few bunkers).

TPC Southwind is 7200 yards, par 70, played on Bermuda greens. TPC Southwind has been host to this event since 2019. Really the only difference between the events prior to 2019 and the WGC event is the placement on the schedule; most big names skipped the course. But really, there is a ton of history here. The most accessible holes on the course are the two par 5’s. They have a birdie rate of 33-47%. In contrast, the most challenging holes are the 5th and 17th hole which have a bogey rate of 25-30%. A few past championships we should note are Justin Thomas (2020), Brooks Koepka (2019), Dustin Johnson (2018), and Daniel Berger back to back years,

  • Strokes Gained: Approach The Green
  • Driving Accuracy
  • Strokes Gained: Putting
  • Strokes Gained: Around The Green
  • Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
  • Birdie or Better

PGA DFS FanDuel Targets

  • Jordan Spieth ($11,700) – Will this be the event that Jordan takes his second win of the year? He does have all the signs that head in that direction. The last time he played was at The Open, and he placed 2nd while gaining a crazy 15 total strokes. On the Rise or Fall Study Hub – In his last 5 tournaments, he’s gained 6 strokes T2G, 2.7 at APP, 1.9 ARG, and 1.4 OTT.
  • Rory McIlroy ($11,500) – Am I crazy for picking Rory? It’s hard to ignore the fact that Rory actually looked comfortable out there last week at the Olympics, and it showed in his stats as well. Rory gained a beautiful 3.65 strokes on the putter and that is exactly where his game needs to stay. If he can bring that same game to TPC Southwind as he has in the past with seven top 10s he could be in that top 5 range on Sunday.

PGA DFS DraftKings Targets

  • Brooks Koepka ($10,600) – Originally I was going to start with Brooks on my FanDuel targets, but dang $12,2K!? That’s nuts. Anyway, I don’t think I’ve added Brooks in any of my articles this year, but hey this is at least one event that we know he very much likes. Since this event started in 2019 as a WGC he’s placed 1st in 2019 and runner up in 2020. Plus he’s also entering the field in fantastic form and stats. On the Rise or Fall Study Hub – In his last 5 events, he’s gained 6.8 strokes T2G, 3.2 at APP, 3 strokes OTT, and 1 stroke ARG. Lastly, in his last 3 events he’s placed 6th at The Open, 5th at Travelers, and 4th at The U.S. Open.
  • Patrick Cantlay ($9,300) – Can you keep a secret? Cantlay is a small green specialist. Check out these finishes: 13th at Travelers, 1st at The Memorial, MC at RBC, 3rd at Pebble Beach, and 2nd at AMEX. Now add his last 5 events where he’s gained 7.2 strokes T2G, 3.2 at APP, 2.7 OTT, and 1.2 ARG – looking good.

PGA DFS SuperDraft Targets

  • Daniel Berger (1.15X) – As I mentioned in my course preview – you really can’t avoid Berger here. Besides Cantlay being a small green specialist 2nd to that is Daniel Berger. He’s placed 1st in 2016, 1st in 2017, MC in 2018, and runner up last year. While still coming here in form – 8th at The Open, 34th at John Deere, and 7th at the U.S. Open.
  • Brian Harman (1.3X) – One of the most consistently made cut golfers on Tour with only two missed cuts out of 15 events. Brian is having one helluva season this year with four top 10s and five top 20 finishes. In his last 5 events, he’s gained 3.4 strokes  T2G, 2 strokes at APP, 1.2 ARG, and 0.5 OTT.

PGA Dark Horse Target

  • Adam Scott ($8,400DK/$7,200FD) – Scott is usually overlooked in the field and that’s absolutely perfect for us. From January 2019 to August 2021 (31 Rounds) he’s ranked 1st in small green sizes. He’s placed 13th at Travelers (2021), 16th at The Memorial (2021), 10th at Farmers (2021), and 5th at The Northern Trust (2019). Additionally, in the 13 events he’s played this year he’s only missed the cut once.

PGA DFS DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft Rise or Fall Content

Study Hub

Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.

Course Correlation Model

One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you’ll notice from left to right all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.

Important Rankings

Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.

Cash, GPP, Core Picks

On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All are categorized on which player I like and in what format. For example, cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.

Showdown Content

This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.

Consistency vs. Trends

This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.

Putting Data

This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.Study Hub DFS Projections

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