⛳ PGA DFS: Course Preview for Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022
We have an exciting week of PGA DFS. Let us help you with this Course Preview for the Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022. We have superb-looking slates on DraftKings and FanDuel. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. So make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.
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If you know me, you know that I LOVE this event. This event welcomes a solid field with top 30 players and a wild excitable crowd. And guess who returns back to action? Mr. Bubba Watson. It feels like it’s been forever since we’ve seen him. The best part of this week’s PGA action is that we will only have ONE course to deal with. Back to normal (thank God).
TPC Scottsdale is a Par 71, 7261 Yards, played on Bermuda Greens. The course has 67 sand bunkers and six holes with water in play. The rough isn’t anything to be worried about too much as it’s only 2.5″. The past winners here have been Brooks Koepka (-19) in 2021, Webb Simpson (-17) in 2020, and Rickie Fowler (-17) in 2019. TPC Scottsdale is a course for ball strikers. It doesn’t matter if you are inaccurate, as there isn’t a ton of penalty out there. Anyway, let’s get on with the picks!
- Strokes Gained: Approach The Green
- Strokes Gained: Tee To Green
- Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
- Strokes Gained: Around The Green
- Birdie or Better
PGA DFS FanDuel Targets
- Viktor Hovland ($11,700) – Be honest with me. Is it actually possible to look elsewhere in this range? Rahm is Rahm, I get it. But Hovland, in a short period of five events, has won THREE TIMES. THREE! I don’t know, but that’s freaking wild. He won last week at the Dubai Desert Classic and now brings those talents over to the Phoenix Open. Per the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model, Hovland is ranked 3rd in Ball Striking (essential), 3rd in Birdies, 5th Off The Tee, 8th at Approach, and 13th in Driving Distance. Sign me up!
- Webb Simpson ($10,700) – I wanna say this is more of a price play, but it’s hard not to count Webb Simpson in this course. Over the last ten years, Webb has only missed the cut once. While also placing top 10 five times, it’s difficult to ignore his course history as it shows how well he performs at TPC Scottsdale. Over his last 36 rounds, Webb is ranked 8th in Birdies, 11th Around The Green, 18th Tee To Green, and 19th at Approach.
PGA DFS DraftKings Targets
- Matthew Fitzpatrick ($8,700) – It feels good being able to talk about one of my favorite golfers without any type of bias (lol). Fitzy played exceptionally well at Pebble Beach last week (even though I faded him), gaining nearly 12 total strokes. This week he goes from POA Greens to Bermuda Greens. And if you know me, I am a sucker for Fitzpatrick on Bermuda greens. Heck, he leads the field in Bermuda Greens, gaining 1.03 strokes on the putter in the last three seasons. Even on the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model, Fitzpatrick is ranked 8th Off The Tee and 22nd at Ball Striking.
- Talor Gooch ($7,800) – Is it me, or does it feel like Talor Gooch is mispriced? Have we forgotten that he has only missed the cut once in the last 12 events? That’s eight months! He did end the fall season with a bang, but he hasn’t started off too bad this season. He’s placed 15th at Sentry Tournament of Champions, 27th at Sony Open, and 20th at the Farmers. At this price tag, I really don’t mind a top 20.
PGA Dark Horse Target
- Luke List ($9,600FD/$7,770) – I love playing Luke List on courses that don’t require Driving Accuracy, and have I mentioned how FIRE Luke has been?! Over the last 24 rounds, Luke is ranked 1st Tee To Green, 2nd Off The Tee, 4th in Ball Striking, 4th Around The Green, 14th in Birdies, and 21st at Approach. At this price point, it’s hard to ask for more.
PGA DFS DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft Rise or Fall Content
Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, Approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.
Course Correlation Model
One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course rank.
Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.
Cash, GPP, Core Picks
On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All are categorized on which player I like and in what format. For example, cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.
This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you with all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.
Consistency vs. Trends
This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.
This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2021 season to the present.