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PGA DFS: Picks Preview for RBC Heritage on DraftKings, FanDuel, SuperDraft

We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. Make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.

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Course Preview

Masters Week has sadly come to an end as we head over to South Carolina for the RBC Heritage. Harbour Town Golf Links is a Pete Dye design course with 54 sand bunkers and 18 holes with water in play. Lastly, The course has an average green size of 3700 sq feet.

Harbour Town GL is nearly 7100 yards; par 71 played on Bermuda greens. The course offers three par 5’s with two out of the three being the easiest. Holes two & five have a 50% birdie rate with a 3% eagle opportunity. However, there are only four holes on the course that have a bogey rate of 20%.

For the most part, you can expect a ton of tree-lined fairways at this course, so it’s vital to play golfers that have excellent driving accuracy and precision irons. Lastly, the greens are small so again, take into consideration great approach players.

  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green
  • Strokes Gained: Putting
  • Scrambling
  • Fairways
  • Birdie or Better

PGA DFS FanDuel Targets

  • Webb Simpson ($11,800) – Webb is the second-highest golfer on FanDuel, but this is where you play Webb. This is 100% a Webb course. Webb has placed the following: 1st, 16th, 5th, and 11th in the last four years. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model, he’s ranked 5th in Driving Accuracy, 8th Around The Green, 10th in Fairways Hit, and 17th in Birdies. And over the last five events, he’s gained two strokes T2G, 1.6 ARG, and 1.2 on APP.
  • Collin Morikawa ($11,500) – Mori’s popularity has fallen slightly since last season, but he’s still producing quality numbers. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model, Mori is ranked 1st on Approach, 3rd Tee To Green, 4th in Birdies, 5th in Greens in Regulation, and 6th in Driving Accuracy. Lastly, on the Rise or Fall Study Hub, Mori is gaining 7.3 strokes T2G, 6.3 on APP, and 1.6 OTT.

PGA DFS DraftKings Targets

  • Corey Conners ($9,300 ) – I like going back to Corey here. I know many are going to write him off because of his round 4 performance. But he actually gained over eight total strokes at The Masters. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model, Corey is ranked 7th in Driving Accuracy, 10th in Greens in Regulation, 10th Off The Tee, 12th in Tee To Green, and 13th on Approach.
  • Abraham Ancer ($8,900) – Ancer has been trying to break out of that top 30 finish for some time now, and I think he’s able to have a top 15 finish here at Harbour Town. Over the last five events per the Rise or Fall Study Hub, Ancer has gained four strokes T2G, 2.5 on APP, 1.1 OTT, and 0.3 ARG.

PGA DFS SuperDraft Targets

  • Ian Poulter (1.25X) – I absolutely love Poulter here, and I don’t use that word loosely. His course history here is 14th, 10th, 7th, 11th, 54th, and 18th. Most importantly, he’s ranked 21st in Driving Accuracy, and he’s gained one total stroke in the last eight rounds.
  • Michael Thompson (1.4X) – Thompson is one of those guys that make the cut quietly. So quiet, in fact, that he has made the cut 12/14 times. Thompson’s history here in the last three years is fantastic. He’s placed 8th, 10th, and 42nd. Lastly, on the Rise or Fall Strokes Gained Database, he gains 0.4 strokes on Bermuda greens, and in his last eight rounds, he’s gained 1.57 total strokes.

PGA DFS: Picks Preview for RBC Heritage on DraftKings, FanDuel, SuperDraft

PGA DFS DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft Rise or Fall Content

Study Hub

Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.

Course Correlation Model

One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you’ll notice from left to right all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.

Important Rankings

Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.

Cash, GPP, Core Picks

On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All categorized on which player I like and in what format. Cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.

Showdown Content

This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.

Consistency vs. Trends

This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.

Putting Data

This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.Study Hub DFS Projections

Photo by Yassine Khalfalli on Unsplash

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