We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. Make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.
It’s MAJOR week! It’s MAJOR week! So excited to have our second major of the year. This week we get a jam-packed field of 154 players including defending champion Collin Morikawa and ex back-to-back champion Brooks Koepka. On that note, this will be the second time we’ll be at Kiawah Island. The last time we were here was back in 2012 when Rory McIlroy took a major eight-shot lead. During that time Kiawah Island was the largest major golf course sitting at nearly 7700 yards. This year it gets stretched out even more at nearly 7900 yards.
Kiawah Island Golf Resort (Ocean Course) is nearly 7900 yards, par 72 played on Seashore Paspalum greens. The course was designed by Pete and Alice Dye. The course has been stretched out nearly 200 more yards adding additional yardage to six holes extending them over 500 yards. Those holes being mainly the par 5’s. The longest par 5 on the course is the 16th hole at 608 yards second to that is the 11th hole sitting at 593 yards. One important note this week is the cutline. The PGA Championship has held onto the Top 70 and ties. While a normal PGA event is Top 65 and ties. Meaning we could possibly see more 6/6 as we sweat it out Friday night.
Kiawah Island has no bunkers in play but it does have 6 holes with water in play and the rough is very dangerous as it’ll be 3.5″ deep. If the name didn’t tell you the story here – this is played right beside the Atlantic Ocean so the weather is a major concern. This course is already considered the most difficult course add a little wind and it WILL be carnage. The “historic” cut line is seven, not -7 but +7. With all that being said let’s get into the picks!
Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.
One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you’ll notice from left to right all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.
Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.
On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All categorized on which player I like and in what format. Cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.
This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.
This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.
This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.
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