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PGA DFS: Picks Preview for The PGA Championship 2021 on DraftKings, FanDuel, SuperDraft

We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. Make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.

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Course Preview

It’s MAJOR week! It’s MAJOR week! So excited to have our second major of the year. This week we get a jam-packed field of 154 players including defending champion Collin Morikawa and ex back-to-back champion Brooks Koepka. On that note, this will be the second time we’ll be at Kiawah Island. The last time we were here was back in 2012 when Rory McIlroy took a major eight-shot lead. During that time Kiawah Island was the largest major golf course sitting at nearly 7700 yards. This year it gets stretched out even more at nearly 7900 yards.

Kiawah Island Golf Resort (Ocean Course) is nearly 7900 yards, par 72 played on Seashore Paspalum greens. The course was designed by Pete and Alice Dye. The course has been stretched out nearly 200 more yards adding additional yardage to six holes extending them over 500 yards. Those holes being mainly the par 5’s. The longest par 5 on the course is the 16th hole at 608 yards second to that is the 11th hole sitting at 593 yards. One important note this week is the cutline. The PGA Championship has held onto the Top 70 and ties. While a normal PGA event is Top 65 and ties. Meaning we could possibly see more 6/6 as we sweat it out Friday night.

Kiawah Island has no bunkers in play but it does have 6 holes with water in play and the rough is very dangerous as it’ll be 3.5″ deep. If the name didn’t tell you the story here – this is played right beside the Atlantic Ocean so the weather is a major concern. This course is already considered the most difficult course add a little wind and it WILL be carnage. The “historic” cut line is seven, not -7 but +7. With all that being said let’s get into the picks!

  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Strokes Gained: Around The Green
  • Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
  • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green
  • Strokes Gained: Putting

PGA DFS FanDuel Targets

  • Jordan Spieth ($11,400) – I am actually not starting off at the top this week. Not that Justin Thomas or Rory are terrible, but this has to be Jordan’s week. Honestly, if it wasn’t for all that rain that came down at Byron Nelson in the last round, he probably could’ve won it. But instead, he lost a stroke OTT & ARG. And honestly, I couldn’t be happier. Now he comes to the PGA Championship HUNGRY. In the last 8 rounds, Jordan has gained 2.41 total strokes, and in the last 16 rounds, he’s gained 3 total strokes. If you go back to the start of the 2021 season Jordan has placed the following: 9th at Byron Nelson, 3rd at The Masters, 1st at Valero, 48th at The Players, 4th at API, 15th at Genesis, 3rd at Pebble Beach, and 4th at Waste Management. He’s lighting up the board and I’m ready to lock and load on Spieth this week.
  • Viktor Hovland ($11,000) – The echoing words of my boy DVA saying “He’s a coastal guy he’s a must-play” can’t and won’t escape my mind. Let us remember that Hovland won it in Puerto Rico (*cough* Paspalum greens) and placed 21st at RBC. Hovland has gained 3.18 total strokes in the last 8 rounds, 2.04 in the last 16 rounds, and 1.49 in the last 32 rounds. Hovland has been on fire this year, to say the least. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Hovland is ranked 2nd in Birdies, 4th OTT, 6th T2G, 23rd on APP, and 24th in Greens in Regulation.

PGA DFS DraftKings Targets

  • Daniel Berger ($8,700) – Quite surprised to find Berger in this range when he’s essentially a top 10 golfer if not more a top 5 golfer any given week. As I said about Hovland being a coastal guy let us not forget that Berger won this year at Pebble Beach. In his last 5 events, he’s gained 6.5 strokes T2G, 3.9 on APP, 2.7 OTT, and 1.5 on the putter. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Berger lights it up so well. He’s ranked 3rd in Birdies, 10th in GIR, 18th at APP, 19th in Putting, 24th OTT, and 25th T2G.
  • Corey Conners ($7,600) – Wasn’t Corey just sitting at 9K for the last 3 straight events and now he comes over to the PGA Championship and he’s at $7,600??? I have to keep talking about the Canadian superstar till he actually falls off the map and I don’t think that’s going to happen this year. He is having the best year of his career and he’s been killing it. Sure, he didn’t perform extremely well at Wells Fargo, but before that he finished 21st at Valspar, 4th at RBC, 8th at The Masters, 14th at Valero, 7th at The Players, and 3rd at API. Also if you take a look at the Rise or Fall Study Hub he hasn’t missed strokes T2G, OTT, or on APP for the year.

PGA DFS SuperDraft Targets

  • Charley Hoffman (1.4X) – It is legit Hoffman season and another guy that is having the best season of his career. Hoffman has gained 1.37 total strokes in the last 55 rounds. Over the last 10 starts, he’s only had one missed cut and that was way back in February. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Hoffman is ranked 12th on APP, 19th T2G, 30th in Birdies, and 32nd OTT.
  • Keegan Bradley (1.3X) – Keegs is having a phenomenal season and his price tag on DK/FD is a joke. This season Keegs has only missed the cut at the beginning of the season AKA in January! if you take a look at his form on the Rise or Fall Study Hub – Keegs has placed the following: 18th, 2nd, 23rd, 30th, 29th, 10th, 60th, and 22nd. And on the Important Stats Model – Keegs is ranked 5th T2G, 8th on APP, 25th in GIR, 26th ARG, and 35th OTT.

PGA DFS: Picks Preview for The PGA Championship 2021 on DraftKings, FanDuel, SuperDraft

PGA DFS DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft Rise or Fall Content

Study Hub

Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.

Course Correlation Model

One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you’ll notice from left to right all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.

Important Rankings

Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.

Cash, GPP, Core Picks

On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All categorized on which player I like and in what format. Cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.

Showdown Content

This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.

Consistency vs. Trends

This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.

Putting Data

This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.Study Hub DFS Projections

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