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PGA DFS: Picks Preview for The Memorial Tournament 2021 on DraftKings, FanDuel, SuperDraft

We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. Make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.

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Course Preview

This week we head out to Dublin, Ohio, for The Memorial Tournament. If you remember, last year, we had back-to-back events, first with the Workday Classic and then the following week with The Memorial. This year we will only have The Memorial. As we approach the U.S. Open, this is probably the last week we’ll have a stacked field like we have this week. Defending champion Jon Rahm returns to the field with 2018 Memorial Champion Bryson DeChambeau.

Muirfield Village GC is nearly 7600 yards; par 72 played on Bentgrass greens. This course was designed by Jack Nicklaus in 1974 and was recently renovated in 2020. Since the last year it was played, they have now renovated all 18 greens. They have relocated several greens, made contour changes, rebuilt bunkers, added 140 trees, and relocated several tees. So the course we once knew last year is entirely different this year.

As if the course wasn’t already challenging enough, these changes will make it even more challenging. The course has 68 sand bunkers with 13 holes with water in play. The rough is awful. The rough as of now is 4″ deep. And the average cutline is +5 to +4. So strap yourself in; this is going to be a blood bath. Lastly, unlike last week at Colonial, this week bombers have a clear advantage at Muirfield, as we have seen that repeated itself throughout the years.

  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Strokes Gained: Around The Green
  • Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
  • Driving Distance/Driving Accuracy
  • P4: 450-500

PGA DFS FanDuel Targets

  • Viktor Hovland ($11,400) – Over the last ten events, Vik has played spectacular golf. He’s gained 5.1 strokes T2G, 2.8 OTT, 2 on APP, and 0.2 ARG. With how well Hovland has been performing, he should be due for a W. And let’s not forget he did finish 3rd at WorkDay last year. Lastly, if we look at the Rise or Fall Important Stats model – Hovland is ranked 2nd in Birdies, 4th OTT, 9th T2G, and 22nd on APP.
  • Corey Conners ($10,500) – You all might think I’m just being bias at this point, but it’s certainly not true. Has he not proven himself enough this year? 3rd at API, 7th at Players, 8th at The Masters? These are challenging courses that he’s played exceptionally well at. Over the last eight rounds, Corey has gained 1.59 total strokes, 1.25 over the previous 16 rounds, and 1.37 in the previous 32 rounds. Corey has been consistent, and there’s no need to hop off this train anytime soon.

PGA DFS DraftKings Targets

  • Tony Finau ($9,200) – I very much like how Tony’s game has been trending upwards, and there hasn’t been much attention on him as he usually barely touches 15% ownership. Over the last 32 rounds, he’s gained 1.10 total strokes, has gained 1.17 total strokes over the previous 16 rounds and has gained 1.71 total strokes in the last eight rounds. Probably a good idea to keep your eye on Tony before his ownership blows up.
  • Charley Hoffman ($8,300) – It’s Hoffman season, baby! I like going back to Hoffman this week again. He brings all the tools that are required for the course minus his Around the Green. However, even though he lost 2.3 strokes at ARG last week, he still placed 3rd. And he also lost 1.4 strokes at Kiawah and still placed 17th. So his ARG is not too concerning as he highlights 5th on APP, 14th T2G, 22nd in Birdies, 22nd in Driving Distance, and 30th OTT.

PGA DFS SuperDraft Targets

  • Keegan Bradley (1.3X) – Keegs is literally having the best season of his career. And the best part is that he’s not gaining much ownership. The most we’ve seen this season is at Valspar at 11%. On the Rise or Fall Study Hub – Keegs has gained 7.8 strokes T2G, 3 strokes on APP, 2.4 OTT, and 2.3 ARG. Keegs is also ranked 4th T2G, 8th on APP, 27th ARG, 29th OTT, and 30th in Driving Accuracy.
  • Emiliano Grillo (1.35X) – Grillo won’t smash it 320 yards, but he’ll get you 290-295 yards, and that’s okay when you have someone that is fantastic in other stats. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Grillos is ranked 3rd in Greens in Regulation, 9th at APP, 30th in Birdies, 33rd OTT, and 33rd T2G.

PGA Dark Horse Pick

  • Talor Gooch ($8,600FD/$7,100DK) – Last week, Gooch was priced $7,300 on DK and finished 14th, and now this week, he’s 200 dollars less? Sign me up. Gooch has been trending upwards – In the last 64 rounds, Gooch has gained 0.73 total strokes, 1.02 total strokes in the previous 32 rounds, 1.04 total strokes in the last 16 rounds, and 1.21 total strokes in the previous eight rounds.

PGA DFS: Picks Preview for The Memorial Tournament 2021 on DraftKings, FanDuel, SuperDraft
PGA DFS DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft Rise or Fall Content

Study Hub

Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.

Course Correlation Model

One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you’ll notice from left to right all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.

Important Rankings

Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.

Cash, GPP, Core Picks

On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All categorized on which player I like and in what format. Cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.

Showdown Content

This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.

Consistency vs. Trends

This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.

Putting Data

This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.Study Hub DFS Projections

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