⛳ PGA DFS: Course Preview for The World Wide Technology Championship 2021 on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft
We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. So make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.
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This week we leave beautiful Bermuda behind and go to another beautiful location; Playa del Carmen in Mexico. Where we play the World Wide Technology Championship. If you remember, last week, this was a course we used on our course comparison model, so there’s a slight hint of how this course should play. This week we surprisingly have a strong field, and thank God. Leading the field is defending champion Viktor Hovland as he’ll have to defend his title against the likes of Justin Thomas and Brooks Koepka.
El Camaleon GC is 7000 yards; par 71 played on Paspalum Greens. Now, this course is actually very different from playing at Bermuda last week. This course has three distinct landscapes – oceanside, limestone canals, and mangroves. I’ll actually be putting a video together below so you can check it out. The PGA has come here throughout the years, the winning scores sit up around -20, so it’ll be essential to capitalize on those par 5s.
You can find this video on YouTube. I only did the honor of piecing them all together.
- Strokes Gained: Approach The Green
- Strokes Gained: Driving Accuracy Percentage
- Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
- Strokes Gained: Putting
- Birdies or Better
PGA DFS FanDuel Targets
- Abraham Ancer ($11,400) – I know there’s far much better talent in this range, but I can’t skip over Ancer like he’s nobody. Sure, Ancer didn’t look his best at Shriners after missing the cut, but he did finish 14th at the CJ Cup. What makes Ancer so appealing is his course history. After all, this is his home country. Over the past four years, Ancer has placed 9th, 21st, 8th, and 12th. And although his Important Stats don’t look too hot, he is ranked 1st in Driving Accuracy and 6th in Putting over the last 16 rounds.
PGA DFS DraftKings Targets
- Aaron Wise ($9,600) – Wise has been red hot this new season. He has now made six straight cuts with an 8th place finish at Shriners, and a 5th place finish at the CJ Cup. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Wise is ranked 1st in Birdies, 4th Around The Green, 6th Tee To Green, and 25th in Ball Striking. Wise hasn’t had the best success here, but he does have a massive ceiling of a 2nd place finish. With how well he’s performing this season, I think we can expect a potential win from Aaron Wise.
PGA DFS SuperDraft Targets
- Talor Gooch (1.35X) – Don’t sleep on Gooch! This could possibly be his season. He’s placed 5th at the CJ Cup, 11th at Shriners, and 4th at Fortinet Championship. If we take a look at the three events he’s played this new season, he ranks 1st Around The Green, 2nd Tee To Green, 2nd at Approach, 3rd in Birdies, and 9th in Ball Striking. I think SuperDraft messed up by giving him such a high multiplier.
PGA Dark Horse Target
- Russell Knox ($8,900FD/$7,300) – Am I reading this correctly? The man finished 12th last week at Bermuda, yet his price goes from $7,700 to $7,300? Sign me up. Sure, Knox doesn’t have the pretty colored stats, but he does shine well on these types of courses. Heck, have you seen his course history here? Over the last four years, he’s placed 23rd, 33rd, 9th, and 3rd. Top that off with his stats on the Rise or Fall Important Stats sheet – Knox is ranked 17th at Approach, 18th in Ball Striking, 31st in Driving Accuracy, and 39th Tee To Green.
PGA DFS DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft Rise or Fall Content
Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, Approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.
Course Correlation Model
One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you’ll notice all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational from left to right and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.
Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.
Cash, GPP, Core Picks
On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All are categorized on which player I like and in what format. For example, cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.
This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you with all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.
Consistency vs. Trends
This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.
This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.