PGA DFS Lineup Advice for the Wells Fargo Championship 2022
PGA DFS Lineup Advice for the Wells Fargo Championship 2022
Last week, the PGA Tour was in Mexico for the Mexico Open at Vidanta Vallarta. I will admit that I did stay away from the chalk players in this tournament. And while all 6 of my picks did make the cut… I finished just outside of the money. It just goes to show that making the cut doesn’t always equal a win. This week, we’ll be watching the pros tee off in Maryland at the TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm. Keep reading for some of my best PGA DFS Lineup Advice for the Wells Fargo Championship 2022!
Originally built in 1986 and renovated in 2007, the TPC Potomac is replacing Quail Hollow as this year’s tournament venue. It’s a fairly difficult course with thick rough and small greens. Accuracy is going to be a key data point and I’ll be using Bogey Avoidance as my top metric.
To find these data points, I utilize a variety of resources, but my main resource is the premium content provided to Team Rise or Fall subscribers. Use promo code KIP to receive $10 off your first month of membership. You’ll also receive a $20 voucher to Fantasy Cruncher, where you can populate your lineups in a snap!
Here’s a snippet of my research on mid-tier players from this morning as I was preparing to give my best PGA DFS Lineup Advice for the Wells Fargo Championship 2022:
DFS Picks $10,000 – $11,000
Corey Conners ($11,700 on FD and $10,100 on DK)
Canadian, Corey Conners has gained 1.06 strokes per round, over his last 50 rounds, in ball-striking. This performance has earned him a third-place finish at the Match Play tournament, a sixth-place finish at the Masters, and a 12th-place finish at the RBC Heritage. Some might think that Conners is a little too chalky this week, but after missing out on Rahm last week, I’m going to bring in some chalk. Conners currently ranks 3rd in greens in regulation and has already racked up 195 birdies this season. All of those factors combined equal a win in my book. I’m pulling for you, Corey!
Seamus Power ($10,300 on FD and $8,300 on DK)
Power has a really great chance of actually winning this thing. He’s projected to make the cut (62%) and has fantastic odds to even be in the top 5. His strokes gained are all in the green (or rising) and he hits the green in regulation 71% of the time. That’s what we’re looking for on a course of this caliber! Power has made the cut in each of his last four appearances at this event. That doesn’t mean a whole lot… considering that there’s been a venue change, but it’s clearly still a favorite event for him. The tournaments he’s played over the past year have seen an average score of -7. That’s lower than this course’s recent scoring average of even par. Projections look good. I wouldn’t be afraid to roster him.
DFS Picks $8,000 – $10,000
Matt Kuchar ($9,900 on FD and $7,900 on DK)
Boy oh boy, do I love me some Matty K! He’s been my favorite PGA golfer for many years. You can usually count on him to make it into the top 20, if not the top 10. It’s true that he has a bit of a cold spell, but he’s hot again, ranking 2nd in bogey avoidance. Kuchar is also an accurate driver, hitting 64% of fairways, far better than the tour average of 59%. With the thick rough and need to make putts, Matt Kuchar is your man. He’s great at scrambling and has a fantastic short game. He may not win it all, but he’ll rack up some points for sure.
Cameron Young ($10,100 on FD and $8,000 on DK)
This kid may only be 24 years old, but he’s not playing like a kid. Young tied for 3rd at the RBC Heritage and has had 3 other top 10 finishes this season. Currently, he’s ranking 6th in birdies, 11th in overall putting average, and 19th in scoring average. All categories of strokes gained are on the rise and he’s projected to make the cut, if not the top 20 or even top 10.
DFS Picks $6,000 – $8,000
Nate Lashley ($8,800 on FD and $7,000 on DK)
While he’s not a showstopper, Nate Lashley is somewhat consistent. When I’m looking at value picks, I want someone who’s well-rounded and who will make the cut at a bare minimum. I see that in Lashley. He’s affordable for most stacks and the data shows that he’s no slouch. While he’s just average when it comes to iron play, over his last 24 rounds, he’s managed to rank 12th as the best approach player. That’s key when playing small greens, like the ones we’ll see at TPC Potomac. Additionally, he’s 39th in driving accuracy and 28th in bogey avoidance. That’s nothing to sneeze at! Nate Lashley will for sure be in my lineup this week as a value pick.
Adam Long ($8,600 on FD and $7,400 on DK)
Adam Long makes for an interesting sleeper pick. His last two performances brought 99.4 points on FD (Mexican Open) and 84.3 points (RBC Heritage). At the Mexican Open, he tied for 15th, making that his 6th top 25 finish this season. Long currently ranks 9th in birdies and 9th in pars, making him a reliable player. He’s projected 50/50 to make the cut. What makes this interesting is that he’s projected to have a 1.1% chance of winning. That’s actually not bad. To put it into perspective… our projected favorite, Rory McIlroy, is expected to have a 67% chance to make the cut and a 5.2% chance of winning.
Looking for MLB DFS? Chris Robin @DetroitBeastie has your back!
To wrap this up… I’m going to take a cue from my very best friend in the DFS space, Chris @DetroitBeastie. He always shares some sort of words of wisdom with his readers. It’s something I really enjoy, so here’s my take! Today, someone tagged me in a tweet asking how they could make the most of their presence on Twitter and grow their audience. My advice was really pretty simple, but it had 5 points. I’ll share the first point here: Be yourself. Being your most authentic self is the best way to grow your audience. Showing that you’re human and make mistakes now and then isn’t a bad thing. And sharing a bit of your personality makes you more relatable. So don’t play a character, just be you.
Now that I’m an official member of Team Rise or Fall, you can catch my blog post and my video each and every week! I hope that I helped with my best PGA DFS Lineup Advice for the Wells Fargo Championship 2022. See you next week!
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