We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. So make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.
This week we head to San Diego, California, for the U.S. Open at Torrey Pines. It’s major week, baby! Earlier this year, we were here for the Farmers Insurance Open due to the pandemic, but now we return to its regular spot on the PGA Tour schedule. The Farmers Insurance Open played both in the North & South Course, but this week we will only be playing at the South Course. Do make note that the greens here are Poa, tees are Bermuda, and fairways are Kikuyu.
Torrey Pines GC is 7600 yards, par 71, played on Poa Annua greens. The course was designed by William Bell in 1957 and renovated in 2001 by Rees Jones. The average green size is 5000 sq feet, the course has 82 sand bunkers, and it has one hole with water in play. The most significant danger of this course is the rough. The rough is made up of Kikuyu grass, and it’s being said that we can see up to 5″ of rough.
The fairways here are narrow, and there aren’t many trees to be concerned about off the tee. What will be concerning this week is hitting specific target lines. The course has made some adjustments as it use to sit a little over 7700 yards. The adjustment is that the 6th hole went from its original par 5 564 yards to a par 4 515 yards. Therefore, making it a domino effect with the rest of the holes. Moving forward – in the last ten years, the historic cut line average has been -1. Let’s get to the picks!
Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.
One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you’ll notice from left to right all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.
Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.
On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All are categorized on which player I like and in what format. Cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.
This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.
This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.
This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.
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